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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Appalachian St. Mountaineers vs Elon College Fighting Christians
Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 138.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffAppalachian St. Mountaineers v Elon College Fighting Christians Series Betting Trends
The Appalachian St. Mountaineers travel to Elon College to play the Fighting Christians at 7:00 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Elon College is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 138.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Mountaineers/Fighting Christians Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 6, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 59 | Elon College | 82 | -1.5 | 138.5 |
| January 28, 2012 | Elon College | 66 | Appalachian St. | 81 | -5.5 | 138.0 |
| February 5, 2011 | Appalachian St. | 68 | Elon College | 62 | -3.5 | 148.5 |
| January 17, 2011 | Elon College | 71 | Appalachian St. | 79 | -6.0 | 139.5 |
| February 22, 2010 | Appalachian St. | 58 | Elon College | 54 | 4.0 | 144.5 |
| January 13, 2010 | Elon College | 65 | Appalachian St. | 89 | -12.5 | 137.0 |
| February 7, 2009 | Appalachian St. | 77 | Elon College | 63 | ||
| January 8, 2009 | Elon College | 52 | Appalachian St. | 76 | 14.5 | 136.0 |
| February 14, 2008 | Appalachian St. | 70 | Elon College | 76 | ||
| January 28, 2008 | Elon College | 52 | Appalachian St. | 56 |
When looking at the last 18 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 13 games compared to 5 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Appalachian St./Elon College series is 70.4 ppg while the vistor has put up 63.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.2 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 18 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.7 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Elon College makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 18 games between the Mountaineers and the Fighting Christians is 133.6 per game. That creates a differential of 4.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 138.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Appalachian St. as the road team and with Elon College as the home team.
Recent Results when Appalachian St. visits Elon College
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 6, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 59 | Elon College | 82 | -1.5 | 138.5 |
| February 5, 2011 | Appalachian St. | 68 | Elon College | 62 | -3.5 | 148.5 |
| February 22, 2010 | Appalachian St. | 58 | Elon College | 54 | 4.0 | 144.5 |
| February 7, 2009 | Appalachian St. | 77 | Elon College | 63 | ||
| February 14, 2008 | Appalachian St. | 70 | Elon College | 76 | ||
| February 24, 2007 | Appalachian St. | 72 | Elon College | 63 | ||
| January 7, 2006 | Appalachian St. | 59 | Elon College | 65 |
When looking at the last 9 games in this series while Elon College has been the home team, we can see the Fighting Christians have won 5 games compared to 4 wins for the Mountaineers. Average points scored per game by Elon College in this situation is is 66.6 ppg while Appalachian St. has put up 65.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.4 favoring the Mountaineers.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.1 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Mountaineers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Mountaineers and the Fighting Christians is 131.8 per game. That creates a differential of 6.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 138.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Appalachian St. Mountaineers Cover the Spread?
This season the Appalachian St. Mountaineers have played 26 games, averaging 67.6 points per game, while allowing 70.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Appalachian St. Mountaineers results.
Recent Appalachian St. Mountaineers Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 55 | NC Greensboro | 65 | ||
| March 2, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 93 | College Charleston | 81 | -6.0 | 134.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 75 | Western Carolina | 83 | -4.0 | 140.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 51 | Citadel | 62 | 4.0 | 131.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Winthrop | 64 | Appalachian St. | 76 | -4.0 | 129.0 |
| February 15, 2012 | Chattanooga | 70 | Appalachian St. | 79 | -4.5 | 141.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Wofford | 66 | Appalachian St. | 64 | 1.0 | 128.5 |
This season the Appalachian St. Mountaineers have played 15 games on the road, averaging 66.6 points per game, while allowing 73.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Appalachian St. Mountaineers results on the road.
Recent Appalachian St. Mountaineers Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 55 | NC Greensboro | 65 | ||
| March 2, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 93 | College Charleston | 81 | -6.0 | 134.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 75 | Western Carolina | 83 | -4.0 | 140.0 |
| February 22, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 51 | Citadel | 62 | 4.0 | 131.5 |
| February 9, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 79 | Furman | 69 | -5.0 | 130.0 |
Can the Elon College Fighting Christians Cover the Spread?
This season the Elon College Fighting Christians have played 29 games, averaging 68.0 points per game, while allowing 73.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Elon College Fighting Christians results.
Recent Elon College Fighting Christians Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 4, 2012 | Elon College | 67 | Davidson | 83 | -13.5 | 141.5 |
| March 3, 2012 | Georgia Southern | 58 | Elon College | 65 | 1.0 | 137.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | NC Greensboro | 79 | Elon College | 93 | -4.5 | 150.5 |
| February 23, 2012 | Elon College | 45 | Davidson | 66 | -16.5 | 153.0 |
| February 18, 2012 | Western Carolina | 78 | Elon College | 76 | -2.5 | 144.5 |
| February 15, 2012 | Elon College | 59 | Wofford | 72 | -9.5 | 137.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | Elon College | 78 | Samford | 87 | -3.0 | 137.0 |
| February 9, 2012 | Elon College | 75 | Chattanooga | 83 | -5.0 | 146.0 |
| February 6, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 59 | Elon College | 82 | -1.5 | 138.5 |
| February 4, 2012 | Citadel | 66 | Elon College | 71 | -10.5 | 138.0 |
This season the Elon College Fighting Christians have played 12 games here at home, averaging 76.0 points per game, while allowing 72.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Elon College Fighting Christians results when playing at home.
Recent Elon College Fighting Christians Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | Georgia Southern | 58 | Elon College | 65 | 1.0 | 137.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | NC Greensboro | 79 | Elon College | 93 | -4.5 | 150.5 |
| February 18, 2012 | Western Carolina | 78 | Elon College | 76 | -2.5 | 144.5 |
| February 6, 2012 | Appalachian St. | 59 | Elon College | 82 | -1.5 | 138.5 |
| February 4, 2012 | Citadel | 66 | Elon College | 71 | -10.5 | 138.0 |
| February 2, 2012 | College Charleston | 98 | Elon College | 99 | 4.5 | 140.0 |
| January 21, 2012 | Chattanooga | 87 | Elon College | 88 | -2.5 | 137.0 |
| January 19, 2012 | Samford | 86 | Elon College | 80 | -6.0 | 130.0 |
| January 8, 2012 | Columbia | 65 | Elon College | 60 | -1.0 | 125.0 |
| January 5, 2012 | Georgia Southern | 69 | Elon College | 63 | -6.5 | 139.0 |
