NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

West Virginia Moutaineers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -2.5 | Total: 125.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

West Virginia Moutaineers v Notre Dame Fighting Irish Series Betting Trends

The West Virginia Moutaineers travel to Notre Dame to play the Fighting Irish at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Notre Dame is the favorite in this matchup, laying -2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 125.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Moutaineers/Fighting Irish Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 West Virginia 44Notre Dame71-2.5125.5
February 8, 2012 Notre Dame 55West Virginia51-7.0127.0
February 19, 2011 Notre Dame 58West Virginia72-4.0130.5
March 12, 2010 Notre Dame 51West Virginia53
March 12, 2010 Notre Dame 51West Virginia53-5.0127.0
January 9, 2010 West Virginia 68Notre Dame703.5149.0
March 11, 2009 Notre Dame 62West Virginia74-5.5139.5
February 18, 2009 Notre Dame 68West Virginia79
January 3, 2008 West Virginia 56Notre Dame69
January 9, 2007 West Virginia 58Notre Dame61

When looking at the last 18 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 14 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the West Virginia/Notre Dame series is 66.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 60.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 18 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.6 when meassured against the offered line of -2.5, suggesting a wager on Notre Dame makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 18 games between the Moutaineers and the Fighting Irish is 127.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 125.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with West Virginia as the road team and with Notre Dame as the home team.

Recent Results when West Virginia visits Notre Dame

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 West Virginia 44Notre Dame71-2.5125.5
January 9, 2010 West Virginia 68Notre Dame703.5149.0
January 3, 2008 West Virginia 56Notre Dame69
January 9, 2007 West Virginia 58Notre Dame61
March 10, 2004 West Virginia 64Notre Dame65
January 7, 2004 West Virginia 52Notre Dame63
January 29, 2003 West Virginia 69Notre Dame88

When looking at the last 8 games in this series while Notre Dame has been the home team, we can see the Fighting Irish have won 8 games compared to 0 wins for the Moutaineers. Average points scored per game by Notre Dame in this situation is is 72 ppg while West Virginia has put up 60.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 11.1 favoring the Fighting Irish.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 11.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.6 when meassured against the offered line of -2.5, suggesting a wager on the Fighting Irish makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Moutaineers and the Fighting Irish is 132.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 125.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the West Virginia Moutaineers Cover the Spread?

This season the West Virginia Moutaineers have played 30 games, averaging 69.6 points per game, while allowing 66.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-14. Let's have a closer look at recent West Virginia Moutaineers results.

Recent West Virginia Moutaineers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 15, 2012 West Virginia 54Gonzaga771.5133.0
March 7, 2012 Connecticut 71West Virginia672.0129.5
March 3, 2012 West Virginia 50South Florida44-2.0117.5
February 28, 2012 DePaul 75West Virginia92-13.5147.5
February 24, 2012 Marquette 61West Virginia60-1.5143.0
February 22, 2012 West Virginia 44Notre Dame71-2.5125.5
February 16, 2012 West Virginia 66Pittsburgh48-3.0135.5

This season the West Virginia Moutaineers have played 13 games on the road, averaging 64.5 points per game, while allowing 67.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-7. Let's have a closer look at recent West Virginia Moutaineers results on the road.

Recent West Virginia Moutaineers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 15, 2012 West Virginia 54Gonzaga771.5133.0
March 3, 2012 West Virginia 50South Florida44-2.0117.5
February 22, 2012 West Virginia 44Notre Dame71-2.5125.5
February 16, 2012 West Virginia 66Pittsburgh48-3.0135.5
February 5, 2012 West Virginia 87Providence844.5143.5

Can the Notre Dame Fighting Irish Cover the Spread?

This season the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have played 28 games, averaging 61.9 points per game, while allowing 61.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Notre Dame Fighting Irish results.

Recent Notre Dame Fighting Irish Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 16, 2012 Xavier 67Notre Dame63-1.5123.0
March 9, 2012 Louisville 64Notre Dame503.5119.5
March 8, 2012 South Florida 53Notre Dame57-2.5107.5
March 2, 2012 Providence 69Notre Dame75-10.5130.5
February 27, 2012 Notre Dame 41Georgetown59-6.0121.5
February 25, 2012 Notre Dame 58St. Johns61
February 22, 2012 West Virginia 44Notre Dame71-2.5125.5
February 18, 2012 Notre Dame 74Villanova702.5133.0
February 15, 2012 Rutgers 53Notre Dame71-7.5123.5
February 11, 2012 DePaul 76Notre Dame84-13.5138.5

This season the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have played 14 games here at home, averaging 65.9 points per game, while allowing 58.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Notre Dame Fighting Irish results when playing at home.

Recent Notre Dame Fighting Irish Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 16, 2012 Xavier 67Notre Dame63-1.5123.0
March 9, 2012 Louisville 64Notre Dame503.5119.5
March 8, 2012 South Florida 53Notre Dame57-2.5107.5
March 2, 2012 Providence 69Notre Dame75-10.5130.5
February 22, 2012 West Virginia 44Notre Dame71-2.5125.5
February 15, 2012 Rutgers 53Notre Dame71-7.5123.5
February 11, 2012 DePaul 76Notre Dame84-13.5138.5
February 4, 2012 Marquette 59Notre Dame761.0129.0
January 21, 2012 Syracuse 58Notre Dame678.5134.5
January 14, 2012 Connecticut 67Notre Dame532.0131.0

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