NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Denver Nuggets vs (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers

Game Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012 | Game Time: 10:35 PM | Home Line: -9.0 | Total: 200.0

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Denver Nuggets v (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers Series Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets travel to (LAC) Los Angeles to play the Clippers at 10:35 PM on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. (LAC) Los Angeles is the favorite in this matchup, laying -9.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 200.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Nuggets/Clippers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 18, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 104Denver98-3.0201.5
February 22, 2012 Denver 95(LAC) Los Angeles103-9.0200.0
February 2, 2012 Denver 112(LAC) Los Angeles91-1.0206.0
January 29, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 109Denver105-6.0204.5
March 5, 2011 Denver 94(LAC) Los Angeles100-1.5209.5
January 5, 2011 Denver 93(LAC) Los Angeles1063.5210.5
December 3, 2010 (LAC) Los Angeles 104Denver109-9.0213.5
November 5, 2010 (LAC) Los Angeles 104Denver111-10.5206.5
October 17, 2010 Denver 108(LAC) Los Angeles104
October 14, 2010 Denver 100(LAC) Los Angeles955.5207.5

When looking at the last 57 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 39 games compared to 18 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Denver/(LAC) Los Angeles series is 100.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 96.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.6 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 57 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.6 ppg. That represents a value number of -4.4 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on Denver makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 57 games between the Nuggets and the Clippers is 197 per game. That creates a differential of 3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 200.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Denver as the road team and with (LAC) Los Angeles as the home team.

Recent Results when Denver visits (LAC) Los Angeles

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2012 Denver 95(LAC) Los Angeles103-9.0200.0
February 2, 2012 Denver 112(LAC) Los Angeles91-1.0206.0
March 5, 2011 Denver 94(LAC) Los Angeles100-1.5209.5
January 5, 2011 Denver 93(LAC) Los Angeles1063.5210.5
October 17, 2010 Denver 108(LAC) Los Angeles104
October 14, 2010 Denver 100(LAC) Los Angeles955.5207.5
November 20, 2009 Denver 99(LAC) Los Angeles1069.0207.0

When looking at the last 29 games in this series while (LAC) Los Angeles has been the home team, we can see the Clippers have won 19 games compared to 10 wins for the Nuggets. Average points scored per game by (LAC) Los Angeles in this situation is is 99.2 ppg while Denver has put up 96.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3 favoring the Nuggets.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3 ppg. That represents a value number of -6 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on the Nuggets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 29 games between the Nuggets and the Clippers is 195.4 per game. That creates a differential of 4.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 200.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Denver Nuggets Cover the Spread?

This season the Denver Nuggets have played 74 games, averaging 103.5 points per game, while allowing 100.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 42-32. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results.

Recent Denver Nuggets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 12, 2012 Denver 87(LAK) Los Angeles96-6.0194.0
May 10, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Denver113-3.0196.0
May 8, 2012 Denver 102(LAK) Los Angeles99-5.5198.0
May 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Denver88-2.5202.0
May 4, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 84Denver99-3.5204.0
May 1, 2012 Denver 100(LAK) Los Angeles104-5.5202.5
April 29, 2012 Denver 88(LAK) Los Angeles103-4.5202.5

This season the Denver Nuggets have played 38 games on the road, averaging 104.1 points per game, while allowing 102.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-18. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results on the road.

Recent Denver Nuggets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 12, 2012 Denver 87(LAK) Los Angeles96-6.0194.0
May 8, 2012 Denver 102(LAK) Los Angeles99-5.5198.0
May 1, 2012 Denver 100(LAK) Los Angeles104-5.5202.5
April 29, 2012 Denver 88(LAK) Los Angeles103-4.5202.5
April 26, 2012 Denver 131Minnesota1028.0208.5

Can the (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers have played 75 games, averaging 97.0 points per game, while allowing 94.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 45-32. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers results.

Recent (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 15, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 92San Antonio108-11.0191.0
May 13, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 82Memphis72-8.0177.5
May 11, 2012 Memphis 90(LAC) Los Angeles882.0179.0
May 9, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 80Memphis92-6.5183.0
May 7, 2012 Memphis 97(LAC) Los Angeles101-1.0182.5
May 5, 2012 Memphis 86(LAC) Los Angeles87-3.0187.0
May 2, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 98Memphis105-6.5185.0
April 29, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 99Memphis98-5.0184.0
April 25, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 93New York99-3.5191.5
April 24, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 102Atlanta109-2.0192.5

This season the (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers have played 37 games here at home, averaging 98.8 points per game, while allowing 93.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 27-10. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers results when playing at home.

Recent (LAC) Los Angeles Clippers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 11, 2012 Memphis 90(LAC) Los Angeles882.0179.0
May 7, 2012 Memphis 97(LAC) Los Angeles101-1.0182.5
May 5, 2012 Memphis 86(LAC) Los Angeles87-3.0187.0
April 22, 2012 New Orleans 98(LAC) Los Angeles107-10.0182.5
April 16, 2012 Oklahoma City 77(LAC) Los Angeles923.0198.0
April 14, 2012 Golden St. 104(LAC) Los Angeles112-12.5195.5
April 7, 2012 Sacramento 94(LAC) Los Angeles109-8.0203.0
April 4, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 113(LAC) Los Angeles108
March 31, 2012 Utah 96(LAC) Los Angeles105-5.5192.5
March 30, 2012 Portland 97(LAC) Los Angeles98-9.5187.0

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