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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Appalachian St. Mountaineers vs Citadel Bulldogs
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 4.0 | Total: 131.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffAppalachian St. Mountaineers v Citadel Bulldogs Series Betting Trends
The Appalachian St. Mountaineers travel to Citadel to play the Bulldogs at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Citadel is the underdog in this matchup, getting 4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 131.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Mountaineers/Bulldogs Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 51 | Citadel | 62 | 4.0 | 131.5 |
| February 26, 2011 | Citadel | 59 | Appalachian St. | 70 | -8.5 | 140.0 |
| January 20, 2011 | Appalachian St. | 63 | Citadel | 81 | 2.5 | 138.5 |
| March 6, 2010 | Citadel | 61 | Appalachian St. | 71 | -3.0 | 127.0 |
| January 6, 2010 | Citadel | 62 | Appalachian St. | 58 | -6.5 | 130.0 |
| February 12, 2009 | Appalachian St. | 73 | Citadel | 78 | ||
| February 5, 2009 | Citadel | 74 | Appalachian St. | 72 | ||
| February 9, 2008 | Citadel | 71 | Appalachian St. | 75 | ||
| January 27, 2007 | Citadel | 54 | Appalachian St. | 95 | ||
| December 4, 2006 | Appalachian St. | 56 | Citadel | 52 |
When looking at the last 16 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 11 games compared to 5 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Appalachian St./Citadel series is 71.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 64.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.7 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 16 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 11.7 when meassured against the offered line of 4.0, suggesting a wager on Citadel makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Mountaineers and the Bulldogs is 136.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 131.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Appalachian St. as the road team and with Citadel as the home team.
Recent Results when Appalachian St. visits Citadel
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 51 | Citadel | 62 | 4.0 | 131.5 |
| January 20, 2011 | Appalachian St. | 63 | Citadel | 81 | 2.5 | 138.5 |
| February 12, 2009 | Appalachian St. | 73 | Citadel | 78 | ||
| December 4, 2006 | Appalachian St. | 56 | Citadel | 52 | ||
| December 1, 2003 | Appalachian St. | 72 | Citadel | 62 | ||
| January 26, 2002 | Appalachian St. | 78 | Citadel | 74 |
When looking at the last 6 games in this series while Citadel has been the home team, we can see the Bulldogs have won 3 games compared to 3 wins for the Mountaineers. Average points scored per game by Citadel in this situation is is 68.2 ppg while Appalachian St. has put up 65.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.7 favoring the Bulldogs.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 6.7 when meassured against the offered line of 4.0, suggesting a wager on the Bulldogs makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 6 games between the Mountaineers and the Bulldogs is 133.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 131.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Appalachian St. Mountaineers Cover the Spread?
This season the Appalachian St. Mountaineers have played 26 games, averaging 67.6 points per game, while allowing 70.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Appalachian St. Mountaineers results.
Recent Appalachian St. Mountaineers Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 55 | NC Greensboro | 65 | ||
| March 2, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 93 | College Charleston | 81 | -6.0 | 134.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 75 | Western Carolina | 83 | -4.0 | 140.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 51 | Citadel | 62 | 4.0 | 131.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Winthrop | 64 | Appalachian St. | 76 | -4.0 | 129.0 |
| February 15, 2012 | Chattanooga | 70 | Appalachian St. | 79 | -4.5 | 141.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Wofford | 66 | Appalachian St. | 64 | 1.0 | 128.5 |
This season the Appalachian St. Mountaineers have played 15 games on the road, averaging 66.6 points per game, while allowing 73.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Appalachian St. Mountaineers results on the road.
Recent Appalachian St. Mountaineers Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 55 | NC Greensboro | 65 | ||
| March 2, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 93 | College Charleston | 81 | -6.0 | 134.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 75 | Western Carolina | 83 | -4.0 | 140.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 51 | Citadel | 62 | 4.0 | 131.5 |
| February 9, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 79 | Furman | 69 | -5.0 | 130.0 |
Can the Citadel Bulldogs Cover the Spread?
This season the Citadel Bulldogs have played 25 games, averaging 61.5 points per game, while allowing 71.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Citadel Bulldogs results.
Recent Citadel Bulldogs Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2, 2012 | Citadel | 56 | Western Carolina | 68 | -6.0 | 127.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | College Charleston | 55 | Citadel | 47 | 10.0 | 129.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 51 | Citadel | 62 | 4.0 | 131.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Citadel | 48 | Chattanooga | 46 | -10.5 | 138.5 |
| February 16, 2012 | Citadel | 53 | Western Carolina | 70 | -10.0 | 136.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | Georgia Southern | 73 | Citadel | 72 | 4.0 | 130.5 |
| February 9, 2012 | Davidson | 77 | Citadel | 66 | 17.0 | 143.5 |
| February 4, 2012 | Citadel | 66 | Elon College | 71 | -10.5 | 138.0 |
| February 2, 2012 | Citadel | 71 | NC Greensboro | 82 | -9.5 | 141.0 |
| January 28, 2012 | Furman | 67 | Citadel | 58 | 7.0 | 126.5 |
This season the Citadel Bulldogs have played 11 games here at home, averaging 62.5 points per game, while allowing 66.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Citadel Bulldogs results when playing at home.
Recent Citadel Bulldogs Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 25, 2012 | College Charleston | 55 | Citadel | 47 | 10.0 | 129.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 51 | Citadel | 62 | 4.0 | 131.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Georgia Southern | 73 | Citadel | 72 | 4.0 | 130.5 |
| February 9, 2012 | Davidson | 77 | Citadel | 66 | 17.0 | 143.5 |
| January 28, 2012 | Furman | 67 | Citadel | 58 | 7.0 | 126.5 |
| January 26, 2012 | Wofford | 62 | Citadel | 55 | 9.5 | 127.0 |
| January 14, 2012 | NC Greensboro | 67 | Citadel | 66 | 4.0 | 147.5 |
| January 12, 2012 | Elon College | 70 | Citadel | 55 | 4.0 | 138.5 |
| January 7, 2012 | Samford | 62 | Citadel | 73 | 1.5 | 133.0 |
| November 16, 2011 | Clemson | 73 | Citadel | 50 | 17.5 | 0.0 |
