NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 9:05 PM | Home Line: -7.5 | Total: 208.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets Series Betting Trends

The Houston Rockets travel to Denver to play the Nuggets at 9:05 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Denver is the favorite in this matchup, laying -7.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 208.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Rockets/Nuggets Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2012 Denver 105Houston102-4.5207.0
April 15, 2012 Houston 86Denver101-4.0208.0
March 2, 2012 Denver 117Houston105
February 6, 2012 Houston 99Denver90-7.5208.5
February 14, 2011 Denver 102Houston121-2.5221.0
February 7, 2011 Houston 108Denver103-5.0218.5
January 3, 2011 Houston 106Denver113-7.0218.0
October 30, 2010 Denver 107Houston94-5.0216.0
March 15, 2010 Denver 123Houston125
January 27, 2010 Denver 97Houston92

When looking at the last 48 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 28 games compared to 20 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Houston/Denver series is 101.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 96.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.7 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 48 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.7 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.8 when meassured against the offered line of -7.5, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 48 games between the Rockets and the Nuggets is 197.5 per game. That creates a differential of 11 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 208.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Houston as the road team and with Denver as the home team.

Recent Results when Houston visits Denver

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 15, 2012 Houston 86Denver101-4.0208.0
February 6, 2012 Houston 99Denver90-7.5208.5
February 7, 2011 Houston 108Denver103-5.0218.5
January 3, 2011 Houston 106Denver113-7.0218.0
December 16, 2009 Houston 101Denver111-7.5207.5
March 9, 2009 Houston 97Denver95-4.0198.0
November 30, 2008 Houston 94Denver104

When looking at the last 23 games in this series while Denver has been the home team, we can see the Nuggets have won 13 games compared to 10 wins for the Rockets. Average points scored per game by Denver in this situation is is 99.9 ppg while Houston has put up 95.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4 favoring the Rockets.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4 ppg. That represents a value number of -3.5 when meassured against the offered line of -7.5, suggesting a wager on the Rockets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 23 games between the Rockets and the Nuggets is 195.8 per game. That creates a differential of 12.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 208.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Houston Rockets Cover the Spread?

This season the Houston Rockets have played 67 games, averaging 98.0 points per game, while allowing 97.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 34-33. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results.

Recent Houston Rockets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 New Orleans 77Houston84-5.0189.0
April 22, 2012 Houston 88Miami97
April 21, 2012 Golden St. 96Houston99-13.0204.0
April 19, 2012 Houston 99New Orleans1053.0187.0
April 18, 2012 Houston 110Dallas117-4.5192.0
April 16, 2012 Denver 105Houston102-4.5207.0
April 15, 2012 Houston 86Denver101-4.0208.0

This season the Houston Rockets have played 34 games on the road, averaging 96.1 points per game, while allowing 100.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results on the road.

Recent Houston Rockets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 22, 2012 Houston 88Miami97
April 19, 2012 Houston 99New Orleans1053.0187.0
April 18, 2012 Houston 110Dallas117-4.5192.0
April 15, 2012 Houston 86Denver101-4.0208.0
April 9, 2012 Houston 94Portland89-2.5196.0

Can the Denver Nuggets Cover the Spread?

This season the Denver Nuggets have played 74 games, averaging 103.5 points per game, while allowing 100.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 42-33. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results.

Recent Denver Nuggets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 12, 2012 Denver 87(LAK) Los Angeles96-6.0194.0
May 10, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Denver113-3.0196.0
May 8, 2012 Denver 102(LAK) Los Angeles99-5.5198.0
May 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Denver88-2.5202.0
May 4, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 84Denver99-3.5204.0
May 1, 2012 Denver 100(LAK) Los Angeles104-5.5202.5
April 29, 2012 Denver 88(LAK) Los Angeles103-4.5202.5
April 26, 2012 Denver 131Minnesota1028.0208.5
April 25, 2012 Denver 106Oklahoma City1011.5210.0
April 22, 2012 Orlando 74Denver101-9.5203.5

This season the Denver Nuggets have played 36 games here at home, averaging 102.8 points per game, while allowing 98.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results when playing at home.

Recent Denver Nuggets Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 10, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Denver113-3.0196.0
May 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Denver88-2.5202.0
May 4, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 84Denver99-3.5204.0
April 22, 2012 Orlando 74Denver101-9.5203.5
April 18, 2012 (LAC) Los Angeles 104Denver98-3.0201.5
April 15, 2012 Houston 86Denver101-4.0208.0
April 11, 2012 Minnesota 107Denver113-8.0213.5
April 9, 2012 Golden St. 84Denver123-8.5211.0
April 6, 2012 Phoenix 99Denver105-3.0210.5
March 21, 2012 Detroit 115Denver116-8.5199.5

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