NBA Betting Preview & Picks

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.0 | Total: 178.0

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers v Philadelphia 76ers Series Betting Trends

The (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers travel to Philadelphia to play the 76ers at 7:05 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Philadelphia is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 178.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Lakers/76ers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 90Philadelphia95-4.0178.0
December 17, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 93Philadelphia815.5196.5
February 26, 2010 Philadelphia 90(LAK) Los Angeles99-11.0197.5
January 29, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 99Philadelphia916.0202.5
March 17, 2009 Philadelphia 94(LAK) Los Angeles93-9.5203.5
December 3, 2008 (LAK) Los Angeles 114Philadelphia102
January 4, 2008 Philadelphia 93(LAK) Los Angeles124
December 21, 2007 (LAK) Los Angeles 106Philadelphia101
March 9, 2007 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Philadelphia108
December 31, 2006 Philadelphia 94(LAK) Los Angeles104

When looking at the last 29 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 18 games compared to 11 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the (LAK) Los Angeles/Philadelphia series is 98.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 93.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 29 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.5 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on Philadelphia makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 29 games between the Lakers and the 76ers is 192.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 14.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 178.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with (LAK) Los Angeles as the road team and with Philadelphia as the home team.

Recent Results when (LAK) Los Angeles visits Philadelphia

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 90Philadelphia95-4.0178.0
December 17, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 93Philadelphia815.5196.5
January 29, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 99Philadelphia916.0202.5
December 3, 2008 (LAK) Los Angeles 114Philadelphia102
December 21, 2007 (LAK) Los Angeles 106Philadelphia101
March 9, 2007 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Philadelphia108
November 11, 2005 (LAK) Los Angeles 81Philadelphia85

When looking at the last 16 games in this series while Philadelphia has been the home team, we can see the 76ers have won 8 games compared to 8 wins for the Lakers. Average points scored per game by Philadelphia in this situation is is 96 ppg while (LAK) Los Angeles has put up 94.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.1 favoring the Lakers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.9 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on the Lakers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Lakers and the 76ers is 190.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 12.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 178.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 75 games, averaging 97.2 points per game, while allowing 96.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 45-30. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 14, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 90Oklahoma City119-7.5192.5
May 12, 2012 Denver 87(LAK) Los Angeles96-6.0194.0
May 10, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Denver113-3.0196.0
May 8, 2012 Denver 102(LAK) Los Angeles99-5.5198.0
May 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Denver88-2.5202.0
May 4, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 84Denver99-3.5204.0
May 1, 2012 Denver 100(LAK) Los Angeles104-5.5202.5

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 38 games on the road, averaging 95.5 points per game, while allowing 99.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-22. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results on the road.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 14, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 90Oklahoma City119-7.5192.5
May 10, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Denver113-3.0196.0
May 6, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Denver88-2.5202.0
May 4, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 84Denver99-3.5204.0
April 26, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Sacramento113-6.0204.0

Can the Philadelphia 76ers Cover the Spread?

This season the Philadelphia 76ers have played 75 games, averaging 92.8 points per game, while allowing 88.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 41-30. Let's have a closer look at recent Philadelphia 76ers results.

Recent Philadelphia 76ers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 14, 2012 Philadelphia 82Boston81-4.5173.5
May 12, 2012 Philadelphia 91Boston92-5.5171.0
May 10, 2012 Chicago 78Philadelphia79-3.5170.0
May 8, 2012 Philadelphia 69Chicago77-5.0171.5
May 6, 2012 Chicago 82Philadelphia89-3.0172.5
May 4, 2012 Chicago 74Philadelphia79-1.5179.0
May 1, 2012 Philadelphia 109Chicago92-6.5176.0
April 28, 2012 Philadelphia 91Chicago103-8.5174.0
April 26, 2012 Philadelphia 86Detroit108-9.0184.0
April 25, 2012 Philadelphia 90Milwaukee85-6.5197.0

This season the Philadelphia 76ers have played 36 games here at home, averaging 92.0 points per game, while allowing 85.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Philadelphia 76ers results when playing at home.

Recent Philadelphia 76ers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 10, 2012 Chicago 78Philadelphia79-3.5170.0
May 6, 2012 Chicago 82Philadelphia89-3.0172.5
May 4, 2012 Chicago 74Philadelphia79-1.5179.0
April 17, 2012 Indiana 102Philadelphia97-3.5184.5
April 13, 2012 New Jersey 95Philadelphia89-11.5186.5
April 7, 2012 Orlando 88Philadelphia82-5.5179.5
April 4, 2012 Toronto 99Philadelphia78
March 31, 2012 Atlanta 90Philadelphia95-6.0177.5
March 27, 2012 Cleveland 85Philadelphia103-9.0185.5
March 23, 2012 Boston 86Philadelphia99-7.5176.5

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