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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Dayton Flyers vs Duquesne Dukes
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -4.0 | Total: 149.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffDayton Flyers v Duquesne Dukes Series Betting Trends
The Dayton Flyers travel to Duquesne to play the Dukes at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Duquesne is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 149.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Flyers/Dukes Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Dayton | 74 | Duquesne | 62 | -4.0 | 149.0 |
| February 1, 2012 | Duquesne | 83 | Dayton | 73 | -4.0 | 146.5 |
| February 19, 2011 | Duquesne | 63 | Dayton | 64 | 2.5 | 141.0 |
| January 30, 2011 | Dayton | 64 | Duquesne | 82 | -8.0 | 143.5 |
| February 21, 2010 | Dayton | 71 | Duquesne | 73 | 4.5 | 136.5 |
| January 9, 2010 | Duquesne | 72 | Dayton | 78 | -11.5 | 128.0 |
| March 13, 2009 | Duquesne | 77 | Dayton | 66 | -2.5 | 141.0 |
| March 7, 2009 | Duquesne | 61 | Dayton | 74 | -6.0 | 144.0 |
| January 17, 2009 | Dayton | 78 | Duquesne | 69 | ||
| February 13, 2008 | Duquesne | 63 | Dayton | 61 |
When looking at the last 21 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 11 games compared to 10 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Dayton/Duquesne series is 72.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 71.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.1 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 21 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.9 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on Dayton makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 21 games between the Flyers and the Dukes is 143.5 per game. That creates a differential of 5.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 149.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Dayton as the road team and with Duquesne as the home team.
Recent Results when Dayton visits Duquesne
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Dayton | 74 | Duquesne | 62 | -4.0 | 149.0 |
| January 30, 2011 | Dayton | 64 | Duquesne | 82 | -8.0 | 143.5 |
| February 21, 2010 | Dayton | 71 | Duquesne | 73 | 4.5 | 136.5 |
| January 17, 2009 | Dayton | 78 | Duquesne | 69 | ||
| January 24, 2007 | Dayton | 89 | Duquesne | 93 | ||
| January 15, 2005 | Dayton | 71 | Duquesne | 60 | ||
| March 6, 2004 | Dayton | 73 | Duquesne | 69 |
When looking at the last 9 games in this series while Duquesne has been the home team, we can see the Dukes have won 3 games compared to 6 wins for the Flyers. Average points scored per game by Duquesne in this situation is is 69.7 ppg while Dayton has put up 76 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.3 favoring the Dukes.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 6.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.3 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on the Dukes makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Flyers and the Dukes is 145.7 per game. That creates a differential of 3.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 149.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Dayton Flyers Cover the Spread?
This season the Dayton Flyers have played 30 games, averaging 71.0 points per game, while allowing 67.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Dayton Flyers results.
Recent Dayton Flyers Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 13, 2012 | Dayton | 75 | Iowa | 84 | -4.0 | 148.5 |
| March 9, 2012 | Dayton | 69 | Xavier | 70 | -2.5 | 143.0 |
| March 6, 2012 | G. Washington | 50 | Dayton | 67 | -9.0 | 132.5 |
| March 3, 2012 | G. Washington | 59 | Dayton | 75 | -9.5 | 134.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | Dayton | 71 | Richmond | 82 | -2.0 | 136.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | UMass | 43 | Dayton | 76 | -4.5 | 152.5 |
| February 22, 2012 | Dayton | 74 | Duquesne | 62 | -4.0 | 149.0 |
This season the Dayton Flyers have played 14 games on the road, averaging 70.3 points per game, while allowing 72.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Dayton Flyers results on the road.
Recent Dayton Flyers Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 13, 2012 | Dayton | 75 | Iowa | 84 | -4.0 | 148.5 |
| March 9, 2012 | Dayton | 69 | Xavier | 70 | -2.5 | 143.0 |
| February 29, 2012 | Dayton | 71 | Richmond | 82 | -2.0 | 136.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Dayton | 74 | Duquesne | 62 | -4.0 | 149.0 |
| February 18, 2012 | Dayton | 83 | Xavier | 86 | -7.5 | 142.5 |
Can the Duquesne Dukes Cover the Spread?
This season the Duquesne Dukes have played 28 games, averaging 70.6 points per game, while allowing 72.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Duquesne Dukes results.
Recent Duquesne Dukes Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 6, 2012 | Duquesne | 83 | UMass | 92 | -4.5 | 151.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | St. Louis | 75 | Duquesne | 60 | 4.5 | 131.0 |
| February 29, 2012 | Duquesne | 88 | Charlotte | 77 | -2.5 | 139.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | Duquesne | 51 | G. Washington | 56 | -1.5 | 137.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Dayton | 74 | Duquesne | 62 | -4.0 | 149.0 |
| February 18, 2012 | Duquesne | 59 | Temple | 78 | -11.0 | 147.5 |
| February 15, 2012 | Fordham | 67 | Duquesne | 77 | -14.0 | 140.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Duquesne | 48 | St.Bonaventure | 69 | -5.5 | 139.5 |
| February 4, 2012 | Richmond | 72 | Duquesne | 81 | -5.5 | 142.0 |
| February 1, 2012 | Duquesne | 83 | Dayton | 73 | -4.0 | 146.5 |
This season the Duquesne Dukes have played 14 games here at home, averaging 74.4 points per game, while allowing 69.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Duquesne Dukes results when playing at home.
Recent Duquesne Dukes Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | St. Louis | 75 | Duquesne | 60 | 4.5 | 131.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Dayton | 74 | Duquesne | 62 | -4.0 | 149.0 |
| February 15, 2012 | Fordham | 67 | Duquesne | 77 | -14.0 | 140.5 |
| February 4, 2012 | Richmond | 72 | Duquesne | 81 | -5.5 | 142.0 |
| January 28, 2012 | La Salle | 71 | Duquesne | 68 | -2.5 | 147.5 |
| January 18, 2012 | UMass | 69 | Duquesne | 80 | -5.5 | 156.5 |
| January 7, 2012 | St.Bonaventure | 52 | Duquesne | 66 | -4.0 | 140.5 |
| January 4, 2012 | St.Josephs | 84 | Duquesne | 82 | -2.0 | 148.0 |
| December 28, 2011 | Bowling Green | 76 | Duquesne | 86 | -10.0 | 141.0 |
| December 10, 2011 | Penn St. | 59 | Duquesne | 66 | -7.0 | 137.0 |
