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NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks
Idaho St. Bengals vs Montana Grizzlies
Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 9:00 PM | Home Line: -13.5 | Total: 129.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffIdaho St. Bengals v Montana Grizzlies Series Betting Trends
The Idaho St. Bengals travel to Montana to play the Grizzlies at 9:00 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Montana is the favorite in this matchup, laying -13.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 129.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Bengals/Grizzlies Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 6, 2012 | Idaho St. | 40 | Montana | 76 | -13.5 | 129.0 |
| January 7, 2012 | Montana | 68 | Idaho St. | 44 | 6.0 | 126.0 |
| February 16, 2011 | Idaho St. | 52 | Montana | 71 | -15.0 | 127.0 |
| January 20, 2011 | Montana | 75 | Idaho St. | 65 | 8.0 | 126.0 |
| February 6, 2010 | Idaho St. | 68 | Montana | 91 | ||
| December 31, 2009 | Montana | 65 | Idaho St. | 67 | 2.5 | 123.5 |
| February 21, 2009 | Idaho St. | 64 | Montana | 79 | ||
| January 15, 2009 | Montana | 67 | Idaho St. | 77 | ||
| March 8, 2008 | Montana | 65 | Idaho St. | 67 | ||
| February 24, 2008 | Montana | 72 | Idaho St. | 63 |
When looking at the last 25 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 16 games compared to 9 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Idaho St./Montana series is 72.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 68.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.6 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 25 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.6 ppg. That represents a value number of -8.9 when meassured against the offered line of -13.5, suggesting a wager on Idaho St. makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 25 games between the Bengals and the Grizzlies is 141 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 12 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 129.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Idaho St. as the road team and with Montana as the home team.
Recent Results when Idaho St. visits Montana
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 6, 2012 | Idaho St. | 40 | Montana | 76 | -13.5 | 129.0 |
| February 16, 2011 | Idaho St. | 52 | Montana | 71 | -15.0 | 127.0 |
| February 6, 2010 | Idaho St. | 68 | Montana | 91 | ||
| February 21, 2009 | Idaho St. | 64 | Montana | 79 | ||
| January 17, 2008 | Idaho St. | 56 | Montana | 54 | ||
| March 3, 2007 | Idaho St. | 63 | Montana | 70 | ||
| January 18, 2007 | Idaho St. | 79 | Montana | 69 |
When looking at the last 12 games in this series while Montana has been the home team, we can see the Grizzlies have won 10 games compared to 2 wins for the Bengals. Average points scored per game by Montana in this situation is is 75.3 ppg while Idaho St. has put up 63.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 11.4 favoring the Bengals.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 11.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.1 when meassured against the offered line of -13.5, suggesting a wager on the Bengals makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 12 games between the Bengals and the Grizzlies is 139.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 10.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 129.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Idaho St. Bengals Cover the Spread?
This season the Idaho St. Bengals have played 26 games, averaging 65.3 points per game, while allowing 74.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Idaho St. Bengals results.
Recent Idaho St. Bengals Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | Idaho St. | 75 | E. Washington | 81 | -9.5 | 137.0 |
| February 28, 2012 | Idaho St. | 64 | E. Washington | 77 | -9.5 | 141.5 |
| February 25, 2012 | Sacramento St. | 70 | Idaho St. | 67 | -5.0 | 135.0 |
| February 23, 2012 | E. Washington | 85 | Idaho St. | 78 | 1.0 | 136.0 |
| February 11, 2012 | Idaho St. | 79 | Northern Arizona | 73 | -2.0 | 127.0 |
| February 9, 2012 | Portland St. | 67 | Idaho St. | 54 | -2.0 | 143.0 |
| February 6, 2012 | Idaho St. | 40 | Montana | 76 | -13.5 | 129.0 |
This season the Idaho St. Bengals have played 15 games on the road, averaging 63.5 points per game, while allowing 74.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Idaho St. Bengals results on the road.
Recent Idaho St. Bengals Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 3, 2012 | Idaho St. | 75 | E. Washington | 81 | -9.5 | 137.0 |
| February 28, 2012 | Idaho St. | 64 | E. Washington | 77 | -9.5 | 141.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Idaho St. | 79 | Northern Arizona | 73 | -2.0 | 127.0 |
| February 6, 2012 | Idaho St. | 40 | Montana | 76 | -13.5 | 129.0 |
| February 2, 2012 | Idaho St. | 87 | Montana St. | 86 | -4.5 | 135.5 |
Can the Montana Grizzlies Cover the Spread?
This season the Montana Grizzlies have played 28 games, averaging 70.3 points per game, while allowing 62.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Montana Grizzlies results.
Recent Montana Grizzlies Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15, 2012 | Montana | 49 | Wisconsin | 73 | -8.5 | 117.0 |
| March 7, 2012 | Weber St. | 66 | Montana | 85 | -5.0 | 131.0 |
| March 6, 2012 | E. Washington | 66 | Montana | 74 | -10.5 | 134.5 |
| February 28, 2012 | Weber St. | 51 | Montana | 66 | -5.0 | 137.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | Montana St. | 47 | Montana | 57 | -14.0 | 133.5 |
| February 23, 2012 | Northern Arizona | 60 | Montana | 78 | -19.0 | 131.0 |
| February 18, 2012 | Hawaii | 79 | Montana | 94 | -9.5 | 141.5 |
| February 11, 2012 | Montana | 67 | Sacramento St. | 58 | 7.0 | 131.5 |
| February 9, 2012 | Montana | 75 | N. Colorado | 68 | 6.5 | 136.5 |
| February 6, 2012 | Idaho St. | 40 | Montana | 76 | -13.5 | 129.0 |
This season the Montana Grizzlies have played 15 games here at home, averaging 73.4 points per game, while allowing 61.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Montana Grizzlies results when playing at home.
Recent Montana Grizzlies Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 7, 2012 | Weber St. | 66 | Montana | 85 | -5.0 | 131.0 |
| March 6, 2012 | E. Washington | 66 | Montana | 74 | -10.5 | 134.5 |
| February 28, 2012 | Weber St. | 51 | Montana | 66 | -5.0 | 137.0 |
| February 25, 2012 | Montana St. | 47 | Montana | 57 | -14.0 | 133.5 |
| February 23, 2012 | Northern Arizona | 60 | Montana | 78 | -19.0 | 131.0 |
| February 18, 2012 | Hawaii | 79 | Montana | 94 | -9.5 | 141.5 |
| February 6, 2012 | Idaho St. | 40 | Montana | 76 | -13.5 | 129.0 |
| January 21, 2012 | Sacramento St. | 56 | Montana | 85 | -16.0 | 127.0 |
| January 19, 2012 | N. Colorado | 58 | Montana | 76 | -10.5 | 134.0 |
| December 30, 2011 | E. Washington | 71 | Montana | 79 | -5.0 | 130.5 |
