The Golden St. Warriors travel to Phoenix to play the Suns at 9:05 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Phoenix is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Golden St. | 106 | Phoenix | 104 | -4.0 | 206.0 |
| February 13, 2012 | Phoenix | 96 | Golden St. | 102 | -3.5 | 203.5 |
| January 2, 2012 | Golden St. | 91 | Phoenix | 102 | -4.5 | 193.5 |
| March 18, 2011 | Golden St. | 97 | Phoenix | 108 | -5.0 | 217.5 |
| February 10, 2011 | Golden St. | 88 | Phoenix | 112 | -6.5 | 218.0 |
| February 7, 2011 | Phoenix | 104 | Golden St. | 92 | -5.0 | 219.5 |
| December 2, 2010 | Phoenix | 107 | Golden St. | 101 | -2.5 | 227.5 |
| October 19, 2010 | Golden St. | 87 | Phoenix | 92 | -6.5 | 216.0 |
| March 22, 2010 | Phoenix | 133 | Golden St. | 131 | 4.5 | 244.0 |
| January 23, 2010 | Golden St. | 103 | Phoenix | 112 | -11.0 | 233.5 |
When looking at the last 54 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 38 games compared to 16 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Golden St./Phoenix series is 107.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 102.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 54 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5 ppg. That represents a value number of 1 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on Phoenix makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 54 games between the Warriors and the Suns is 210.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 206.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Golden St. as the road team and with Phoenix as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 22, 2012 | Golden St. | 106 | Phoenix | 104 | -4.0 | 206.0 |
| January 2, 2012 | Golden St. | 91 | Phoenix | 102 | -4.5 | 193.5 |
| March 18, 2011 | Golden St. | 97 | Phoenix | 108 | -5.0 | 217.5 |
| February 10, 2011 | Golden St. | 88 | Phoenix | 112 | -6.5 | 218.0 |
| October 19, 2010 | Golden St. | 87 | Phoenix | 92 | -6.5 | 216.0 |
| January 23, 2010 | Golden St. | 103 | Phoenix | 112 | -11.0 | 233.5 |
| October 30, 2009 | Golden St. | 101 | Phoenix | 123 | -15.0 | 199.5 |
When looking at the last 29 games in this series while Phoenix has been the home team, we can see the Suns have won 25 games compared to 4 wins for the Warriors. Average points scored per game by Phoenix in this situation is is 106.4 ppg while Golden St. has put up 97.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.8 favoring the Suns.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 4.8 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on the Suns makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 29 games between the Warriors and the Suns is 204 per game. That creates a differential of 2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
This season the Golden St. Warriors have played 66 games, averaging 97.8 points per game, while allowing 101.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-43. Let's have a closer look at recent Golden St. Warriors results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 26, 2012 | San Antonio | 107 | Golden St. | 101 | 5.5 | 207.0 |
| April 24, 2012 | New Orleans | 83 | Golden St. | 81 | 3.0 | 194.5 |
| April 22, 2012 | Golden St. | 93 | Minnesota | 88 | ||
| April 21, 2012 | Golden St. | 96 | Houston | 99 | -13.0 | 204.0 |
| April 20, 2012 | Golden St. | 94 | Dallas | 104 | -12.0 | 201.0 |
| April 18, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 99 | Golden St. | 87 | 7.0 | 203.5 |
| April 16, 2012 | San Antonio | 120 | Golden St. | 99 | 10.5 | 209.5 |
This season the Golden St. Warriors have played 33 games on the road, averaging 96.6 points per game, while allowing 101.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Golden St. Warriors results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 22, 2012 | Golden St. | 93 | Minnesota | 88 | ||
| April 21, 2012 | Golden St. | 96 | Houston | 99 | -13.0 | 204.0 |
| April 20, 2012 | Golden St. | 94 | Dallas | 104 | -12.0 | 201.0 |
| April 14, 2012 | Golden St. | 104 | (LAC) Los Angeles | 112 | -12.5 | 195.5 |
| April 11, 2012 | Golden St. | 110 | Portland | 118 | -4.5 | 197.5 |
This season the Phoenix Suns have played 66 games, averaging 98.0 points per game, while allowing 98.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 33-43. Let's have a closer look at recent Phoenix Suns results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 24, 2012 | Phoenix | 88 | Utah | 100 | -5.0 | 204.0 |
| April 21, 2012 | Denver | 118 | Phoenix | 107 | -4.0 | 211.5 |
| April 19, 2012 | (LAC) Los Angeles | 90 | Phoenix | 93 | -2.0 | 198.5 |
| April 18, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 109 | Phoenix | 97 | 4.0 | 208.0 |
| April 16, 2012 | Portland | 107 | Phoenix | 125 | -11.0 | 201.0 |
| April 14, 2012 | Phoenix | 91 | San Antonio | 105 | -9.5 | 208.5 |
| April 13, 2012 | Phoenix | 112 | Houston | 105 | -4.0 | 200.0 |
| April 11, 2012 | Phoenix | 93 | Memphis | 104 | -5.5 | 194.0 |
| April 9, 2012 | Phoenix | 114 | Minnesota | 90 | 2.5 | 209.0 |
| April 7, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 105 | Phoenix | 125 | -2.0 | 198.5 |
This season the Phoenix Suns have played 33 games here at home, averaging 99.9 points per game, while allowing 97.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 19-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Phoenix Suns results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 21, 2012 | Denver | 118 | Phoenix | 107 | -4.0 | 211.5 |
| April 19, 2012 | (LAC) Los Angeles | 90 | Phoenix | 93 | -2.0 | 198.5 |
| April 18, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 109 | Phoenix | 97 | 4.0 | 208.0 |
| April 16, 2012 | Portland | 107 | Phoenix | 125 | -11.0 | 201.0 |
| April 7, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 105 | Phoenix | 125 | -2.0 | 198.5 |
| April 1, 2012 | New Orleans | 75 | Phoenix | 92 | ||
| March 27, 2012 | San Antonio | 107 | Phoenix | 100 | 1.5 | 204.5 |
| March 18, 2012 | Houston | 86 | Phoenix | 99 | -5.5 | 202.5 |
| March 16, 2012 | Detroit | 101 | Phoenix | 109 | -5.0 | 197.5 |
| March 14, 2012 | Utah | 111 | Phoenix | 120 | -4.5 | 199.0 |