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NHL Betting Preview & Picks
Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche
Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 9:05 PM | Home Line: 1.5 | Total: 5.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffLos Angeles Kings v Colorado Avalanche Series Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Kings travel to Colorado to play the Avalanche at 9:05 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Colorado is the underdog in this matchup, getting 1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 5.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NHL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Kings/Avalanche Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Los Angeles | 1 | Colorado | 4 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| January 21, 2012 | Colorado | 3 | Los Angeles | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| January 2, 2012 | Colorado | 2 | Los Angeles | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| October 30, 2011 | Los Angeles | 2 | Colorado | 3 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 26, 2011 | Colorado | 1 | Los Angeles | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| February 26, 2011 | Colorado | 3 | Los Angeles | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| December 21, 2010 | Los Angeles | 5 | Colorado | 0 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| October 23, 2010 | Los Angeles | 6 | Colorado | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| April 11, 2010 | Los Angeles | 2 | Colorado | 1 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 24, 2010 | Los Angeles | 3 | Colorado | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
When looking at the last 63 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 36 games compared to 27 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Los Angeles/Colorado series is 3 ppg while the vistor has put up 2.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.4 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 63 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.9 when meassured against the offered line of 1.5, suggesting a wager on Colorado makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 63 games between the Kings and the Avalanche is 5.6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 5.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Los Angeles as the road team and with Colorado as the home team.
Recent Results when Los Angeles visits Colorado
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Los Angeles | 1 | Colorado | 4 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| October 30, 2011 | Los Angeles | 2 | Colorado | 3 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| December 21, 2010 | Los Angeles | 5 | Colorado | 0 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| October 23, 2010 | Los Angeles | 6 | Colorado | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| April 11, 2010 | Los Angeles | 2 | Colorado | 1 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 24, 2010 | Los Angeles | 3 | Colorado | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| January 21, 2009 | Los Angeles | 6 | Colorado | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
When looking at the last 33 games in this series while Colorado has been the home team, we can see the Avalanche have won 19 games compared to 14 wins for the Kings. Average points scored per game by Colorado in this situation is is 3.4 ppg while Los Angeles has put up 2.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.8 favoring the Avalanche.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.3 when meassured against the offered line of 1.5, suggesting a wager on the Avalanche makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 33 games between the Kings and the Avalanche is 6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 5.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Los Angeles Kings Cover the Spread?
This season the Los Angeles Kings have played 93 games, averaging 2.5 points per game, while allowing 2.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 50-43. Let's have a closer look at recent Los Angeles Kings results.
Recent Los Angeles Kings Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2012 | Los Angeles | 4 | Phoenix | 0 | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| May 13, 2012 | Los Angeles | 4 | Phoenix | 2 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| May 6, 2012 | St. Louis | 1 | Los Angeles | 3 | 0.5 | |
| May 3, 2012 | St. Louis | 2 | Los Angeles | 4 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 30, 2012 | Los Angeles | 5 | St. Louis | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 28, 2012 | Los Angeles | 3 | St. Louis | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 22, 2012 | Los Angeles | 2 | Vancouver | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
This season the Los Angeles Kings have played 48 games on the road, averaging 2.5 points per game, while allowing 2.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 25-23. Let's have a closer look at recent Los Angeles Kings results on the road.
Recent Los Angeles Kings Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2012 | Los Angeles | 4 | Phoenix | 0 | 1.5 | 4.5 |
| May 13, 2012 | Los Angeles | 4 | Phoenix | 2 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 30, 2012 | Los Angeles | 5 | St. Louis | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 28, 2012 | Los Angeles | 3 | St. Louis | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 22, 2012 | Los Angeles | 2 | Vancouver | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
Can the Colorado Avalanche Cover the Spread?
This season the Colorado Avalanche have played 82 games, averaging 2.5 points per game, while allowing 2.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 41-43. Let's have a closer look at recent Colorado Avalanche results.
Recent Colorado Avalanche Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 7, 2012 | Nashville | 6 | Colorado | 1 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 5, 2012 | Columbus | 5 | Colorado | 2 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 30, 2012 | Colorado | 4 | Calgary | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 28, 2012 | Colorado | 0 | Vancouver | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 26, 2012 | Colorado | 1 | San Jose | 5 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 24, 2012 | Vancouver | 3 | Colorado | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 22, 2012 | Colorado | 2 | Phoenix | 3 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 20, 2012 | Calgary | 1 | Colorado | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 17, 2012 | Colorado | 3 | (NYR) New York | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 15, 2012 | Colorado | 0 | New Jersey | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
This season the Colorado Avalanche have played 41 games here at home, averaging 2.5 points per game, while allowing 2.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Colorado Avalanche results when playing at home.
Recent Colorado Avalanche Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 7, 2012 | Nashville | 6 | Colorado | 1 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 5, 2012 | Columbus | 5 | Colorado | 2 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 24, 2012 | Vancouver | 3 | Colorado | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 20, 2012 | Calgary | 1 | Colorado | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 12, 2012 | Anaheim | 2 | Colorado | 3 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 10, 2012 | Edmonton | 2 | Colorado | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 6, 2012 | Minnesota | 1 | Colorado | 7 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 3, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 5 | Colorado | 1 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 1, 2012 | Columbus | 2 | Colorado | 0 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| February 27, 2012 | Anaheim | 1 | Colorado | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
