NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Tulane Green Wave vs SMU Mustangs

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 8:00 PM | Home Line: -2.5 | Total: 115.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Tulane Green Wave v SMU Mustangs Series Betting Trends

The Tulane Green Wave travel to SMU to play the Mustangs at 8:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. SMU is the favorite in this matchup, laying -2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 115.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Green Wave/Mustangs Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Tulane 50SMU64-2.5115.5
January 25, 2012 SMU 74Tulane80-4.5106.0
February 9, 2011 Tulane 61SMU66-5.0127.0
January 8, 2011 SMU 70Tulane79-7.5140.0
February 6, 2010 SMU 66Tulane481.0125.5
January 17, 2009 Tulane 51SMU60
January 23, 2008 SMU 52Tulane67
January 24, 2007 Tulane 53SMU55
February 1, 2006 SMU 56Tulane59

When looking at the last 9 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Tulane/SMU series is 64.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 59.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 9 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.5 when meassured against the offered line of -2.5, suggesting a wager on SMU makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Green Wave and the Mustangs is 123.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 115.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Tulane as the road team and with SMU as the home team.

Recent Results when Tulane visits SMU

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Tulane 50SMU64-2.5115.5
February 9, 2011 Tulane 61SMU66-5.0127.0
January 17, 2009 Tulane 51SMU60
January 24, 2007 Tulane 53SMU55

When looking at the last 4 games in this series while SMU has been the home team, we can see the Mustangs have won 4 games compared to 0 wins for the Green Wave. Average points scored per game by SMU in this situation is is 61.3 ppg while Tulane has put up 53.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.5 favoring the Mustangs.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 5 when meassured against the offered line of -2.5, suggesting a wager on the Mustangs makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Green Wave and the Mustangs is 115.1 per game. That creates a differential of 0.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 115.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Tulane Green Wave Cover the Spread?

This season the Tulane Green Wave have played 24 games, averaging 61.8 points per game, while allowing 64.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Tulane Green Wave results.

Recent Tulane Green Wave Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 7, 2012 Tulane 64UAB72-6.5117.5
March 3, 2012 East Carolina 66Tulane49-3.0129.5
February 29, 2012 Tulane 53Houston82-1.5135.0
February 25, 2012 Tulsa 73Tulane693.0125.0
February 22, 2012 Tulane 50SMU64-2.5115.5
February 18, 2012 Tulane 73UAB81-7.0114.5
February 15, 2012 Memphis 82Tulane647.5128.5

This season the Tulane Green Wave have played 11 games on the road, averaging 57.3 points per game, while allowing 69.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Tulane Green Wave results on the road.

Recent Tulane Green Wave Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 7, 2012 Tulane 64UAB72-6.5117.5
February 29, 2012 Tulane 53Houston82-1.5135.0
February 22, 2012 Tulane 50SMU64-2.5115.5
February 18, 2012 Tulane 73UAB81-7.0114.5
February 11, 2012 Tulane 52UTEP54-5.5120.5

Can the SMU Mustangs Cover the Spread?

This season the SMU Mustangs have played 27 games, averaging 57.9 points per game, while allowing 61.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-16. Let's have a closer look at recent SMU Mustangs results.

Recent SMU Mustangs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 7, 2012 SMU 56Marshall74-7.0120.0
March 3, 2012 UTEP 48SMU57-2.0115.0
February 29, 2012 SMU 60Southern Miss67-11.5121.0
February 25, 2012 SMU 59Houston62-1.0129.5
February 22, 2012 Tulane 50SMU64-2.5115.5
February 18, 2012 Marshall 73SMU684.0118.5
February 15, 2012 UAB 47SMU28112.5
February 11, 2012 SMU 39Rice43-5.5126.0
February 8, 2012 TCU 62SMU68-1.5125.0
February 4, 2012 Central Florida 59SMU524.0116.0

This season the SMU Mustangs have played 13 games here at home, averaging 59.2 points per game, while allowing 58.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-6. Let's have a closer look at recent SMU Mustangs results when playing at home.

Recent SMU Mustangs Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 3, 2012 UTEP 48SMU57-2.0115.0
February 22, 2012 Tulane 50SMU64-2.5115.5
February 18, 2012 Marshall 73SMU684.0118.5
February 15, 2012 UAB 47SMU28112.5
February 8, 2012 TCU 62SMU68-1.5125.0
February 4, 2012 Central Florida 59SMU524.0116.0
January 28, 2012 Tulsa 66SMU602.5115.5
January 18, 2012 Houston 54SMU70-6.0126.5
January 11, 2012 Rice 68SMU52-2.0125.0
December 31, 2011 Louisiana Tech 65SMU73-8.5121.0

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