The Houston Rockets travel to Denver to play the Nuggets at 9:05 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Denver is the favorite in this matchup, laying -7.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 208.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 16, 2012 | Denver | 105 | Houston | 102 | -4.5 | 207.0 |
| April 15, 2012 | Houston | 86 | Denver | 101 | -4.0 | 208.0 |
| March 2, 2012 | Denver | 117 | Houston | 105 | ||
| February 6, 2012 | Houston | 99 | Denver | 90 | -7.5 | 208.5 |
| February 14, 2011 | Denver | 102 | Houston | 121 | -2.5 | 221.0 |
| February 7, 2011 | Houston | 108 | Denver | 103 | -5.0 | 218.5 |
| January 3, 2011 | Houston | 106 | Denver | 113 | -7.0 | 218.0 |
| October 30, 2010 | Denver | 107 | Houston | 94 | -5.0 | 216.0 |
| March 15, 2010 | Denver | 123 | Houston | 125 | ||
| January 27, 2010 | Denver | 97 | Houston | 92 |
When looking at the last 48 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 28 games compared to 20 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Houston/Denver series is 101.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 96.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.7 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 48 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.7 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.8 when meassured against the offered line of -7.5, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 48 games between the Rockets and the Nuggets is 197.5 per game. That creates a differential of 11 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 208.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Houston as the road team and with Denver as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 15, 2012 | Houston | 86 | Denver | 101 | -4.0 | 208.0 |
| February 6, 2012 | Houston | 99 | Denver | 90 | -7.5 | 208.5 |
| February 7, 2011 | Houston | 108 | Denver | 103 | -5.0 | 218.5 |
| January 3, 2011 | Houston | 106 | Denver | 113 | -7.0 | 218.0 |
| December 16, 2009 | Houston | 101 | Denver | 111 | -7.5 | 207.5 |
| March 9, 2009 | Houston | 97 | Denver | 95 | -4.0 | 198.0 |
| November 30, 2008 | Houston | 94 | Denver | 104 |
When looking at the last 23 games in this series while Denver has been the home team, we can see the Nuggets have won 13 games compared to 10 wins for the Rockets. Average points scored per game by Denver in this situation is is 99.9 ppg while Houston has put up 95.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4 favoring the Rockets.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4 ppg. That represents a value number of -3.5 when meassured against the offered line of -7.5, suggesting a wager on the Rockets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 23 games between the Rockets and the Nuggets is 195.8 per game. That creates a differential of 12.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 208.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
This season the Houston Rockets have played 67 games, averaging 98.0 points per game, while allowing 97.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 34-33. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 26, 2012 | New Orleans | 77 | Houston | 84 | -5.0 | 189.0 |
| April 22, 2012 | Houston | 88 | Miami | 97 | ||
| April 21, 2012 | Golden St. | 96 | Houston | 99 | -13.0 | 204.0 |
| April 19, 2012 | Houston | 99 | New Orleans | 105 | 3.0 | 187.0 |
| April 18, 2012 | Houston | 110 | Dallas | 117 | -4.5 | 192.0 |
| April 16, 2012 | Denver | 105 | Houston | 102 | -4.5 | 207.0 |
| April 15, 2012 | Houston | 86 | Denver | 101 | -4.0 | 208.0 |
This season the Houston Rockets have played 34 games on the road, averaging 96.1 points per game, while allowing 100.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 22, 2012 | Houston | 88 | Miami | 97 | ||
| April 19, 2012 | Houston | 99 | New Orleans | 105 | 3.0 | 187.0 |
| April 18, 2012 | Houston | 110 | Dallas | 117 | -4.5 | 192.0 |
| April 15, 2012 | Houston | 86 | Denver | 101 | -4.0 | 208.0 |
| April 9, 2012 | Houston | 94 | Portland | 89 | -2.5 | 196.0 |
This season the Denver Nuggets have played 74 games, averaging 103.5 points per game, while allowing 100.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 42-33. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2012 | Denver | 87 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 96 | -6.0 | 194.0 |
| May 10, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 96 | Denver | 113 | -3.0 | 196.0 |
| May 8, 2012 | Denver | 102 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 99 | -5.5 | 198.0 |
| May 6, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 92 | Denver | 88 | -2.5 | 202.0 |
| May 4, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 84 | Denver | 99 | -3.5 | 204.0 |
| May 1, 2012 | Denver | 100 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 104 | -5.5 | 202.5 |
| April 29, 2012 | Denver | 88 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 103 | -4.5 | 202.5 |
| April 26, 2012 | Denver | 131 | Minnesota | 102 | 8.0 | 208.5 |
| April 25, 2012 | Denver | 106 | Oklahoma City | 101 | 1.5 | 210.0 |
| April 22, 2012 | Orlando | 74 | Denver | 101 | -9.5 | 203.5 |
This season the Denver Nuggets have played 36 games here at home, averaging 102.8 points per game, while allowing 98.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 96 | Denver | 113 | -3.0 | 196.0 |
| May 6, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 92 | Denver | 88 | -2.5 | 202.0 |
| May 4, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 84 | Denver | 99 | -3.5 | 204.0 |
| April 22, 2012 | Orlando | 74 | Denver | 101 | -9.5 | 203.5 |
| April 18, 2012 | (LAC) Los Angeles | 104 | Denver | 98 | -3.0 | 201.5 |
| April 15, 2012 | Houston | 86 | Denver | 101 | -4.0 | 208.0 |
| April 11, 2012 | Minnesota | 107 | Denver | 113 | -8.0 | 213.5 |
| April 9, 2012 | Golden St. | 84 | Denver | 123 | -8.5 | 211.0 |
| April 6, 2012 | Phoenix | 99 | Denver | 105 | -3.0 | 210.5 |
| March 21, 2012 | Detroit | 115 | Denver | 116 | -8.5 | 199.5 |