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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
James Madison Dukes vs Drexel Dragons
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -14.0 | Total: 127.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffJames Madison Dukes v Drexel Dragons Series Betting Trends
The James Madison Dukes travel to Drexel to play the Dragons at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Drexel is the favorite in this matchup, laying -14.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 127.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Dukes/Dragons Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | James Madison | 61 | Drexel | 78 | -14.0 | 127.5 |
| February 8, 2012 | Drexel | 63 | James Madison | 56 | 7.0 | 127.0 |
| February 9, 2011 | James Madison | 68 | Drexel | 54 | -4.0 | 130.0 |
| January 26, 2011 | Drexel | 52 | James Madison | 60 | -5.0 | 134.5 |
| January 5, 2009 | Drexel | 60 | James Madison | 66 | ||
| February 27, 2008 | James Madison | 67 | Drexel | 70 | ||
| January 8, 2007 | Drexel | 65 | James Madison | 54 | ||
| December 7, 2005 | James Madison | 57 | Drexel | 68 | ||
| February 12, 2005 | Drexel | 75 | James Madison | 66 | ||
| January 29, 2005 | James Madison | 60 | Drexel | 88 |
When looking at the last 16 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 9 games compared to 7 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the James Madison/Drexel series is 66.4 ppg while the vistor has put up 64.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 16 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2 ppg. That represents a value number of -12 when meassured against the offered line of -14.0, suggesting a wager on James Madison makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Dukes and the Dragons is 130.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 3.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 127.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with James Madison as the road team and with Drexel as the home team.
Recent Results when James Madison visits Drexel
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | James Madison | 61 | Drexel | 78 | -14.0 | 127.5 |
| February 9, 2011 | James Madison | 68 | Drexel | 54 | -4.0 | 130.0 |
| February 27, 2008 | James Madison | 67 | Drexel | 70 | ||
| December 7, 2005 | James Madison | 57 | Drexel | 68 | ||
| January 29, 2005 | James Madison | 60 | Drexel | 88 | ||
| January 7, 2004 | James Madison | 61 | Drexel | 77 | ||
| February 15, 2003 | James Madison | 67 | Drexel | 78 |
When looking at the last 8 games in this series while Drexel has been the home team, we can see the Dragons have won 7 games compared to 1 wins for the Dukes. Average points scored per game by Drexel in this situation is is 72.8 ppg while James Madison has put up 62.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 10.3 favoring the Dukes.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 10.3 ppg. That represents a value number of -3.7 when meassured against the offered line of -14.0, suggesting a wager on the Dukes makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Dukes and the Dragons is 135.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 127.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the James Madison Dukes Cover the Spread?
This season the James Madison Dukes have played 29 games, averaging 65.8 points per game, while allowing 69.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-18. Let's have a closer look at recent James Madison Dukes results.
Recent James Madison Dukes Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2, 2012 | NC Wilmington | 70 | James Madison | 59 | -2.5 | 137.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Towson | 59 | James Madison | 65 | -12.0 | 127.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | James Madison | 61 | Drexel | 78 | -14.0 | 127.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | James Madison | 70 | Detroit | 82 | -13.0 | 144.0 |
| February 14, 2012 | Georgia St. | 67 | James Madison | 64 | 4.5 | 130.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | James Madison | 58 | Towson | 56 | 7.0 | 124.5 |
| February 8, 2012 | Drexel | 63 | James Madison | 56 | 7.0 | 127.0 |
This season the James Madison Dukes have played 15 games on the road, averaging 65.7 points per game, while allowing 71.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-9. Let's have a closer look at recent James Madison Dukes results on the road.
Recent James Madison Dukes Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | James Madison | 61 | Drexel | 78 | -14.0 | 127.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | James Madison | 70 | Detroit | 82 | -13.0 | 144.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | James Madison | 58 | Towson | 56 | 7.0 | 124.5 |
| February 2, 2012 | James Madison | 71 | Old Dominion | 80 | -10.5 | 125.0 |
| January 28, 2012 | James Madison | 79 | George Mason | 89 | -11.5 | 136.0 |
Can the Drexel Dragons Cover the Spread?
This season the Drexel Dragons have played 35 games, averaging 65.1 points per game, while allowing 56.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 28-18. Let's have a closer look at recent Drexel Dragons results.
Recent Drexel Dragons Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 20, 2012 | UMass | 72 | Drexel | 70 | -6.5 | |
| March 18, 2012 | Northern Iowa | 63 | Drexel | 65 | -7.5 | 121.0 |
| March 14, 2012 | Central Florida | 56 | Drexel | 81 | -7.5 | 124.5 |
| March 5, 2012 | Va Commonwealth | 59 | Drexel | 56 | ||
| March 4, 2012 | Old Dominion | 51 | Drexel | 68 | ||
| March 3, 2012 | NC Wilmington | 47 | Drexel | 59 | ||
| March 3, 2012 | NC Wilmington | 47 | Drexel | 59 | ||
| February 25, 2012 | Drexel | 73 | Old Dominion | 72 | -2.5 | 118.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | James Madison | 61 | Drexel | 78 | -14.0 | 127.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Drexel | 69 | Cleveland St. | 49 | -3.0 | 119.5 |
This season the Drexel Dragons have played 22 games here at home, averaging 65.6 points per game, while allowing 55.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Drexel Dragons results when playing at home.
Recent Drexel Dragons Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 20, 2012 | UMass | 72 | Drexel | 70 | -6.5 | |
| March 18, 2012 | Northern Iowa | 63 | Drexel | 65 | -7.5 | 121.0 |
| March 14, 2012 | Central Florida | 56 | Drexel | 81 | -7.5 | 124.5 |
| March 5, 2012 | Va Commonwealth | 59 | Drexel | 56 | ||
| March 4, 2012 | Old Dominion | 51 | Drexel | 68 | ||
| March 3, 2012 | NC Wilmington | 47 | Drexel | 59 | ||
| March 3, 2012 | NC Wilmington | 47 | Drexel | 59 | ||
| February 22, 2012 | James Madison | 61 | Drexel | 78 | -14.0 | 127.5 |
| February 14, 2012 | William & Mary | 61 | Drexel | 63 | -16.5 | 121.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | Hofstra | 67 | Drexel | 78 | -12.5 | 119.5 |
