NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards

Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.0 | Total: 186.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Toronto Raptors v Washington Wizards Series Betting Trends

The Toronto Raptors travel to Washington to play the Wizards at 7:05 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Washington is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 186.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Raptors/Wizards Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 1, 2012 Washington 92Toronto99-6.0189.0
February 6, 2012 Toronto 108Washington111-4.0186.5
February 3, 2012 Washington 89Toronto106-4.0185.0
January 10, 2012 Toronto 78Washington93-2.0184.0
March 18, 2011 Washington 107Toronto116-8.0205.0
January 15, 2011 Toronto 95Washington98-4.5209.5
December 1, 2010 Washington 108Toronto127-4.5208.0
November 16, 2010 Toronto 94Washington1091.0203.5
February 20, 2010 Washington 104Toronto109-6.5204.5
December 4, 2009 Toronto 109Washington107-4.0215.0

When looking at the last 51 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 34 games compared to 17 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Toronto/Washington series is 101 ppg while the vistor has put up 94.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.2 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 51 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.2 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on Washington makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 51 games between the Raptors and the Wizards is 195.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 9.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 186.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Toronto as the road team and with Washington as the home team.

Recent Results when Toronto visits Washington

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 6, 2012 Toronto 108Washington111-4.0186.5
January 10, 2012 Toronto 78Washington93-2.0184.0
January 15, 2011 Toronto 95Washington98-4.5209.5
November 16, 2010 Toronto 94Washington1091.0203.5
December 4, 2009 Toronto 109Washington107-4.0215.0
April 13, 2009 Toronto 97Washington96
January 7, 2009 Toronto 99Washington93

When looking at the last 24 games in this series while Washington has been the home team, we can see the Wizards have won 15 games compared to 9 wins for the Raptors. Average points scored per game by Washington in this situation is is 100.8 ppg while Toronto has put up 95.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.7 favoring the Wizards.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.7 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on the Wizards makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 24 games between the Raptors and the Wizards is 195.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 9.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 186.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Toronto Raptors Cover the Spread?

This season the Toronto Raptors have played 67 games, averaging 90.4 points per game, while allowing 93.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-44. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Raptors results.

Recent Toronto Raptors Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 New Jersey 67Toronto98-7.5182.5
April 23, 2012 Toronto 86Milwaukee92-10.0200.5
April 22, 2012 Toronto 73Detroit76-5.0188.0
April 18, 2012 Toronto 72Miami96-10.0188.0
April 16, 2012 Atlanta 109Toronto875.5182.5
April 15, 2012 Toronto 102Atlanta86-9.5183.0
April 13, 2012 Boston 79Toronto847.5177.5

This season the Toronto Raptors have played 34 games on the road, averaging 88.3 points per game, while allowing 94.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-24. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Raptors results on the road.

Recent Toronto Raptors Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 23, 2012 Toronto 86Milwaukee92-10.0200.5
April 22, 2012 Toronto 73Detroit76-5.0188.0
April 18, 2012 Toronto 72Miami96-10.0188.0
April 15, 2012 Toronto 102Atlanta86-9.5183.0
April 9, 2012 Toronto 98Indiana103-10.0188.0

Can the Washington Wizards Cover the Spread?

This season the Washington Wizards have played 66 games, averaging 93.6 points per game, while allowing 98.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-44. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Wizards results.

Recent Washington Wizards Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 Miami 70Washington104-7.0184.5
April 25, 2012 Washington 96Cleveland852.5194.5
April 23, 2012 Charlotte 73Washington101-9.5190.5
April 21, 2012 Washington 86Miami84-9.0193.0
April 18, 2012 Milwaukee 112Washington1218.0204.5
April 16, 2012 Washington 87Chicago84-12.5188.0
April 14, 2012 Cleveland 98Washington89-4.5199.0
April 13, 2012 Washington 65New York103-10.5198.0
April 10, 2012 Orlando 85Washington935.0195.0
April 9, 2012 Washington 113Charlotte85-1.5197.0

This season the Washington Wizards have played 33 games here at home, averaging 95.2 points per game, while allowing 97.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Wizards results when playing at home.

Recent Washington Wizards Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 Miami 70Washington104-7.0184.5
April 23, 2012 Charlotte 73Washington101-9.5190.5
April 18, 2012 Milwaukee 112Washington1218.0204.5
April 14, 2012 Cleveland 98Washington89-4.5199.0
April 10, 2012 Orlando 85Washington935.0195.0
April 4, 2012 Indiana 109Washington96
April 2, 2012 Milwaukee 112Washington987.0205.0
March 30, 2012 Philadelphia 76Washington97
March 26, 2012 Detroit 79Washington772.0194.0
March 24, 2012 Atlanta 95Washington923.0191.0

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