The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Portland to play the Trail Blazers at 10:05 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Portland is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 196.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 27, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 109 | Portland | 95 | 4.5 | 198.0 |
| March 18, 2012 | Portland | 95 | Oklahoma City | 111 | -9.0 | 200.5 |
| February 6, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 111 | Portland | 107 | -1.0 | 196.5 |
| January 3, 2012 | Portland | 103 | Oklahoma City | 93 | -5.0 | 198.0 |
| April 1, 2011 | Oklahoma City | 91 | Portland | 98 | -3.5 | 191.0 |
| March 27, 2011 | Portland | 90 | Oklahoma City | 99 | -4.0 | 191.0 |
| November 12, 2010 | Portland | 108 | Oklahoma City | 110 | -2.5 | 194.0 |
| November 4, 2010 | Oklahoma City | 107 | Portland | 106 | -5.5 | 194.0 |
| April 12, 2010 | Oklahoma City | 95 | Portland | 103 | -1.5 | 186.5 |
| March 28, 2010 | Portland | 92 | Oklahoma City | 87 | -4.5 | 192.0 |
When looking at the last 16 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 8 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Oklahoma City/Portland series is 97.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 96.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.3 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 16 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.3 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.7 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on Oklahoma City makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Thunder and the Trail Blazers is 193.9 per game. That creates a differential of 2.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 196.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Oklahoma City as the road team and with Portland as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 27, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 109 | Portland | 95 | 4.5 | 198.0 |
| February 6, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 111 | Portland | 107 | -1.0 | 196.5 |
| April 1, 2011 | Oklahoma City | 91 | Portland | 98 | -3.5 | 191.0 |
| November 4, 2010 | Oklahoma City | 107 | Portland | 106 | -5.5 | 194.0 |
| April 12, 2010 | Oklahoma City | 95 | Portland | 103 | -1.5 | 186.5 |
| February 9, 2010 | Oklahoma City | 89 | Portland | 77 | 1.0 | 191.5 |
| April 13, 2009 | Oklahoma City | 83 | Portland | 113 | -12.5 | 193.0 |
When looking at the last 8 games in this series while Portland has been the home team, we can see the Trail Blazers have won 4 games compared to 4 wins for the Thunder. Average points scored per game by Portland in this situation is is 100.6 ppg while Oklahoma City has put up 97.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.5 favoring the Trail Blazers.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.5 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on the Trail Blazers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Thunder and the Trail Blazers is 197.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 196.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
This season the Oklahoma City Thunder have played 71 games, averaging 103.1 points per game, while allowing 96.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 52-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Oklahoma City Thunder results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2012 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 90 | Oklahoma City | 119 | -7.5 | 192.5 |
| May 5, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 103 | Dallas | 97 | 1.5 | 193.0 |
| May 3, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 95 | Dallas | 79 | -3.0 | 193.5 |
| April 30, 2012 | Dallas | 99 | Oklahoma City | 102 | -6.5 | 193.0 |
| April 28, 2012 | Dallas | 98 | Oklahoma City | 99 | -8.0 | 192.5 |
| April 25, 2012 | Denver | 106 | Oklahoma City | 101 | 1.5 | 210.0 |
| April 24, 2012 | Sacramento | 110 | Oklahoma City | 118 | -9.5 | 210.0 |
This season the Oklahoma City Thunder have played 35 games on the road, averaging 100.1 points per game, while allowing 97.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-12. Let's have a closer look at recent Oklahoma City Thunder results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 103 | Dallas | 97 | 1.5 | 193.0 |
| May 3, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 95 | Dallas | 79 | -3.0 | 193.5 |
| April 22, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 106 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 114 | 1.0 | 200.0 |
| April 20, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 103 | Sacramento | 92 | 10.0 | 213.5 |
| April 18, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 109 | Phoenix | 97 | 4.0 | 208.0 |
This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 67 games, averaging 97.1 points per game, while allowing 97.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 28-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 26, 2012 | Portland | 94 | Utah | 96 | -6.0 | 197.0 |
| April 23, 2012 | Portland | 89 | San Antonio | 124 | -13.5 | 208.0 |
| April 21, 2012 | Portland | 89 | Memphis | 93 | -11.5 | 191.5 |
| April 18, 2012 | Utah | 112 | Portland | 91 | 5.0 | 198.5 |
| April 16, 2012 | Portland | 107 | Phoenix | 125 | -11.0 | 201.0 |
| April 15, 2012 | Portland | 103 | Sacramento | 104 | -3.0 | 209.0 |
| April 13, 2012 | Dallas | 97 | Portland | 94 | 3.0 | 193.0 |
| April 11, 2012 | Golden St. | 110 | Portland | 118 | -4.5 | 197.5 |
| April 9, 2012 | Houston | 94 | Portland | 89 | -2.5 | 196.0 |
| April 7, 2012 | Portland | 94 | Milwaukee | 116 | -4.5 | 206.0 |
This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 33 games here at home, averaging 101.6 points per game, while allowing 96.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 18, 2012 | Utah | 112 | Portland | 91 | 5.0 | 198.5 |
| April 13, 2012 | Dallas | 97 | Portland | 94 | 3.0 | 193.0 |
| April 11, 2012 | Golden St. | 110 | Portland | 118 | -4.5 | 197.5 |
| April 9, 2012 | Houston | 94 | Portland | 89 | -2.5 | 196.0 |
| April 4, 2012 | New Jersey | 88 | Portland | 101 | -8.0 | 196.5 |
| April 2, 2012 | Utah | 102 | Portland | 97 | -2.5 | 198.5 |
| April 1, 2012 | Minnesota | 106 | Portland | 119 | ||
| March 29, 2012 | New Orleans | 93 | Portland | 99 | -9.0 | 185.0 |
| March 27, 2012 | Oklahoma City | 109 | Portland | 95 | 4.5 | 198.0 |
| March 25, 2012 | Golden St. | 87 | Portland | 90 | -9.5 | 197.0 |