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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Ball St. Cardinals vs Western Michigan Broncos
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -3.5 | Total: 129.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffBall St. Cardinals v Western Michigan Broncos Series Betting Trends
The Ball St. Cardinals travel to Western Michigan to play the Broncos at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Western Michigan is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 129.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Cardinals/Broncos Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 5, 2012 | Ball St. | 63 | Western Michigan | 69 | -4.5 | 130.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Ball St. | 61 | Western Michigan | 78 | -3.5 | 129.5 |
| January 7, 2012 | Western Michigan | 69 | Ball St. | 78 | -6.5 | 130.0 |
| March 2, 2011 | Ball St. | 70 | Western Michigan | 87 | -4.5 | 134.0 |
| January 12, 2011 | Western Michigan | 63 | Ball St. | 72 | -6.0 | 131.0 |
| March 4, 2010 | Ball St. | 52 | Western Michigan | 67 | -9.0 | 127.0 |
| January 20, 2010 | Western Michigan | 68 | Ball St. | 75 | 2.5 | 123.0 |
| March 4, 2009 | Ball St. | 82 | Western Michigan | 84 | -2.0 | 193.5 |
| January 20, 2009 | Western Michigan | 44 | Ball St. | 50 | 2.0 | |
| March 9, 2008 | Ball St. | 53 | Western Michigan | 57 |
When looking at the last 23 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 17 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Ball St./Western Michigan series is 69.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 65.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.3 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 23 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.8 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on Western Michigan makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 23 games between the Cardinals and the Broncos is 135.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 5.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 129.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Ball St. as the road team and with Western Michigan as the home team.
Recent Results when Ball St. visits Western Michigan
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 5, 2012 | Ball St. | 63 | Western Michigan | 69 | -4.5 | 130.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Ball St. | 61 | Western Michigan | 78 | -3.5 | 129.5 |
| March 2, 2011 | Ball St. | 70 | Western Michigan | 87 | -4.5 | 134.0 |
| March 4, 2010 | Ball St. | 52 | Western Michigan | 67 | -9.0 | 127.0 |
| March 4, 2009 | Ball St. | 82 | Western Michigan | 84 | -2.0 | 193.5 |
| March 9, 2008 | Ball St. | 53 | Western Michigan | 57 | ||
| January 9, 2007 | Ball St. | 61 | Western Michigan | 74 |
When looking at the last 12 games in this series while Western Michigan has been the home team, we can see the Broncos have won 11 games compared to 1 wins for the Cardinals. Average points scored per game by Western Michigan in this situation is is 73.8 ppg while Ball St. has put up 64.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 9.5 favoring the Broncos.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 9.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 6 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on the Broncos makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 12 games between the Cardinals and the Broncos is 138.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 8.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 129.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Ball St. Cardinals Cover the Spread?
This season the Ball St. Cardinals have played 25 games, averaging 61.5 points per game, while allowing 62.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Ball St. Cardinals results.
Recent Ball St. Cardinals Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 5, 2012 | Ball St. | 63 | Western Michigan | 69 | -4.5 | 130.5 |
| March 3, 2012 | Northern Illinois | 51 | Ball St. | 62 | -14.0 | 120.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | Central Michigan | 52 | Ball St. | 71 | -8.0 | 122.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Ball St. | 50 | Eastern Michigan | 61 | 3.0 | 109.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Ball St. | 61 | Western Michigan | 78 | -3.5 | 129.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Southern Illinois | 62 | Ball St. | 71 | -5.5 | 124.5 |
| February 15, 2012 | Toledo | 63 | Ball St. | 55 | -9.0 | 131.0 |
This season the Ball St. Cardinals have played 15 games on the road, averaging 62.0 points per game, while allowing 64.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-10. Let's have a closer look at recent Ball St. Cardinals results on the road.
Recent Ball St. Cardinals Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 5, 2012 | Ball St. | 63 | Western Michigan | 69 | -4.5 | 130.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Ball St. | 50 | Eastern Michigan | 61 | 3.0 | 109.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Ball St. | 61 | Western Michigan | 78 | -3.5 | 129.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Ball St. | 55 | Kent St. | 76 | -8.5 | 133.0 |
| February 1, 2012 | Ball St. | 57 | Buffalo | 73 | -5.5 | 129.5 |
Can the Western Michigan Broncos Cover the Spread?
This season the Western Michigan Broncos have played 31 games, averaging 68.3 points per game, while allowing 70.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Michigan Broncos results.
Recent Western Michigan Broncos Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 8, 2012 | Western Michigan | 72 | Kent St. | 76 | -5.0 | 136.5 |
| March 7, 2012 | Northern Illinois | 54 | Western Michigan | 71 | -10.0 | 125.0 |
| March 5, 2012 | Ball St. | 63 | Western Michigan | 69 | -4.5 | 130.5 |
| March 2, 2012 | Western Michigan | 70 | Central Michigan | 76 | 2.5 | 132.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | Eastern Michigan | 54 | Western Michigan | 53 | -9.5 | 116.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | Western Michigan | 74 | Toledo | 83 | 1.5 | 137.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Ball St. | 61 | Western Michigan | 78 | -3.5 | 129.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Western Michigan | 73 | North Dakota State | 86 | -7.0 | 142.0 |
| February 15, 2012 | Western Michigan | 78 | Northern Illinois | 53 | 8.0 | 127.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Western Michigan | 57 | Buffalo | 59 | -9.5 | 138.0 |
This season the Western Michigan Broncos have played 14 games here at home, averaging 67.1 points per game, while allowing 61.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Michigan Broncos results when playing at home.
Recent Western Michigan Broncos Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 7, 2012 | Northern Illinois | 54 | Western Michigan | 71 | -10.0 | 125.0 |
| March 5, 2012 | Ball St. | 63 | Western Michigan | 69 | -4.5 | 130.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | Eastern Michigan | 54 | Western Michigan | 53 | -9.5 | 116.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Ball St. | 61 | Western Michigan | 78 | -3.5 | 129.5 |
| February 8, 2012 | Akron | 69 | Western Michigan | 66 | 3.0 | 140.0 |
| February 1, 2012 | Bowling Green | 72 | Western Michigan | 48 | -4.0 | 134.5 |
| January 28, 2012 | Miami - OH | 64 | Western Michigan | 73 | -4.5 | 126.5 |
| January 21, 2012 | Central Michigan | 61 | Western Michigan | 64 | -8.0 | 137.0 |
| January 14, 2012 | Toledo | 52 | Western Michigan | 74 | -10.5 | 152.0 |
| January 11, 2012 | Northern Illinois | 68 | Western Michigan | 77 | -15.5 | 127.5 |
