NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Houston Cougars vs Marshall Thundering Herd

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -13.0 | Total: 141.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Houston Cougars v Marshall Thundering Herd Series Betting Trends

The Houston Cougars travel to Marshall to play the Thundering Herd at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Marshall is the favorite in this matchup, laying -13.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 141.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Cougars/Thundering Herd Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Houston 58Marshall66-13.0141.5
March 9, 2011 Houston 87Marshall97-8.5136.0
February 1, 2011 Marshall 0Houston02.5138.5
January 30, 2010 Marshall 66Houston81-4.0161.5
February 18, 2009 Houston 83Marshall88
January 26, 2008 Marshall 58Houston71
January 27, 2007 Houston 77Marshall61
January 28, 2006 Marshall 56Houston69

When looking at the last 7 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 6 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Houston/Marshall series is 66.6 ppg while the vistor has put up 60.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 7 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6 ppg. That represents a value number of -7 when meassured against the offered line of -13.0, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 7 games between the Cougars and the Thundering Herd is 127.2 per game. That creates a differential of 14.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 141.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Houston as the road team and with Marshall as the home team.

Recent Results when Houston visits Marshall

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Houston 58Marshall66-13.0141.5
March 9, 2011 Houston 87Marshall97-8.5136.0
February 18, 2009 Houston 83Marshall88
January 27, 2007 Houston 77Marshall61

When looking at the last 4 games in this series while Marshall has been the home team, we can see the Thundering Herd have won 3 games compared to 1 wins for the Cougars. Average points scored per game by Marshall in this situation is is 78 ppg while Houston has put up 76.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.7 favoring the Cougars.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.7 ppg. That represents a value number of -11.3 when meassured against the offered line of -13.0, suggesting a wager on the Cougars makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Cougars and the Thundering Herd is 154.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 12.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 141.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Houston Cougars Cover the Spread?

This season the Houston Cougars have played 21 games, averaging 67.1 points per game, while allowing 72.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Cougars results.

Recent Houston Cougars Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 7, 2012 Houston 62UTEP67-3.5128.5
March 3, 2012 Houston 76Rice75-8.0139.5
February 29, 2012 Tulane 53Houston82-1.5135.0
February 25, 2012 SMU 59Houston62-1.0129.5
February 22, 2012 Houston 58Marshall66-13.0141.5
February 18, 2012 Southern Miss 71Houston739.5142.0
February 11, 2012 Houston 48Tulsa72-13.5135.5

This season the Houston Cougars have played 11 games on the road, averaging 63.2 points per game, while allowing 73.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Cougars results on the road.

Recent Houston Cougars Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 7, 2012 Houston 62UTEP67-3.5128.5
March 3, 2012 Houston 76Rice75-8.0139.5
February 22, 2012 Houston 58Marshall66-13.0141.5
February 11, 2012 Houston 48Tulsa72-13.5135.5
February 4, 2012 Houston 54Tulane75-7.5135.0

Can the Marshall Thundering Herd Cover the Spread?

This season the Marshall Thundering Herd have played 29 games, averaging 68.4 points per game, while allowing 67.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Marshall Thundering Herd results.

Recent Marshall Thundering Herd Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 13, 2012 Marshall 78Mid Tennessee86-5.5135.5
March 10, 2012 Marshall 57Memphis83-11.5
March 9, 2012 Marshall 73Southern Miss62-2.5135.5
March 8, 2012 Marshall 105Tulsa1002.0131.5
March 7, 2012 SMU 56Marshall74-7.0120.0
March 3, 2012 Southern Miss 75Marshall79-2.5134.5
February 29, 2012 Marshall 68East Carolina691.5136.0
February 25, 2012 Memphis 87Marshall672.5135.5
February 22, 2012 Houston 58Marshall66-13.0141.5
February 18, 2012 Marshall 73SMU684.0118.5

This season the Marshall Thundering Herd have played 14 games here at home, averaging 67.0 points per game, while allowing 63.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Marshall Thundering Herd results when playing at home.

Recent Marshall Thundering Herd Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 7, 2012 SMU 56Marshall74-7.0120.0
March 3, 2012 Southern Miss 75Marshall79-2.5134.5
February 25, 2012 Memphis 87Marshall672.5135.5
February 22, 2012 Houston 58Marshall66-13.0141.5
February 11, 2012 East Carolina 68Marshall78-8.5137.5
February 1, 2012 Tulane 44Marshall63-9.5131.0
January 25, 2012 UAB 56Marshall49-10.0118.0
January 18, 2012 West Virginia 78Marshall623.5136.0
January 14, 2012 Central Florida 64Marshall65-6.0128.5
January 4, 2012 UTEP 60Marshall76-11.5129.5

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