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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Connecticut Huskies vs Louisville Cardinals
Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -4.0 | Total: 130.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffConnecticut Huskies v Louisville Cardinals Series Betting Trends
The Connecticut Huskies travel to Louisville to play the Cardinals at 7:00 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Louisville is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 130.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Huskies/Cardinals Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 6, 2012 | Connecticut | 59 | Louisville | 80 | -4.0 | 130.5 |
| March 12, 2011 | Connecticut | 69 | Louisville | 66 | -3.0 | 136.0 |
| February 18, 2011 | Connecticut | 58 | Louisville | 71 | -3.5 | 138.0 |
| January 29, 2011 | Louisville | 79 | Connecticut | 78 | -3.0 | 145.0 |
| February 28, 2010 | Louisville | 78 | Connecticut | 76 | -3.5 | 142.5 |
| February 1, 2010 | Connecticut | 69 | Louisville | 82 | -5.5 | 146.5 |
| February 2, 2009 | Connecticut | 68 | Louisville | 51 | ||
| January 28, 2008 | Louisville | 67 | Connecticut | 69 | ||
| February 25, 2007 | Louisville | 76 | Connecticut | 69 | ||
| January 22, 2007 | Connecticut | 54 | Louisville | 68 |
When looking at the last 12 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 6 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Connecticut/Louisville series is 71 ppg while the vistor has put up 69 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 12 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2 ppg. That represents a value number of -2 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on Connecticut makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 12 games between the Huskies and the Cardinals is 140 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 9.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 130.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Connecticut as the road team and with Louisville as the home team.
Recent Results when Connecticut visits Louisville
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 6, 2012 | Connecticut | 59 | Louisville | 80 | -4.0 | 130.5 |
| March 12, 2011 | Connecticut | 69 | Louisville | 66 | -3.0 | 136.0 |
| February 18, 2011 | Connecticut | 58 | Louisville | 71 | -3.5 | 138.0 |
| February 1, 2010 | Connecticut | 69 | Louisville | 82 | -5.5 | 146.5 |
| February 2, 2009 | Connecticut | 68 | Louisville | 51 | ||
| January 22, 2007 | Connecticut | 54 | Louisville | 68 | ||
| January 21, 2006 | Connecticut | 71 | Louisville | 58 |
When looking at the last 7 games in this series while Louisville has been the home team, we can see the Cardinals have won 4 games compared to 3 wins for the Huskies. Average points scored per game by Louisville in this situation is is 68 ppg while Connecticut has put up 64 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4 favoring the Cardinals.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4 ppg. That represents a value number of 0 when meassured against the offered line of -4.0, suggesting a wager on the Cardinals makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 7 games between the Huskies and the Cardinals is 132 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 130.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Connecticut Huskies Cover the Spread?
This season the Connecticut Huskies have played 30 games, averaging 67.1 points per game, while allowing 65.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Connecticut Huskies results.
Recent Connecticut Huskies Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15, 2012 | Connecticut | 64 | Iowa St. | 77 | 1.5 | 137.5 |
| March 8, 2012 | Connecticut | 55 | Syracuse | 58 | -7.0 | 136.0 |
| March 7, 2012 | Connecticut | 71 | West Virginia | 67 | 2.0 | 129.5 |
| March 6, 2012 | Connecticut | 81 | DePaul | 67 | 8.5 | 145.5 |
| March 3, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 65 | Connecticut | 74 | -5.5 | 132.0 |
| February 28, 2012 | Connecticut | 70 | Providence | 72 | 5.0 | 138.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | Syracuse | 71 | Connecticut | 69 | 4.5 | 131.0 |
This season the Connecticut Huskies have played 14 games on the road, averaging 63.6 points per game, while allowing 67.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Connecticut Huskies results on the road.
Recent Connecticut Huskies Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15, 2012 | Connecticut | 64 | Iowa St. | 77 | 1.5 | 137.5 |
| March 8, 2012 | Connecticut | 55 | Syracuse | 58 | -7.0 | 136.0 |
| March 7, 2012 | Connecticut | 71 | West Virginia | 67 | 2.0 | 129.5 |
| March 6, 2012 | Connecticut | 81 | DePaul | 67 | 8.5 | 145.5 |
| February 28, 2012 | Connecticut | 70 | Providence | 72 | 5.0 | 138.0 |
Can the Louisville Cardinals Cover the Spread?
This season the Louisville Cardinals have played 37 games, averaging 67.3 points per game, while allowing 61.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 27-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Louisville Cardinals results.
Recent Louisville Cardinals Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2012 | Louisville | 61 | Kentucky | 69 | -8.5 | 137.5 |
| March 24, 2012 | Florida | 68 | Louisville | 72 | 1.0 | 132.0 |
| March 22, 2012 | Louisville | 57 | Michigan St. | 44 | -5.5 | 125.0 |
| March 17, 2012 | New Mexico | 56 | Louisville | 59 | -1.0 | 127.5 |
| March 15, 2012 | Davidson | 62 | Louisville | 69 | -6.0 | 139.5 |
| March 10, 2012 | Louisville | 50 | Cincinnati | 44 | 3.5 | 124.0 |
| March 9, 2012 | Louisville | 64 | Notre Dame | 50 | 3.5 | 119.5 |
| March 8, 2012 | Louisville | 84 | Marquette | 71 | -3.5 | 135.0 |
| March 7, 2012 | Seton Hall | 55 | Louisville | 61 | -4.0 | 126.5 |
| March 3, 2012 | Louisville | 49 | Syracuse | 58 | -8.5 | 133.0 |
This season the Louisville Cardinals have played 21 games here at home, averaging 68.7 points per game, while allowing 60.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Louisville Cardinals results when playing at home.
Recent Louisville Cardinals Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 24, 2012 | Florida | 68 | Louisville | 72 | 1.0 | 132.0 |
| March 17, 2012 | New Mexico | 56 | Louisville | 59 | -1.0 | 127.5 |
| March 15, 2012 | Davidson | 62 | Louisville | 69 | -6.0 | 139.5 |
| March 7, 2012 | Seton Hall | 55 | Louisville | 61 | -4.0 | 126.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | South Florida | 58 | Louisville | 51 | -9.0 | 119.5 |
| February 26, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 54 | Louisville | 57 | -8.0 | 129.5 |
| February 13, 2012 | Syracuse | 52 | Louisville | 51 | 2.5 | 139.0 |
| February 6, 2012 | Connecticut | 59 | Louisville | 80 | -4.0 | 130.5 |
| February 4, 2012 | Rutgers | 66 | Louisville | 78 | -10.5 | 126.0 |
| January 25, 2012 | Villanova | 74 | Louisville | 84 | -8.0 | 137.5 |
