NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Boise St. Broncos vs UNLV Rebels

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 10:15 PM | Home Line: -13.0 | Total: 141.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Boise St. Broncos v UNLV Rebels Series Betting Trends

The Boise St. Broncos travel to UNLV to play the Rebels at 10:15 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. UNLV is the favorite in this matchup, laying -13.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 141.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Broncos/Rebels Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Boise St. 58UNLV75-13.0141.5
January 25, 2012 UNLV 77Boise St.7210.0147.5
December 8, 2010 Boise St. 72UNLV75-15.0138.0
March 17, 2004 UNLV 69Boise St.84

When looking at the last 4 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 3 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Boise St./UNLV series is 76.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 69 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 4 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.5 ppg. That represents a value number of -5.5 when meassured against the offered line of -13.0, suggesting a wager on Boise St. makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Broncos and the Rebels is 145.5 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 141.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Boise St. as the road team and with UNLV as the home team.

Recent Results when Boise St. visits UNLV

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Boise St. 58UNLV75-13.0141.5
December 8, 2010 Boise St. 72UNLV75-15.0138.0

When looking at the last 2 games in this series while UNLV has been the home team, we can see the Rebels have won 2 games compared to 0 wins for the Broncos. Average points scored per game by UNLV in this situation is is 75 ppg while Boise St. has put up 65 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 10 favoring the Broncos.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 10 ppg. That represents a value number of -3 when meassured against the offered line of -13.0, suggesting a wager on the Broncos makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 2 games between the Broncos and the Rebels is 140 per game. That creates a differential of 1.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 141.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Boise St. Broncos Cover the Spread?

This season the Boise St. Broncos have played 29 games, averaging 67.4 points per game, while allowing 67.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-17. Let's have a closer look at recent Boise St. Broncos results.

Recent Boise St. Broncos Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 8, 2012 Boise St. 62San Diego St.65-7.0130.0
March 3, 2012 Boise St. 61New Mexico76-14.5131.5
February 29, 2012 San Diego St. 66Boise St.532.5133.5
February 25, 2012 Boise St. 54Wyoming64-7.0118.0
February 22, 2012 Boise St. 58UNLV75-13.0141.5
February 18, 2012 TCU 64Boise St.65-6.0141.5
February 15, 2012 Colorado St. 69Boise St.70-3.0137.0

This season the Boise St. Broncos have played 13 games on the road, averaging 59.2 points per game, while allowing 68.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-12. Let's have a closer look at recent Boise St. Broncos results on the road.

Recent Boise St. Broncos Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 8, 2012 Boise St. 62San Diego St.65-7.0130.0
March 3, 2012 Boise St. 61New Mexico76-14.5131.5
February 25, 2012 Boise St. 54Wyoming64-7.0118.0
February 22, 2012 Boise St. 58UNLV75-13.0141.5
February 11, 2012 Boise St. 72Air Force61-2.0120.0

Can the UNLV Rebels Cover the Spread?

This season the UNLV Rebels have played 33 games, averaging 74.7 points per game, while allowing 66.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-17. Let's have a closer look at recent UNLV Rebels results.

Recent UNLV Rebels Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 15, 2012 Colorado 68UNLV64-5.5136.5
March 9, 2012 New Mexico 72UNLV67-3.5134.0
March 8, 2012 Wyoming 48UNLV56-9.0128.0
March 3, 2012 Wyoming 63UNLV74-10.5127.0
February 29, 2012 UNLV 59Colorado St.664.0141.5
February 29, 2012 UNLV 59Colorado St.66
February 25, 2012 Air Force 58UNLV68-16.5130.5
February 22, 2012 Boise St. 58UNLV75-13.0141.5
February 18, 2012 UNLV 45New Mexico65-4.5141.0
February 14, 2012 UNLV 97TCU1028.5146.5

This season the UNLV Rebels have played 19 games here at home, averaging 78.2 points per game, while allowing 62.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-2. Let's have a closer look at recent UNLV Rebels results when playing at home.

Recent UNLV Rebels Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 15, 2012 Colorado 68UNLV64-5.5136.5
March 9, 2012 New Mexico 72UNLV67-3.5134.0
March 8, 2012 Wyoming 48UNLV56-9.0128.0
March 3, 2012 Wyoming 63UNLV74-10.5127.0
February 25, 2012 Air Force 58UNLV68-16.5130.5
February 22, 2012 Boise St. 58UNLV75-13.0141.5
February 11, 2012 San Diego St. 63UNLV65-10.0143.0
February 1, 2012 Colorado St. 63UNLV82-14.0145.0
January 21, 2012 New Mexico 63UNLV80-6.5149.0
January 18, 2012 TCU 78UNLV101-19.0154.5

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