NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -11.5 | Total: 189.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Milwaukee Bucks v Chicago Bulls Series Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Bucks travel to Chicago to play the Bulls at 8:05 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Chicago is the favorite in this matchup, laying -11.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 189.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bucks/Bulls Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 7, 2012 Chicago 106Milwaukee1047.5195.5
February 22, 2012 Milwaukee 91Chicago110-11.5189.5
February 4, 2012 Chicago 113Milwaukee905.0186.5
January 27, 2012 Milwaukee 100Chicago107
March 26, 2011 Chicago 95Milwaukee875.5178.0
February 26, 2011 Chicago 83Milwaukee753.5182.0
January 24, 2011 Milwaukee 83Chicago92-8.0178.5
December 28, 2010 Milwaukee 77Chicago90-8.5178.5
April 6, 2010 Milwaukee 79Chicago74-6.5188.5
January 8, 2010 Chicago 93Milwaukee96-3.5194.5

When looking at the last 56 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 40 games compared to 16 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Milwaukee/Chicago series is 98.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 94.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.8 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 56 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.8 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.7 when meassured against the offered line of -11.5, suggesting a wager on Milwaukee makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 56 games between the Bucks and the Bulls is 193.6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 189.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Milwaukee as the road team and with Chicago as the home team.

Recent Results when Milwaukee visits Chicago

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Milwaukee 91Chicago110-11.5189.5
January 27, 2012 Milwaukee 100Chicago107
January 24, 2011 Milwaukee 83Chicago92-8.0178.5
December 28, 2010 Milwaukee 77Chicago90-8.5178.5
April 6, 2010 Milwaukee 79Chicago74-6.5188.5
November 3, 2009 Milwaukee 81Chicago83
March 6, 2009 Milwaukee 102Chicago117-6.0206.0

When looking at the last 29 games in this series while Chicago has been the home team, we can see the Bulls have won 22 games compared to 7 wins for the Bucks. Average points scored per game by Chicago in this situation is is 97.6 ppg while Milwaukee has put up 93.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.9 favoring the Bucks.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.9 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.6 when meassured against the offered line of -11.5, suggesting a wager on the Bucks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 29 games between the Bucks and the Bulls is 191.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 189.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Milwaukee Bucks Cover the Spread?

This season the Milwaukee Bucks have played 68 games, averaging 98.6 points per game, while allowing 98.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 31-37. Let's have a closer look at recent Milwaukee Bucks results.

Recent Milwaukee Bucks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 Milwaukee 74Boston87-9.5190.5
April 25, 2012 Philadelphia 90Milwaukee85-6.5197.0
April 25, 2012 Philadelphia 90Milwaukee85
April 23, 2012 Toronto 86Milwaukee92-10.0200.5
April 21, 2012 New Jersey 95Milwaukee106-9.5208.5
April 19, 2012 Milwaukee 109Indiana118-5.0205.0
April 18, 2012 Milwaukee 112Washington1218.0204.5

This season the Milwaukee Bucks have played 33 games on the road, averaging 97.6 points per game, while allowing 97.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Milwaukee Bucks results on the road.

Recent Milwaukee Bucks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 Milwaukee 74Boston87-9.5190.5
April 19, 2012 Milwaukee 109Indiana118-5.0205.0
April 18, 2012 Milwaukee 112Washington1218.0204.5
April 13, 2012 Milwaukee 113Detroit975.0202.5
April 2, 2012 Milwaukee 112Washington987.0205.0

Can the Chicago Bulls Cover the Spread?

This season the Chicago Bulls have played 72 games, averaging 95.3 points per game, while allowing 88.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 52-37. Let's have a closer look at recent Chicago Bulls results.

Recent Chicago Bulls Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 10, 2012 Chicago 78Philadelphia79-3.5170.0
May 8, 2012 Philadelphia 69Chicago77-5.0171.5
May 6, 2012 Chicago 82Philadelphia89-3.0172.5
May 4, 2012 Chicago 74Philadelphia79-1.5179.0
May 1, 2012 Philadelphia 109Chicago92-6.5176.0
April 28, 2012 Philadelphia 91Chicago103-8.5174.0
April 26, 2012 Cleveland 75Chicago107-15.0185.0
April 25, 2012 Chicago 92Indiana872.0188.5
April 21, 2012 Dallas 83Chicago93-6.5182.5
April 19, 2012 Chicago 72Miami83

This season the Chicago Bulls have played 36 games here at home, averaging 95.5 points per game, while allowing 88.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 28-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Chicago Bulls results when playing at home.

Recent Chicago Bulls Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 8, 2012 Philadelphia 69Chicago77-5.0171.5
May 1, 2012 Philadelphia 109Chicago92-6.5176.0
April 28, 2012 Philadelphia 91Chicago103-8.5174.0
April 26, 2012 Cleveland 75Chicago107-15.0185.0
April 21, 2012 Dallas 83Chicago93-6.5182.5
April 16, 2012 Washington 87Chicago84-12.5188.0
April 12, 2012 Miami 86Chicago96
April 10, 2012 New York 86Chicago98-7.0187.5
April 5, 2012 Boston 86Chicago93-7.0178.0
April 2, 2012 Houston 99Chicago93-8.0185.5

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