NBA Betting Preview & Picks

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 9:35 PM | Home Line: -4.5 | Total: 180.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers v Dallas Mavericks Series Betting Trends

The (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers travel to Dallas to play the Mavericks at 9:35 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Dallas is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 180.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Lakers/Mavericks Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 15, 2012 Dallas 108(LAK) Los Angeles112-2.0189.0
March 21, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 109Dallas93-4.5190.0
February 22, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Dallas91-4.5180.5
January 16, 2012 Dallas 70(LAK) Los Angeles73-4.0182.5
May 8, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 86Dallas122-2.0187.5
May 6, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Dallas98-2.0187.5
May 4, 2011 Dallas 93(LAK) Los Angeles81-7.0188.0
May 2, 2011 Dallas 96(LAK) Los Angeles94-6.0188.0
March 31, 2011 Dallas 82(LAK) Los Angeles110-6.5191.0
March 12, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Dallas911.0194.0

When looking at the last 52 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 32 games compared to 20 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the (LAK) Los Angeles/Dallas series is 102.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 99.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 52 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -1.4 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on (LAK) Los Angeles makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 52 games between the Lakers and the Mavericks is 201.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 21.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 180.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with (LAK) Los Angeles as the road team and with Dallas as the home team.

Recent Results when (LAK) Los Angeles visits Dallas

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 21, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 109Dallas93-4.5190.0
February 22, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Dallas91-4.5180.5
May 8, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 86Dallas122-2.0187.5
May 6, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Dallas98-2.0187.5
March 12, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Dallas911.0194.0
January 19, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 100Dallas1093.0190.5
February 24, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Dallas101-2.0196.5

When looking at the last 26 games in this series while Dallas has been the home team, we can see the Mavericks have won 12 games compared to 14 wins for the Lakers. Average points scored per game by Dallas in this situation is is 102.8 ppg while (LAK) Los Angeles has put up 100.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.6 favoring the Lakers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.6 ppg. That represents a value number of -1.9 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on the Lakers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 26 games between the Lakers and the Mavericks is 203 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 22.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 180.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 75 games, averaging 97.2 points per game, while allowing 96.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 45-30. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 14, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 90Oklahoma City119-7.5192.5
May 12, 2012 Denver 87(LAK) Los Angeles96-6.0194.0
May 10, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Denver113-3.0196.0
May 8, 2012 Denver 102(LAK) Los Angeles99-5.5198.0
May 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Denver88-2.5202.0
May 4, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 84Denver99-3.5204.0
May 1, 2012 Denver 100(LAK) Los Angeles104-5.5202.5

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 38 games on the road, averaging 95.5 points per game, while allowing 99.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-22. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results on the road.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 14, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 90Oklahoma City119-7.5192.5
May 10, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Denver113-3.0196.0
May 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Denver88-2.5202.0
May 4, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 84Denver99-3.5204.0
April 26, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Sacramento113-6.0204.0

Can the Dallas Mavericks Cover the Spread?

This season the Dallas Mavericks have played 70 games, averaging 95.6 points per game, while allowing 95.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 36-30. Let's have a closer look at recent Dallas Mavericks results.

Recent Dallas Mavericks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 5, 2012 Oklahoma City 103Dallas971.5193.0
May 3, 2012 Oklahoma City 95Dallas79-3.0193.5
April 30, 2012 Dallas 99Oklahoma City102-6.5193.0
April 28, 2012 Dallas 98Oklahoma City99-8.0192.5
April 26, 2012 Dallas 89Atlanta106-5.0194.0
April 21, 2012 Dallas 83Chicago93-6.5182.5
April 20, 2012 Golden St. 94Dallas104-12.0201.0
April 18, 2012 Houston 110Dallas117-4.5192.0
April 16, 2012 Dallas 121Utah123-4.0193.5
April 15, 2012 Dallas 108(LAK) Los Angeles112-2.0189.0

This season the Dallas Mavericks have played 35 games here at home, averaging 96.8 points per game, while allowing 93.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-12. Let's have a closer look at recent Dallas Mavericks results when playing at home.

Recent Dallas Mavericks Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 5, 2012 Oklahoma City 103Dallas971.5193.0
May 3, 2012 Oklahoma City 95Dallas79-3.0193.5
April 20, 2012 Golden St. 94Dallas104-12.0201.0
April 18, 2012 Houston 110Dallas117-4.5192.0
April 10, 2012 Sacramento 100Dallas110-9.0201.5
April 6, 2012 Portland 99Dallas97-6.0191.0
April 4, 2012 Memphis 85Dallas95
April 2, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 94Dallas75-4.5189.5
March 27, 2012 Houston 81Dallas90-7.5193.5
March 21, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 109Dallas93-4.5190.0

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