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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Vanderbilt Commodores
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 8:00 PM | Home Line: -13.0 | Total: 133.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffSouth Carolina Gamecocks v Vanderbilt Commodores Series Betting Trends
The South Carolina Gamecocks travel to Vanderbilt to play the Commodores at 8:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Vanderbilt is the favorite in this matchup, laying -13.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 133.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Gamecocks/Commodores Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | South Carolina | 48 | Vanderbilt | 59 | -13.0 | 133.5 |
| January 10, 2012 | Vanderbilt | 67 | South Carolina | 57 | 4.0 | 131.0 |
| February 5, 2011 | South Carolina | 60 | Vanderbilt | 78 | -11.5 | 144.5 |
| January 8, 2011 | Vanderbilt | 75 | South Carolina | 83 | 5.5 | 141.0 |
| March 6, 2010 | South Carolina | 77 | Vanderbilt | 73 | -10.5 | 149.5 |
| January 16, 2010 | Vanderbilt | 89 | South Carolina | 79 | 1.0 | 150.5 |
| February 28, 2009 | South Carolina | 83 | Vanderbilt | 96 | -2.0 | 144.0 |
| January 28, 2009 | Vanderbilt | 76 | South Carolina | 86 | -14.0 | 145.0 |
| February 9, 2008 | Vanderbilt | 66 | South Carolina | 65 | ||
| January 9, 2008 | South Carolina | 73 | Vanderbilt | 80 |
When looking at the last 22 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 11 games compared to 11 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the South Carolina/Vanderbilt series is 71.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 69.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.3 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 22 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.3 ppg. That represents a value number of -11.7 when meassured against the offered line of -13.0, suggesting a wager on South Carolina makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 22 games between the Gamecocks and the Commodores is 141.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 133.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with South Carolina as the road team and with Vanderbilt as the home team.
Recent Results when South Carolina visits Vanderbilt
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | South Carolina | 48 | Vanderbilt | 59 | -13.0 | 133.5 |
| February 5, 2011 | South Carolina | 60 | Vanderbilt | 78 | -11.5 | 144.5 |
| March 6, 2010 | South Carolina | 77 | Vanderbilt | 73 | -10.5 | 149.5 |
| February 28, 2009 | South Carolina | 83 | Vanderbilt | 96 | -2.0 | 144.0 |
| January 9, 2008 | South Carolina | 73 | Vanderbilt | 80 | ||
| February 14, 2007 | South Carolina | 68 | Vanderbilt | 78 | ||
| January 18, 2006 | South Carolina | 66 | Vanderbilt | 64 |
When looking at the last 11 games in this series while Vanderbilt has been the home team, we can see the Commodores have won 6 games compared to 5 wins for the Gamecocks. Average points scored per game by Vanderbilt in this situation is is 70.3 ppg while South Carolina has put up 67.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.4 favoring the Gamecocks.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -10.6 when meassured against the offered line of -13.0, suggesting a wager on the Gamecocks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Gamecocks and the Commodores is 138.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 133.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the South Carolina Gamecocks Cover the Spread?
This season the South Carolina Gamecocks have played 26 games, averaging 60.1 points per game, while allowing 66.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-21. Let's have a closer look at recent South Carolina Gamecocks results.
Recent South Carolina Gamecocks Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 8, 2012 | South Carolina | 57 | Alabama | 63 | -9.0 | 114.5 |
| March 3, 2012 | South Carolina | 55 | Georgia | 67 | -6.0 | 119.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | Mississippi St. | 69 | South Carolina | 67 | 3.0 | 130.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Tennessee | 73 | South Carolina | 64 | 2.5 | 125.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | South Carolina | 48 | Vanderbilt | 59 | -13.0 | 133.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | LSU | 68 | South Carolina | 58 | -3.0 | 124.0 |
| February 15, 2012 | Georgia | 56 | South Carolina | 57 | -3.5 | 122.0 |
This season the South Carolina Gamecocks have played 12 games on the road, averaging 58.3 points per game, while allowing 68.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-11. Let's have a closer look at recent South Carolina Gamecocks results on the road.
Recent South Carolina Gamecocks Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 8, 2012 | South Carolina | 57 | Alabama | 63 | -9.0 | 114.5 |
| March 3, 2012 | South Carolina | 55 | Georgia | 67 | -6.0 | 119.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | South Carolina | 48 | Vanderbilt | 59 | -13.0 | 133.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | South Carolina | 65 | Arkansas | 76 | -5.5 | 137.0 |
| February 8, 2012 | South Carolina | 57 | Tennessee | 69 | -7.5 | 121.0 |
Can the Vanderbilt Commodores Cover the Spread?
This season the Vanderbilt Commodores have played 33 games, averaging 70.2 points per game, while allowing 63.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-21. Let's have a closer look at recent Vanderbilt Commodores results.
Recent Vanderbilt Commodores Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 17, 2012 | Vanderbilt | 57 | Wisconsin | 60 | -1.0 | 121.5 |
| March 15, 2012 | Harvard | 70 | Vanderbilt | 79 | -5.5 | 123.0 |
| March 11, 2012 | Vanderbilt | 71 | Kentucky | 64 | -7.5 | 137.5 |
| March 10, 2012 | Mississippi | 53 | Vanderbilt | 65 | -7.0 | 133.0 |
| March 9, 2012 | Georgia | 41 | Vanderbilt | 63 | -7.0 | 126.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | Vanderbilt | 61 | Tennessee | 68 | 1.5 | 136.5 |
| February 28, 2012 | Florida | 67 | Vanderbilt | 77 | -3.5 | 139.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | Vanderbilt | 74 | Kentucky | 83 | ||
| February 22, 2012 | South Carolina | 48 | Vanderbilt | 59 | -13.0 | 133.5 |
| February 19, 2012 | Vanderbilt | 61 | Georgia | 52 | 6.0 | 129.5 |
This season the Vanderbilt Commodores have played 19 games here at home, averaging 68.9 points per game, while allowing 60.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Vanderbilt Commodores results when playing at home.
Recent Vanderbilt Commodores Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15, 2012 | Harvard | 70 | Vanderbilt | 79 | -5.5 | 123.0 |
| March 10, 2012 | Mississippi | 53 | Vanderbilt | 65 | -7.0 | 133.0 |
| March 9, 2012 | Georgia | 41 | Vanderbilt | 63 | -7.0 | 126.0 |
| February 28, 2012 | Florida | 67 | Vanderbilt | 77 | -3.5 | 139.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | South Carolina | 48 | Vanderbilt | 59 | -13.0 | 133.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Kentucky | 69 | Vanderbilt | 63 | 5.0 | 135.5 |
| February 8, 2012 | LSU | 61 | Vanderbilt | 76 | -11.0 | 133.5 |
| January 28, 2012 | Mid Tennessee | 77 | Vanderbilt | 84 | -8.5 | 129.0 |
| January 24, 2012 | Tennessee | 47 | Vanderbilt | 65 | -9.0 | 128.5 |
| January 21, 2012 | Mississippi St. | 78 | Vanderbilt | 77 | -7.0 | 141.5 |
