NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Indiana St. Sycamores vs SW Missouri St. Bears

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 8:00 PM | Home Line: -7.0 | Total: 126.0

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Indiana St. Sycamores v SW Missouri St. Bears Series Betting Trends

The Indiana St. Sycamores travel to SW Missouri St. to play the Bears at 8:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. SW Missouri St. is the favorite in this matchup, laying -7.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 126.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Sycamores/Bears Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Indiana St. 59SW Missouri St.46-7.0126.0
January 7, 2012 SW Missouri St. 69Indiana St.63-2.0125.5
March 6, 2011 Indiana St. 60SW Missouri St.56-5.0125.5
February 5, 2011 Indiana St. 66SW Missouri St.73-10.0135.0
January 19, 2011 SW Missouri St. 69Indiana St.704.0130.0
February 27, 2010 SW Missouri St. 72Indiana St.752.0137.0
January 19, 2010 Indiana St. 92SW Missouri St.99-8.5133.5
February 28, 2009 SW Missouri St. 52Indiana St.69-3.0126.5
February 14, 2009 Indiana St. 76SW Missouri St.71
March 1, 2008 SW Missouri St. 83Indiana St.73

When looking at the last 20 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 11 games compared to 9 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Indiana St./SW Missouri St. series is 63.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 62.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 20 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -5.9 when meassured against the offered line of -7.0, suggesting a wager on Indiana St. makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 20 games between the Sycamores and the Bears is 125.9 per game. That creates a differential of 0.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 126.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Indiana St. as the road team and with SW Missouri St. as the home team.

Recent Results when Indiana St. visits SW Missouri St.

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Indiana St. 59SW Missouri St.46-7.0126.0
March 6, 2011 Indiana St. 60SW Missouri St.56-5.0125.5
February 5, 2011 Indiana St. 66SW Missouri St.73-10.0135.0
January 19, 2010 Indiana St. 92SW Missouri St.99-8.5133.5
February 14, 2009 Indiana St. 76SW Missouri St.71
January 15, 2008 Indiana St. 44SW Missouri St.65
December 16, 2006 Indiana St. 60SW Missouri St.60

When looking at the last 10 games in this series while SW Missouri St. has been the home team, we can see the Bears have won 7 games compared to 3 wins for the Sycamores. Average points scored per game by SW Missouri St. in this situation is is 66.5 ppg while Indiana St. has put up 60.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.2 favoring the Sycamores.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.2 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.8 when meassured against the offered line of -7.0, suggesting a wager on the Sycamores makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 10 games between the Sycamores and the Bears is 126.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 126.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Indiana St. Sycamores Cover the Spread?

This season the Indiana St. Sycamores have played 32 games, averaging 64.1 points per game, while allowing 65.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Indiana St. Sycamores results.

Recent Indiana St. Sycamores Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 13, 2012 Robert Morris 67Indiana St.60-5.0130.5
March 2, 2012 Indiana St. 48Wichita St.72
March 1, 2012 Southern Illinois 51Indiana St.66-4.5123.5
February 25, 2012 Creighton 61Indiana St.602.0141.0
February 22, 2012 Indiana St. 59SW Missouri St.46-7.0126.0
February 18, 2012 Indiana St. 54Butler75-4.5128.0
February 14, 2012 Illinois St. 77Indiana St.83-4.0129.0

This season the Indiana St. Sycamores have played 15 games on the road, averaging 61.7 points per game, while allowing 69.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Indiana St. Sycamores results on the road.

Recent Indiana St. Sycamores Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 2, 2012 Indiana St. 48Wichita St.72
February 22, 2012 Indiana St. 59SW Missouri St.46-7.0126.0
February 18, 2012 Indiana St. 54Butler75-4.5128.0
February 8, 2012 Indiana St. 60686.0134.0
February 4, 2012 Indiana St. 66Wichita St.71-16.0132.5

Can the SW Missouri St. Bears Cover the Spread?

This season the SW Missouri St. Bears have played 27 games, averaging 65.3 points per game, while allowing 64.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-15. Let's have a closer look at recent SW Missouri St. Bears results.

Recent SW Missouri St. Bears Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 2, 2012 SW Missouri St. 64Evansville722.5129.0
February 25, 2012 SW Missouri St. 70Evansville75-2.5131.5
February 22, 2012 Indiana St. 59SW Missouri St.46-7.0126.0
February 18, 2012 Old Dominion 73SW Missouri St.67-5.0123.5
February 15, 2012 SW Missouri St. 58Wichita St.73-11.0131.5
February 12, 2012 53SW Missouri St.64-14.0131.0
February 8, 2012 SW Missouri St. 56Southern Illinois544.0124.0
February 4, 2012 SW Missouri St. 57Drake39-1.0131.0
February 1, 2012 Wichita St. 74SW Missouri St.675.0133.5
January 28, 2012 Northern Iowa 51SW Missouri St.631.0124.5

This season the SW Missouri St. Bears have played 12 games here at home, averaging 66.6 points per game, while allowing 66.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-7. Let's have a closer look at recent SW Missouri St. Bears results when playing at home.

Recent SW Missouri St. Bears Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Indiana St. 59SW Missouri St.46-7.0126.0
February 18, 2012 Old Dominion 73SW Missouri St.67-5.0123.5
February 12, 2012 53SW Missouri St.64-14.0131.0
February 1, 2012 Wichita St. 74SW Missouri St.675.0133.5
January 28, 2012 Northern Iowa 51SW Missouri St.631.0124.5
January 18, 2012 Creighton 66SW Missouri St.652.0144.0
January 15, 2012 Evansville 87SW Missouri St.82-10.0139.5
January 10, 2012 Southern Illinois 65SW Missouri St.77-11.0131.5
January 4, 2012 Illinois St. 68SW Missouri St.60-7.5127.5
December 31, 2011 Drake 61SW Missouri St.72-9.0132.0

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