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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Wichita St. Shockers vs Illinois St. Redbirds
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 8:00 PM | Home Line: 6.0 | Total: 137.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffWichita St. Shockers v Illinois St. Redbirds Series Betting Trends
The Wichita St. Shockers travel to Illinois St. to play the Redbirds at 8:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Illinois St. is the underdog in this matchup, getting 6.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 137.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Shockers/Redbirds Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | Illinois St. | 65 | Wichita St. | 64 | ||
| March 3, 2012 | Illinois St. | 65 | Wichita St. | 64 | -12.0 | 131.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Wichita St. | 68 | Illinois St. | 55 | 6.0 | 137.5 |
| January 10, 2012 | Illinois St. | 62 | Wichita St. | 65 | -13.5 | 134.5 |
| February 5, 2011 | Illinois St. | 57 | Wichita St. | 74 | -15.0 | 127.0 |
| January 7, 2011 | Wichita St. | 65 | Illinois St. | 51 | 8.0 | 132.0 |
| March 6, 2010 | Illinois St. | 61 | Wichita St. | 65 | -3.0 | 129.0 |
| January 27, 2010 | Illinois St. | 66 | Wichita St. | 74 | -7.0 | 132.0 |
| December 29, 2009 | Wichita St. | 57 | Illinois St. | 72 | -1.5 | 135.0 |
| February 18, 2009 | Wichita St. | 59 | Illinois St. | 74 |
When looking at the last 25 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 16 games compared to 9 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Wichita St./Illinois St. series is 66.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 63.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.1 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 25 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 9.1 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on Illinois St. makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 25 games between the Shockers and the Redbirds is 130.5 per game. That creates a differential of 7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 137.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Wichita St. as the road team and with Illinois St. as the home team.
Recent Results when Wichita St. visits Illinois St.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Wichita St. | 68 | Illinois St. | 55 | 6.0 | 137.5 |
| January 7, 2011 | Wichita St. | 65 | Illinois St. | 51 | 8.0 | 132.0 |
| December 29, 2009 | Wichita St. | 57 | Illinois St. | 72 | -1.5 | 135.0 |
| February 18, 2009 | Wichita St. | 59 | Illinois St. | 74 | ||
| January 16, 2008 | Wichita St. | 51 | Illinois St. | 72 | ||
| January 18, 2007 | Wichita St. | 75 | Illinois St. | 83 | ||
| January 8, 2006 | Wichita St. | 56 | Illinois St. | 47 |
When looking at the last 11 games in this series while Illinois St. has been the home team, we can see the Redbirds have won 5 games compared to 6 wins for the Shockers. Average points scored per game by Illinois St. in this situation is is 64.8 ppg while Wichita St. has put up 65.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.4 favoring the Redbirds.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 0.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 6.4 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on the Redbirds makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Shockers and the Redbirds is 130 per game. That creates a differential of 7.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 137.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Wichita St. Shockers Cover the Spread?
This season the Wichita St. Shockers have played 31 games, averaging 75.1 points per game, while allowing 63.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 24-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Wichita St. Shockers results.
Recent Wichita St. Shockers Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15, 2012 | Va Commonwealth | 62 | Wichita St. | 59 | -7.5 | 138.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | Illinois St. | 65 | Wichita St. | 64 | ||
| March 3, 2012 | Illinois St. | 65 | Wichita St. | 64 | -12.0 | 131.5 |
| March 2, 2012 | Indiana St. | 48 | Wichita St. | 72 | ||
| February 25, 2012 | Drake | 58 | Wichita St. | 81 | ||
| February 22, 2012 | Wichita St. | 68 | Illinois St. | 55 | 6.0 | 137.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Wichita St. | 91 | Davidson | 74 | 2.5 | 150.0 |
This season the Wichita St. Shockers have played 14 games on the road, averaging 76.6 points per game, while allowing 68.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Wichita St. Shockers results on the road.
Recent Wichita St. Shockers Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Wichita St. | 68 | Illinois St. | 55 | 6.0 | 137.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Wichita St. | 91 | Davidson | 74 | 2.5 | 150.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | Wichita St. | 89 | Creighton | 68 | 145.5 | |
| February 1, 2012 | Wichita St. | 74 | SW Missouri St. | 67 | 5.0 | 133.5 |
| January 28, 2012 | Wichita St. | 86 | Drake | 93 | 9.5 | 137.5 |
Can the Illinois St. Redbirds Cover the Spread?
This season the Illinois St. Redbirds have played 30 games, averaging 69.1 points per game, while allowing 68.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Illinois St. Redbirds results.
Recent Illinois St. Redbirds Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 19, 2012 | Illinois St. | 88 | Stanford | 92 | -9.0 | 136.0 |
| March 14, 2012 | Illinois St. | 96 | Mississippi | 93 | -6.0 | 134.0 |
| March 4, 2012 | Illinois St. | 79 | Creighton | 83 | ||
| March 3, 2012 | Illinois St. | 65 | Wichita St. | 64 | ||
| March 3, 2012 | Illinois St. | 65 | Wichita St. | 64 | -12.0 | 131.5 |
| March 2, 2012 | Northern Iowa | 42 | Illinois St. | 54 | 2.5 | 121.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Wichita St. | 68 | Illinois St. | 55 | 6.0 | 137.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Oakland | 75 | Illinois St. | 79 | -5.5 | 152.0 |
| February 14, 2012 | Illinois St. | 77 | Indiana St. | 83 | -4.0 | 129.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | Illinois St. | 63 | Northern Iowa | 78 | -6.0 | 124.5 |
This season the Illinois St. Redbirds have played 14 games here at home, averaging 67.8 points per game, while allowing 60.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Illinois St. Redbirds results when playing at home.
Recent Illinois St. Redbirds Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2, 2012 | Northern Iowa | 42 | Illinois St. | 54 | 2.5 | 121.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Wichita St. | 68 | Illinois St. | 55 | 6.0 | 137.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Oakland | 75 | Illinois St. | 79 | -5.5 | 152.0 |
| February 8, 2012 | Drake | 53 | Illinois St. | 64 | -8.0 | 130.0 |
| February 4, 2012 | 48 | Illinois St. | 78 | |||
| January 28, 2012 | Southern Illinois | 40 | Illinois St. | 60 | -9.0 | 136.0 |
| January 25, 2012 | SW Missouri St. | 69 | Illinois St. | 76 | -1.0 | 131.0 |
| January 18, 2012 | Indiana St. | 54 | Illinois St. | 67 | -4.5 | 131.0 |
| January 13, 2012 | Creighton | 87 | Illinois St. | 78 | 2.0 | 142.0 |
| January 7, 2012 | Evansville | 73 | Illinois St. | 75 | -8.0 | 136.5 |
