NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Golden St. Warriors vs Phoenix Suns

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 9:05 PM | Home Line: -4.0 | Total: 206.0

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Golden St. Warriors v Phoenix Suns Series Betting Trends

The Golden St. Warriors travel to Phoenix to play the Suns at 9:05 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Phoenix is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Warriors/Suns Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Golden St. 106Phoenix104-4.0206.0
February 13, 2012 Phoenix 96Golden St.102-3.5203.5
January 2, 2012 Golden St. 91Phoenix102-4.5193.5
March 18, 2011 Golden St. 97Phoenix108-5.0217.5
February 10, 2011 Golden St. 88Phoenix112-6.5218.0
February 7, 2011 Phoenix 104Golden St.92-5.0219.5
December 2, 2010 Phoenix 107Golden St.101-2.5227.5
October 19, 2010 Golden St. 87Phoenix92-6.5216.0
March 22, 2010 Phoenix 133Golden St.1314.5244.0
January 23, 2010 Golden St. 103Phoenix112-11.0233.5

When looking at the last 54 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 38 games compared to 16 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Golden St./Phoenix series is 107.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 102.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 54 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5 ppg. That represents a value number of 1 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on Phoenix makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 54 games between the Warriors and the Suns is 210.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 206.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Golden St. as the road team and with Phoenix as the home team.

Recent Results when Golden St. visits Phoenix

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Golden St. 106Phoenix104-4.0206.0
January 2, 2012 Golden St. 91Phoenix102-4.5193.5
March 18, 2011 Golden St. 97Phoenix108-5.0217.5
February 10, 2011 Golden St. 88Phoenix112-6.5218.0
October 19, 2010 Golden St. 87Phoenix92-6.5216.0
January 23, 2010 Golden St. 103Phoenix112-11.0233.5
October 30, 2009 Golden St. 101Phoenix123-15.0199.5

When looking at the last 29 games in this series while Phoenix has been the home team, we can see the Suns have won 25 games compared to 4 wins for the Warriors. Average points scored per game by Phoenix in this situation is is 106.4 ppg while Golden St. has put up 97.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.8 favoring the Suns.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 4.8 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on the Suns makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 29 games between the Warriors and the Suns is 204 per game. That creates a differential of 2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Golden St. Warriors Cover the Spread?

This season the Golden St. Warriors have played 66 games, averaging 97.8 points per game, while allowing 101.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-43. Let's have a closer look at recent Golden St. Warriors results.

Recent Golden St. Warriors Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 San Antonio 107Golden St.1015.5207.0
April 24, 2012 New Orleans 83Golden St.813.0194.5
April 22, 2012 Golden St. 93Minnesota88
April 21, 2012 Golden St. 96Houston99-13.0204.0
April 20, 2012 Golden St. 94Dallas104-12.0201.0
April 18, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 99Golden St.877.0203.5
April 16, 2012 San Antonio 120Golden St.9910.5209.5

This season the Golden St. Warriors have played 33 games on the road, averaging 96.6 points per game, while allowing 101.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Golden St. Warriors results on the road.

Recent Golden St. Warriors Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 22, 2012 Golden St. 93Minnesota88
April 21, 2012 Golden St. 96Houston99-13.0204.0
April 20, 2012 Golden St. 94Dallas104-12.0201.0
April 14, 2012 Golden St. 104(LAC) Los Angeles112-12.5195.5
April 11, 2012 Golden St. 110Portland118-4.5197.5

Can the Phoenix Suns Cover the Spread?

This season the Phoenix Suns have played 66 games, averaging 98.0 points per game, while allowing 98.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 33-43. Let's have a closer look at recent Phoenix Suns results.

Recent Phoenix Suns Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 24, 2012 Phoenix 88Utah100-5.0204.0
April 21, 2012 Denver 118Phoenix107-4.0211.5
April 19, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 90Phoenix93-2.0198.5
April 18, 2012 Oklahoma City 109Phoenix974.0208.0
April 16, 2012 Portland 107Phoenix125-11.0201.0
April 14, 2012 Phoenix 91San Antonio105-9.5208.5
April 13, 2012 Phoenix 112Houston105-4.0200.0
April 11, 2012 Phoenix 93Memphis104-5.5194.0
April 9, 2012 Phoenix 114Minnesota902.5209.0
April 7, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 105Phoenix125-2.0198.5

This season the Phoenix Suns have played 33 games here at home, averaging 99.9 points per game, while allowing 97.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 19-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Phoenix Suns results when playing at home.

Recent Phoenix Suns Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 21, 2012 Denver 118Phoenix107-4.0211.5
April 19, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 90Phoenix93-2.0198.5
April 18, 2012 Oklahoma City 109Phoenix974.0208.0
April 16, 2012 Portland 107Phoenix125-11.0201.0
April 7, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 105Phoenix125-2.0198.5
April 1, 2012 New Orleans 75Phoenix92
March 27, 2012 San Antonio 107Phoenix1001.5204.5
March 18, 2012 Houston 86Phoenix99-5.5202.5
March 16, 2012 Detroit 101Phoenix109-5.0197.5
March 14, 2012 Utah 111Phoenix120-4.5199.0

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