NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Hornets

Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 182.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Sacramento Kings v New Orleans Hornets Series Betting Trends

The Sacramento Kings travel to New Orleans to play the Hornets at 8:05 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. New Orleans is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 182.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Kings/Hornets Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 11, 2012 Sacramento 96New Orleans105-3.0197.0
March 7, 2012 New Orleans 98Sacramento99-5.0192.5
February 6, 2012 Sacramento 100New Orleans92-1.5182.5
January 1, 2012 New Orleans 80Sacramento96-4.0183.0
March 12, 2011 Sacramento 103New Orleans115-9.0194.5
January 29, 2011 New Orleans 96Sacramento1026.0186.5
December 15, 2010 Sacramento 91New Orleans94-10.0187.5
November 21, 2010 New Orleans 75Sacramento715.5196.5
December 8, 2009 Sacramento 94New Orleans96-7.5211.0
November 29, 2009 New Orleans 96Sacramento112-2.5210.0

When looking at the last 41 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 30 games compared to 11 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Sacramento/New Orleans series is 100.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 93.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.8 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 41 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on New Orleans makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 41 games between the Kings and the Hornets is 193.6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 11.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Sacramento as the road team and with New Orleans as the home team.

Recent Results when Sacramento visits New Orleans

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 11, 2012 Sacramento 96New Orleans105-3.0197.0
February 6, 2012 Sacramento 100New Orleans92-1.5182.5
March 12, 2011 Sacramento 103New Orleans115-9.0194.5
December 15, 2010 Sacramento 91New Orleans94-10.0187.5
December 8, 2009 Sacramento 94New Orleans96-7.5211.0
October 30, 2009 Sacramento 92New Orleans97-11.5198.5
December 20, 2008 Sacramento 90New Orleans99

When looking at the last 20 games in this series while New Orleans has been the home team, we can see the Hornets have won 14 games compared to 6 wins for the Kings. Average points scored per game by New Orleans in this situation is is 98.3 ppg while Sacramento has put up 93.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.8 favoring the Hornets.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Hornets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 20 games between the Kings and the Hornets is 191.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 9.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Sacramento Kings Cover the Spread?

This season the Sacramento Kings have played 66 games, averaging 98.8 points per game, while allowing 104.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-44. Let's have a closer look at recent Sacramento Kings results.

Recent Sacramento Kings Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Sacramento113-6.0204.0
April 24, 2012 Sacramento 110Oklahoma City118-9.5210.0
April 22, 2012 Sacramento 114Charlotte884.0195.0
April 20, 2012 Oklahoma City 103Sacramento9210.0213.5
April 18, 2012 San Antonio 127Sacramento1025.0216.0
April 15, 2012 Portland 103Sacramento104-3.0209.0
April 13, 2012 Sacramento 89Oklahoma City115-14.5213.5

This season the Sacramento Kings have played 33 games on the road, averaging 96.1 points per game, while allowing 105.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-27. Let's have a closer look at recent Sacramento Kings results on the road.

Recent Sacramento Kings Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 24, 2012 Sacramento 110Oklahoma City118-9.5210.0
April 22, 2012 Sacramento 114Charlotte884.0195.0
April 13, 2012 Sacramento 89Oklahoma City115-14.5213.5
April 11, 2012 Sacramento 96New Orleans105-3.0197.0
April 10, 2012 Sacramento 100Dallas110-9.0201.5

Can the New Orleans Hornets Cover the Spread?

This season the New Orleans Hornets have played 67 games, averaging 89.7 points per game, while allowing 93.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-44. Let's have a closer look at recent New Orleans Hornets results.

Recent New Orleans Hornets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 New Orleans 77Houston84-5.0189.0
April 24, 2012 New Orleans 83Golden St.813.0194.5
April 22, 2012 New Orleans 98(LAC) Los Angeles107-10.0182.5
April 19, 2012 Houston 99New Orleans1053.0187.0
April 18, 2012 New Orleans 91Memphis103-9.5180.0
April 16, 2012 New Orleans 75Charlotte676.5186.5
April 15, 2012 Memphis 75New Orleans885.0182.0
April 13, 2012 Utah 85New Orleans964.0191.0
April 11, 2012 Sacramento 96New Orleans105-3.0197.0
April 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 93New Orleans913.5186.5

This season the New Orleans Hornets have played 34 games here at home, averaging 89.4 points per game, while allowing 91.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-22. Let's have a closer look at recent New Orleans Hornets results when playing at home.

Recent New Orleans Hornets Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 19, 2012 Houston 99New Orleans1053.0187.0
April 15, 2012 Memphis 75New Orleans885.0182.0
April 13, 2012 Utah 85New Orleans964.0191.0
April 11, 2012 Sacramento 96New Orleans105-3.0197.0
April 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 93New Orleans913.5186.5
April 7, 2012 Minnesota 90New Orleans993.0192.0
April 4, 2012 Denver 92New Orleans94
March 24, 2012 San Antonio 89New Orleans865.0191.0
March 22, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 90New Orleans974.5181.0
March 21, 2012 Golden St. 101New Orleans92-2.0187.0

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