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NHL Betting Preview & Picks
Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 5.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffWashington Capitals v Ottawa Senators Series Betting Trends
The Washington Capitals travel to Ottawa to play the Senators at 7:05 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Ottawa is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 5.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NHL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Capitals/Senators Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Washington | 2 | Ottawa | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| December 7, 2011 | Washington | 5 | Ottawa | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| December 3, 2011 | Ottawa | 2 | Washington | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| October 15, 2011 | Ottawa | 1 | Washington | 2 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 25, 2011 | Washington | 0 | Ottawa | 2 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| January 16, 2011 | Ottawa | 1 | Washington | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| December 19, 2010 | Washington | 3 | Ottawa | 2 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| October 11, 2010 | Ottawa | 2 | Washington | 3 | -1.5 | 6.0 |
| March 30, 2010 | Ottawa | 5 | Washington | 4 | -1.5 | 6.0 |
| February 11, 2010 | Washington | 5 | Ottawa | 6 | 1.5 | 6.0 |
When looking at the last 41 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 26 games compared to 15 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Washington/Ottawa series is 3.4 ppg while the vistor has put up 2.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.6 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 41 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.6 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.9 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Washington makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 41 games between the Capitals and the Senators is 6.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 5.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Washington as the road team and with Ottawa as the home team.
Recent Results when Washington visits Ottawa
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Washington | 2 | Ottawa | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| December 7, 2011 | Washington | 5 | Ottawa | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 25, 2011 | Washington | 0 | Ottawa | 2 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| December 19, 2010 | Washington | 3 | Ottawa | 2 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| February 11, 2010 | Washington | 5 | Ottawa | 6 | 1.5 | 6.0 |
| November 23, 2009 | Washington | 3 | Ottawa | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| January 20, 2009 | Washington | 2 | Ottawa | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
When looking at the last 21 games in this series while Ottawa has been the home team, we can see the Senators have won 14 games compared to 7 wins for the Capitals. Average points scored per game by Ottawa in this situation is is 3.7 ppg while Washington has put up 2.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.1 favoring the Capitals.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.4 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Capitals makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 21 games between the Capitals and the Senators is 6.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 5.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Washington Capitals Cover the Spread?
This season the Washington Capitals have played 96 games, averaging 2.6 points per game, while allowing 2.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 49-47. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Capitals results.
Recent Washington Capitals Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2012 | Washington | 1 | (NYR) New York | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| May 9, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 1 | Washington | 2 | -0.5 | |
| May 7, 2012 | Washington | 2 | (NYR) New York | 3 | 0.5 | |
| May 5, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 2 | Washington | 3 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| May 2, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 2 | Washington | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 30, 2012 | Washington | 3 | (NYR) New York | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 28, 2012 | Washington | 1 | (NYR) New York | 3 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
This season the Washington Capitals have played 49 games on the road, averaging 2.4 points per game, while allowing 3.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-29. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Capitals results on the road.
Recent Washington Capitals Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2012 | Washington | 1 | (NYR) New York | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| May 7, 2012 | Washington | 2 | (NYR) New York | 3 | 0.5 | |
| April 30, 2012 | Washington | 3 | (NYR) New York | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 28, 2012 | Washington | 1 | (NYR) New York | 3 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 25, 2012 | Washington | 2 | Boston | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
Can the Ottawa Senators Cover the Spread?
This season the Ottawa Senators have played 90 games, averaging 2.9 points per game, while allowing 2.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 44-47. Let's have a closer look at recent Ottawa Senators results.
Recent Ottawa Senators Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 26, 2012 | Ottawa | 1 | (NYR) New York | 2 | ||
| April 26, 2012 | Ottawa | 1 | (NYR) New York | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 23, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 3 | Ottawa | 2 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 21, 2012 | Ottawa | 2 | (NYR) New York | 0 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 18, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 2 | Ottawa | 3 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 16, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 1 | Ottawa | 0 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 14, 2012 | Ottawa | 3 | (NYR) New York | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 12, 2012 | Ottawa | 2 | (NYR) New York | 4 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 7, 2012 | Ottawa | 2 | New Jersey | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| April 5, 2012 | Boston | 3 | Ottawa | 1 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
This season the Ottawa Senators have played 44 games here at home, averaging 2.8 points per game, while allowing 3.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 21-23. Let's have a closer look at recent Ottawa Senators results when playing at home.
Recent Ottawa Senators Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 23, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 3 | Ottawa | 2 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 18, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 2 | Ottawa | 3 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 16, 2012 | (NYR) New York | 1 | Ottawa | 0 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 5, 2012 | Boston | 3 | Ottawa | 1 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| April 3, 2012 | Carolina | 2 | Ottawa | 1 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 24, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 4 | Ottawa | 8 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 20, 2012 | New Jersey | 1 | Ottawa | 0 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 17, 2012 | Toronto | 3 | Ottawa | 1 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 16, 2012 | Montreal | 1 | Ottawa | 2 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 10, 2012 | Buffalo | 4 | Ottawa | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
