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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Santa Barbara Gauchos vs Long Beach St. 49ers
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 11:00 PM | Home Line: -7.5 | Total: 140.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffSanta Barbara Gauchos v Long Beach St. 49ers Series Betting Trends
The Santa Barbara Gauchos travel to Long Beach St. to play the 49ers at 11:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Long Beach St. is the favorite in this matchup, laying -7.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 140.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Gauchos/49ers Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 10, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 77 | -4.0 | 132.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 58 | Long Beach St. | 70 | -7.5 | 140.0 |
| January 21, 2012 | Long Beach St. | 71 | Santa Barbara | 48 | 1.5 | 141.0 |
| March 12, 2011 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 56 | -3.5 | 134.0 |
| February 26, 2011 | Santa Barbara | 53 | Long Beach St. | 71 | -5.5 | 138.5 |
| December 28, 2010 | Long Beach St. | 71 | Santa Barbara | 55 | -6.5 | 139.5 |
| March 13, 2010 | Long Beach St. | 64 | Santa Barbara | 69 | -1.0 | 133.5 |
| February 13, 2010 | Long Beach St. | 62 | Santa Barbara | 64 | -4.0 | 137.5 |
| January 14, 2010 | Santa Barbara | 47 | Long Beach St. | 67 | -4.5 | 216.0 |
| March 7, 2009 | Long Beach St. | 75 | Santa Barbara | 76 | -4.0 | 135.0 |
When looking at the last 11 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 3 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Santa Barbara/Long Beach St. series is 66.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 63 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.3 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 11 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.3 ppg. That represents a value number of -4.2 when meassured against the offered line of -7.5, suggesting a wager on Santa Barbara makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Gauchos and the 49ers is 129.3 per game. That creates a differential of 10.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 140.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Santa Barbara as the road team and with Long Beach St. as the home team.
Recent Results when Santa Barbara visits Long Beach St.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 10, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 77 | -4.0 | 132.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 58 | Long Beach St. | 70 | -7.5 | 140.0 |
| March 12, 2011 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 56 | -3.5 | 134.0 |
| February 26, 2011 | Santa Barbara | 53 | Long Beach St. | 71 | -5.5 | 138.5 |
| January 14, 2010 | Santa Barbara | 47 | Long Beach St. | 67 | -4.5 | 216.0 |
| January 2, 2009 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 76 |
When looking at the last 6 games in this series while Long Beach St. has been the home team, we can see the 49ers have won 5 games compared to 1 wins for the Gauchos. Average points scored per game by Long Beach St. in this situation is is 69.5 ppg while Santa Barbara has put up 58.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 11.2 favoring the 49ers.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 11.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.7 when meassured against the offered line of -7.5, suggesting a wager on the 49ers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 6 games between the Gauchos and the 49ers is 127.8 per game. That creates a differential of 12.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 140.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Santa Barbara Gauchos Cover the Spread?
This season the Santa Barbara Gauchos have played 29 games, averaging 72.6 points per game, while allowing 67.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Santa Barbara Gauchos results.
Recent Santa Barbara Gauchos Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 14, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 83 | Idaho | 86 | -1.5 | 136.5 |
| March 10, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 77 | -4.0 | 132.0 |
| March 9, 2012 | Cal Poly | 52 | Santa Barbara | 64 | -5.0 | 124.5 |
| March 8, 2012 | Pacific | 52 | Santa Barbara | 72 | -9.5 | 127.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | UC Davis | 43 | Santa Barbara | 90 | -18.5 | 137.0 |
| March 1, 2012 | Pacific | 61 | Santa Barbara | 76 | -11.5 | 131.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | Cal Poly | 60 | Santa Barbara | 68 | -7.5 | 129.0 |
This season the Santa Barbara Gauchos have played 15 games on the road, averaging 71.5 points per game, while allowing 72.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Santa Barbara Gauchos results on the road.
Recent Santa Barbara Gauchos Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 14, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 83 | Idaho | 86 | -1.5 | 136.5 |
| March 10, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 77 | -4.0 | 132.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 58 | Long Beach St. | 70 | -7.5 | 140.0 |
| February 18, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 72 | Utah St. | 64 | -2.0 | 134.5 |
| February 15, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 85 | Cal Irvine | 62 | 5.0 | 140.5 |
Can the Long Beach St. 49ers Cover the Spread?
This season the Long Beach St. 49ers have played 33 games, averaging 73.6 points per game, while allowing 65.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 24-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Long Beach St. 49ers results.
Recent Long Beach St. 49ers Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15, 2012 | Long Beach St. | 68 | New Mexico | 75 | -4.0 | 138.5 |
| March 10, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 77 | -4.0 | 132.0 |
| March 9, 2012 | Cal Irvine | 57 | Long Beach St. | 68 | -13.0 | 137.0 |
| March 8, 2012 | UC Davis | 46 | Long Beach St. | 80 | -19.5 | 137.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | Long Beach St. | 74 | CS Fullerton | 77 | 5.0 | 153.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | Cal Irvine | 50 | Long Beach St. | 77 | -17.0 | 146.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | UC Riverside | 40 | Long Beach St. | 64 | -16.5 | 126.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 58 | Long Beach St. | 70 | -7.5 | 140.0 |
| February 18, 2012 | Long Beach St. | 79 | Creighton | 81 | -4.5 | 150.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Long Beach St. | 89 | UC Davis | 69 | 18.0 | 139.0 |
This season the Long Beach St. 49ers have played 14 games here at home, averaging 72.8 points per game, while allowing 57.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Long Beach St. 49ers results when playing at home.
Recent Long Beach St. 49ers Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 10, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 64 | Long Beach St. | 77 | -4.0 | 132.0 |
| March 9, 2012 | Cal Irvine | 57 | Long Beach St. | 68 | -13.0 | 137.0 |
| March 8, 2012 | UC Davis | 46 | Long Beach St. | 80 | -19.5 | 137.0 |
| February 29, 2012 | Cal Irvine | 50 | Long Beach St. | 77 | -17.0 | 146.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | UC Riverside | 40 | Long Beach St. | 64 | -16.5 | 126.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Santa Barbara | 58 | Long Beach St. | 70 | -7.5 | 140.0 |
| February 4, 2012 | CS Northridge | 67 | Long Beach St. | 75 | ||
| February 4, 2012 | CS Northridge | 67 | Long Beach St. | 75 | -23.0 | 144.5 |
| January 28, 2012 | CS Fullerton | 61 | Long Beach St. | 75 | -12.0 | 151.0 |
| January 14, 2012 | Pacific | 66 | Long Beach St. | 76 | -18.5 | 134.5 |
