NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers

Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 10:05 PM | Home Line: -1.0 | Total: 196.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Oklahoma City Thunder v Portland Trail Blazers Series Betting Trends

The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Portland to play the Trail Blazers at 10:05 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Portland is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 196.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Thunder/Trail Blazers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 27, 2012 Oklahoma City 109Portland954.5198.0
March 18, 2012 Portland 95Oklahoma City111-9.0200.5
February 6, 2012 Oklahoma City 111Portland107-1.0196.5
January 3, 2012 Portland 103Oklahoma City93-5.0198.0
April 1, 2011 Oklahoma City 91Portland98-3.5191.0
March 27, 2011 Portland 90Oklahoma City99-4.0191.0
November 12, 2010 Portland 108Oklahoma City110-2.5194.0
November 4, 2010 Oklahoma City 107Portland106-5.5194.0
April 12, 2010 Oklahoma City 95Portland103-1.5186.5
March 28, 2010 Portland 92Oklahoma City87-4.5192.0

When looking at the last 16 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 8 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Oklahoma City/Portland series is 97.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 96.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 16 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.3 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.7 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on Oklahoma City makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Thunder and the Trail Blazers is 193.9 per game. That creates a differential of 2.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 196.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Oklahoma City as the road team and with Portland as the home team.

Recent Results when Oklahoma City visits Portland

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 27, 2012 Oklahoma City 109Portland954.5198.0
February 6, 2012 Oklahoma City 111Portland107-1.0196.5
April 1, 2011 Oklahoma City 91Portland98-3.5191.0
November 4, 2010 Oklahoma City 107Portland106-5.5194.0
April 12, 2010 Oklahoma City 95Portland103-1.5186.5
February 9, 2010 Oklahoma City 89Portland771.0191.5
April 13, 2009 Oklahoma City 83Portland113-12.5193.0

When looking at the last 8 games in this series while Portland has been the home team, we can see the Trail Blazers have won 4 games compared to 4 wins for the Thunder. Average points scored per game by Portland in this situation is is 100.6 ppg while Oklahoma City has put up 97.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.5 favoring the Trail Blazers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.5 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on the Trail Blazers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Thunder and the Trail Blazers is 197.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 196.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Oklahoma City Thunder Cover the Spread?

This season the Oklahoma City Thunder have played 71 games, averaging 103.1 points per game, while allowing 96.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 52-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Oklahoma City Thunder results.

Recent Oklahoma City Thunder Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 14, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 90Oklahoma City119-7.5192.5
May 5, 2012 Oklahoma City 103Dallas971.5193.0
May 3, 2012 Oklahoma City 95Dallas79-3.0193.5
April 30, 2012 Dallas 99Oklahoma City102-6.5193.0
April 28, 2012 Dallas 98Oklahoma City99-8.0192.5
April 25, 2012 Denver 106Oklahoma City1011.5210.0
April 24, 2012 Sacramento 110Oklahoma City118-9.5210.0

This season the Oklahoma City Thunder have played 35 games on the road, averaging 100.1 points per game, while allowing 97.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-12. Let's have a closer look at recent Oklahoma City Thunder results on the road.

Recent Oklahoma City Thunder Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 5, 2012 Oklahoma City 103Dallas971.5193.0
May 3, 2012 Oklahoma City 95Dallas79-3.0193.5
April 22, 2012 Oklahoma City 106(LAK) Los Angeles1141.0200.0
April 20, 2012 Oklahoma City 103Sacramento9210.0213.5
April 18, 2012 Oklahoma City 109Phoenix974.0208.0

Can the Portland Trail Blazers Cover the Spread?

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 67 games, averaging 97.1 points per game, while allowing 97.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 28-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 26, 2012 Portland 94Utah96-6.0197.0
April 23, 2012 Portland 89San Antonio124-13.5208.0
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
April 18, 2012 Utah 112Portland915.0198.5
April 16, 2012 Portland 107Phoenix125-11.0201.0
April 15, 2012 Portland 103Sacramento104-3.0209.0
April 13, 2012 Dallas 97Portland943.0193.0
April 11, 2012 Golden St. 110Portland118-4.5197.5
April 9, 2012 Houston 94Portland89-2.5196.0
April 7, 2012 Portland 94Milwaukee116-4.5206.0

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 33 games here at home, averaging 101.6 points per game, while allowing 96.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results when playing at home.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 18, 2012 Utah 112Portland915.0198.5
April 13, 2012 Dallas 97Portland943.0193.0
April 11, 2012 Golden St. 110Portland118-4.5197.5
April 9, 2012 Houston 94Portland89-2.5196.0
April 4, 2012 New Jersey 88Portland101-8.0196.5
April 2, 2012 Utah 102Portland97-2.5198.5
April 1, 2012 Minnesota 106Portland119
March 29, 2012 New Orleans 93Portland99-9.0185.0
March 27, 2012 Oklahoma City 109Portland954.5198.0
March 25, 2012 Golden St. 87Portland90-9.5197.0

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