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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Georgia Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 8:00 PM | Home Line: -5.5 | Total: 120.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffGeorgia Bulldogs v LSU Tigers Series Betting Trends
The Georgia Bulldogs travel to LSU to play the Tigers at 8:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. LSU is the favorite in this matchup, laying -5.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 120.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Bulldogs/Tigers Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Georgia | 53 | LSU | 61 | -5.5 | 120.0 |
| March 2, 2011 | LSU | 53 | Georgia | 73 | -15.0 | 125.5 |
| March 6, 2010 | Georgia | 48 | LSU | 50 | -1.5 | 130.0 |
| February 4, 2009 | LSU | 80 | Georgia | 62 | ||
| March 2, 2008 | Georgia | 64 | LSU | 71 | ||
| January 28, 2007 | LSU | 54 | Georgia | 57 | ||
| January 25, 2006 | Georgia | 52 | LSU | 81 | ||
| February 2, 2005 | LSU | 95 | Georgia | 79 | ||
| January 28, 2004 | Georgia | 59 | LSU | 63 | ||
| January 5, 2003 | LSU | 63 | Georgia | 89 |
When looking at the last 13 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 5 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Georgia/LSU series is 67.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 62.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.7 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 13 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.7 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.8 when meassured against the offered line of -5.5, suggesting a wager on Georgia makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 13 games between the Bulldogs and the Tigers is 130.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 10.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 120.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Georgia as the road team and with LSU as the home team.
Recent Results when Georgia visits LSU
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Georgia | 53 | LSU | 61 | -5.5 | 120.0 |
| March 6, 2010 | Georgia | 48 | LSU | 50 | -1.5 | 130.0 |
| March 2, 2008 | Georgia | 64 | LSU | 71 | ||
| January 25, 2006 | Georgia | 52 | LSU | 81 | ||
| January 28, 2004 | Georgia | 59 | LSU | 63 | ||
| February 23, 2002 | Georgia | 55 | LSU | 54 |
When looking at the last 6 games in this series while LSU has been the home team, we can see the Tigers have won 5 games compared to 1 wins for the Bulldogs. Average points scored per game by LSU in this situation is is 63.3 ppg while Georgia has put up 55.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.1 favoring the Tigers.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.6 when meassured against the offered line of -5.5, suggesting a wager on the Tigers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 6 games between the Bulldogs and the Tigers is 118.5 per game. That creates a differential of 1.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 120.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Georgia Bulldogs Cover the Spread?
This season the Georgia Bulldogs have played 28 games, averaging 59.1 points per game, while allowing 62.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-17. Let's have a closer look at recent Georgia Bulldogs results.
Recent Georgia Bulldogs Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 9, 2012 | Georgia | 41 | Vanderbilt | 63 | -7.0 | 126.0 |
| March 8, 2012 | Georgia | 71 | Mississippi St. | 61 | -5.0 | 120.5 |
| March 3, 2012 | South Carolina | 55 | Georgia | 67 | -6.0 | 119.5 |
| March 1, 2012 | Georgia | 49 | Kentucky | 79 | -18.5 | 127.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Florida | 62 | Georgia | 76 | 7.0 | 130.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Georgia | 53 | LSU | 61 | -5.5 | 120.0 |
| February 19, 2012 | Vanderbilt | 61 | Georgia | 52 | 6.0 | 129.5 |
This season the Georgia Bulldogs have played 13 games on the road, averaging 58.0 points per game, while allowing 66.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-10. Let's have a closer look at recent Georgia Bulldogs results on the road.
Recent Georgia Bulldogs Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 9, 2012 | Georgia | 41 | Vanderbilt | 63 | -7.0 | 126.0 |
| March 8, 2012 | Georgia | 71 | Mississippi St. | 61 | -5.0 | 120.5 |
| March 1, 2012 | Georgia | 49 | Kentucky | 79 | -18.5 | 127.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Georgia | 53 | LSU | 61 | -5.5 | 120.0 |
| February 15, 2012 | Georgia | 56 | South Carolina | 57 | -3.5 | 122.0 |
Can the LSU Tigers Cover the Spread?
This season the LSU Tigers have played 31 games, averaging 64.8 points per game, while allowing 64.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-17. Let's have a closer look at recent LSU Tigers results.
Recent LSU Tigers Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 13, 2012 | LSU | 76 | Oregon | 96 | -7.5 | 136.5 |
| March 9, 2012 | LSU | 51 | Kentucky | 60 | -17.0 | 129.5 |
| March 8, 2012 | Arkansas | 54 | LSU | 70 | -2.5 | 136.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | LSU | 52 | Auburn | 67 | -1.0 | 120.0 |
| February 29, 2012 | Tennessee | 74 | LSU | 69 | -1.0 | 125.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | LSU | 48 | Mississippi | 72 | ||
| February 22, 2012 | Georgia | 53 | LSU | 61 | -5.5 | 120.0 |
| February 18, 2012 | LSU | 68 | South Carolina | 58 | -3.0 | 124.0 |
| February 14, 2012 | Mississippi St. | 67 | LSU | 69 | 1.0 | 134.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | Alabama | 58 | LSU | 67 | -3.0 | 120.5 |
This season the LSU Tigers have played 17 games here at home, averaging 67.2 points per game, while allowing 59.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-4. Let's have a closer look at recent LSU Tigers results when playing at home.
Recent LSU Tigers Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 8, 2012 | Arkansas | 54 | LSU | 70 | -2.5 | 136.0 |
| February 29, 2012 | Tennessee | 74 | LSU | 69 | -1.0 | 125.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Georgia | 53 | LSU | 61 | -5.5 | 120.0 |
| February 14, 2012 | Mississippi St. | 67 | LSU | 69 | 1.0 | 134.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | Alabama | 58 | LSU | 67 | -3.0 | 120.5 |
| February 4, 2012 | Arkansas | 65 | LSU | 71 | -4.0 | 134.5 |
| January 28, 2012 | Kentucky | 74 | LSU | 50 | 9.5 | 133.0 |
| January 17, 2012 | Auburn | 58 | LSU | 65 | -10.0 | 121.0 |
| January 7, 2012 | Mississippi | 55 | LSU | 81 | -5.5 | 121.0 |
| January 7, 2012 | Mississippi | 55 | LSU | 81 |
