NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.0 | Total: 186.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Detroit Pistons v Toronto Raptors Series Betting Trends

The Detroit Pistons travel to Toronto to play the Raptors at 7:05 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Toronto is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 186.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Pistons/Raptors Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 22, 2012 Toronto 73Detroit76-5.0188.0
March 10, 2012 Toronto 86Detroit105-2.5187.5
February 22, 2012 Detroit 93Toronto103-4.0186.5
March 16, 2011 Toronto 93Detroit107-4.5207.0
January 14, 2011 Detroit 101Toronto95-5.5206.5
December 22, 2010 Detroit 115Toronto93-5.5206.5
December 11, 2010 Toronto 120Detroit116-2.0201.0
April 12, 2010 Toronto 111Detroit97-4.0209.0
December 27, 2009 Detroit 95Toronto102-3.5193.5
December 23, 2009 Toronto 94Detroit64-1.0194.0

When looking at the last 56 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 33 games compared to 23 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Detroit/Toronto series is 93.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 91.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 56 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.6 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on Detroit makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 56 games between the Pistons and the Raptors is 185 per game. That creates a differential of 1.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 186.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Detroit as the road team and with Toronto as the home team.

Recent Results when Detroit visits Toronto

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Detroit 93Toronto103-4.0186.5
January 14, 2011 Detroit 101Toronto95-5.5206.5
December 22, 2010 Detroit 115Toronto93-5.5206.5
December 27, 2009 Detroit 95Toronto102-3.5193.5
November 4, 2009 Detroit 99Toronto110-8.0193.5
March 13, 2009 Detroit 99Toronto951.0193.5
November 5, 2008 Detroit 100Toronto93

When looking at the last 27 games in this series while Toronto has been the home team, we can see the Raptors have won 12 games compared to 15 wins for the Pistons. Average points scored per game by Toronto in this situation is is 91.9 ppg while Detroit has put up 93.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.7 favoring the Pistons.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.7 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.3 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on the Pistons makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Pistons and the Raptors is 185.5 per game. That creates a differential of 1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 186.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Detroit Pistons Cover the Spread?

This season the Detroit Pistons have played 66 games, averaging 90.9 points per game, while allowing 95.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 25-41. Let's have a closer look at recent Detroit Pistons results.

Recent Detroit Pistons Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 Philadelphia 86Detroit108-9.0184.0
April 23, 2012 Detroit 97Indiana103-8.0190.5
April 22, 2012 Toronto 73Detroit76-5.0188.0
April 19, 2012 Minnesota 91Detroit80-5.5196.0
April 18, 2012 Detroit 84Atlanta116-9.5190.5
April 17, 2012 Cleveland 77Detroit116-7.0192.5
April 15, 2012 Chicago 100Detroit949.0184.5

This season the Detroit Pistons have played 33 games on the road, averaging 88.8 points per game, while allowing 97.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-26. Let's have a closer look at recent Detroit Pistons results on the road.

Recent Detroit Pistons Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 23, 2012 Detroit 97Indiana103-8.0190.5
April 18, 2012 Detroit 84Atlanta116-9.5190.5
April 12, 2012 Detroit 109Charlotte85
April 9, 2012 Detroit 89Orlando119-7.5183.5
April 8, 2012 Detroit 75Miami98-11.5189.0

Can the Toronto Raptors Cover the Spread?

This season the Toronto Raptors have played 67 games, averaging 90.4 points per game, while allowing 93.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-41. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Raptors results.

Recent Toronto Raptors Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 New Jersey 67Toronto98-7.5182.5
April 23, 2012 Toronto 86Milwaukee92-10.0200.5
April 22, 2012 Toronto 73Detroit76-5.0188.0
April 18, 2012 Toronto 72Miami96-10.0188.0
April 16, 2012 Atlanta 109Toronto875.5182.5
April 15, 2012 Toronto 102Atlanta86-9.5183.0
April 13, 2012 Boston 79Toronto847.5177.5
April 11, 2012 Philadelphia 93Toronto754.5178.0
April 9, 2012 Toronto 98Indiana103-10.0188.0
April 8, 2012 Toronto 75Oklahoma City91-12.5196.5

This season the Toronto Raptors have played 33 games here at home, averaging 92.6 points per game, while allowing 93.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-20. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Raptors results when playing at home.

Recent Toronto Raptors Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 New Jersey 67Toronto98-7.5182.5
April 16, 2012 Atlanta 109Toronto875.5182.5
April 13, 2012 Boston 79Toronto847.5177.5
April 11, 2012 Philadelphia 93Toronto754.5178.0
April 6, 2012 Cleveland 84Toronto80-7.5188.0
April 3, 2012 Charlotte 87Toronto92-9.0189.0
April 1, 2012 Washington 92Toronto99-6.0189.0
March 30, 2012 Miami 113Toronto1017.0191.5
March 28, 2012 Denver 96Toronto105
March 26, 2012 Orlando 117Toronto1016.0182.5

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