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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Bowling Green Falcons vs Akron Zips
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -7.5 | Total: 133.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffBowling Green Falcons v Akron Zips Series Betting Trends
The Bowling Green Falcons travel to Akron to play the Zips at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Akron is the favorite in this matchup, laying -7.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 133.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Falcons/Zips Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Bowling Green | 68 | Akron | 79 | -7.5 | 133.5 |
| January 11, 2012 | Akron | 56 | Bowling Green | 55 | 2.0 | 135.0 |
| February 15, 2011 | Akron | 89 | Bowling Green | 54 | 1.0 | 132.0 |
| January 22, 2011 | Bowling Green | 58 | Akron | 63 | -8.0 | 129.0 |
| February 27, 2010 | Akron | 74 | Bowling Green | 68 | 3.0 | 127.5 |
| January 9, 2010 | Bowling Green | 45 | Akron | 71 | -12.5 | 122.0 |
| March 13, 2009 | Akron | 63 | Bowling Green | 55 | 3.0 | 119.5 |
| March 1, 2009 | Bowling Green | 50 | Akron | 46 | -11.0 | 123.5 |
| January 17, 2009 | Akron | 62 | Bowling Green | 52 | ||
| February 16, 2008 | Akron | 65 | Bowling Green | 56 |
When looking at the last 21 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 10 games compared to 11 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Bowling Green/Akron series is 67.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 65.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.9 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 21 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.9 ppg. That represents a value number of -5.6 when meassured against the offered line of -7.5, suggesting a wager on Bowling Green makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 21 games between the Falcons and the Zips is 133.5 per game.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Bowling Green as the road team and with Akron as the home team.
Recent Results when Bowling Green visits Akron
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Bowling Green | 68 | Akron | 79 | -7.5 | 133.5 |
| January 22, 2011 | Bowling Green | 58 | Akron | 63 | -8.0 | 129.0 |
| January 9, 2010 | Bowling Green | 45 | Akron | 71 | -12.5 | 122.0 |
| March 1, 2009 | Bowling Green | 50 | Akron | 46 | -11.0 | 123.5 |
| January 20, 2008 | Bowling Green | 44 | Akron | 80 | ||
| February 24, 2007 | Bowling Green | 87 | Akron | 93 | ||
| February 14, 2006 | Bowling Green | 62 | Akron | 77 |
When looking at the last 9 games in this series while Akron has been the home team, we can see the Zips have won 7 games compared to 2 wins for the Falcons. Average points scored per game by Akron in this situation is is 74.2 ppg while Bowling Green has put up 64.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 10.1 favoring the Zips.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 10.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.6 when meassured against the offered line of -7.5, suggesting a wager on the Zips makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Falcons and the Zips is 138.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 133.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Bowling Green Falcons Cover the Spread?
This season the Bowling Green Falcons have played 29 games, averaging 65.4 points per game, while allowing 64.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Bowling Green Falcons results.
Recent Bowling Green Falcons Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 14, 2012 | Bowling Green | 69 | Oakland | 86 | -3.5 | 154.0 |
| March 5, 2012 | Central Michigan | 54 | Bowling Green | 53 | -11.5 | 127.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | Bowling Green | 64 | Buffalo | 68 | -5.5 | 135.0 |
| February 29, 2012 | Miami - OH | 51 | Bowling Green | 56 | -7.0 | 121.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Kent St. | 58 | Bowling Green | 74 | -1.5 | 136.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Bowling Green | 68 | Akron | 79 | -7.5 | 133.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Morehead St. | 60 | Bowling Green | 73 | -9.0 | 120.5 |
This season the Bowling Green Falcons have played 15 games on the road, averaging 65.2 points per game, while allowing 68.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Bowling Green Falcons results on the road.
Recent Bowling Green Falcons Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 14, 2012 | Bowling Green | 69 | Oakland | 86 | -3.5 | 154.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | Bowling Green | 64 | Buffalo | 68 | -5.5 | 135.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Bowling Green | 68 | Akron | 79 | -7.5 | 133.5 |
| February 15, 2012 | Bowling Green | 59 | Ohio U | 72 | -7.5 | 128.5 |
| February 8, 2012 | Bowling Green | 61 | Ball St. | 54 | -2.0 | 124.0 |
Can the Akron Zips Cover the Spread?
This season the Akron Zips have played 30 games, averaging 70.1 points per game, while allowing 66.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Akron Zips results.
Recent Akron Zips Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 13, 2012 | Akron | 74 | Northwestern | 76 | -6.5 | 141.5 |
| March 10, 2012 | Ohio U | 64 | Akron | 63 | 1.5 | 135.0 |
| March 9, 2012 | Kent St. | 74 | Akron | 78 | -1.5 | 136.5 |
| March 2, 2012 | Akron | 61 | Kent St. | 55 | -3.5 | 143.0 |
| February 29, 2012 | Buffalo | 74 | Akron | 70 | -6.5 | 141.5 |
| February 26, 2012 | Akron | 61 | Ohio U | 85 | -5.0 | 140.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Bowling Green | 68 | Akron | 79 | -7.5 | 133.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Akron | 61 | Oral Roberts | 67 | -4.5 | 144.5 |
| February 15, 2012 | Miami - OH | 59 | Akron | 74 | -9.0 | 126.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Northern Illinois | 51 | Akron | 75 | -19.5 | 128.5 |
This season the Akron Zips have played 14 games here at home, averaging 76.7 points per game, while allowing 66.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Akron Zips results when playing at home.
Recent Akron Zips Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 10, 2012 | Ohio U | 64 | Akron | 63 | 1.5 | 135.0 |
| March 9, 2012 | Kent St. | 74 | Akron | 78 | -1.5 | 136.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | Buffalo | 74 | Akron | 70 | -6.5 | 141.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Bowling Green | 68 | Akron | 79 | -7.5 | 133.5 |
| February 15, 2012 | Miami - OH | 59 | Akron | 74 | -9.0 | 126.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Northern Illinois | 51 | Akron | 75 | -19.5 | 128.5 |
| February 4, 2012 | Eastern Michigan | 47 | Akron | 77 | -15.0 | 116.0 |
| February 1, 2012 | Toledo | 72 | Akron | 86 | -12.5 | 138.0 |
| January 21, 2012 | Kent St. | 75 | Akron | 84 | -4.5 | 139.0 |
| January 14, 2012 | Ohio U | 63 | Akron | 68 | -3.5 | 135.0 |
