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NHL Betting Preview & Picks
Calgary Flames vs Anaheim Mighty Ducks
Game Date: Monday, February 6, 2012 | Game Time: 10:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 5.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffCalgary Flames v Anaheim Mighty Ducks Series Betting Trends
The Calgary Flames travel to Anaheim to play the Mighty Ducks at 10:05 PM on Monday, February 6, 2012. Anaheim is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 5.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NHL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Flames/Mighty Ducks Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 7, 2012 | Anaheim | 2 | Calgary | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 2, 2012 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| February 6, 2012 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| January 12, 2012 | Anaheim | 0 | Calgary | 1 | ||
| March 30, 2011 | Anaheim | 4 | Calgary | 2 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 20, 2011 | Calgary | 4 | Anaheim | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| February 11, 2011 | Anaheim | 5 | Calgary | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| December 10, 2010 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 | ||
| March 23, 2010 | Anaheim | 1 | Calgary | 3 | ||
| February 13, 2010 | Anaheim | 1 | Calgary | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
When looking at the last 45 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 35 games compared to 10 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Calgary/Anaheim series is 3 ppg while the vistor has put up 2.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.7 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 45 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.7 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.8 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Calgary makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 45 games between the Flames and the Mighty Ducks is 5.3 per game. That creates a differential of 0.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 5.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Calgary as the road team and with Anaheim as the home team.
Recent Results when Calgary visits Anaheim
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2, 2012 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| February 6, 2012 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 20, 2011 | Calgary | 4 | Anaheim | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| December 10, 2010 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 | ||
| January 17, 2010 | Calgary | 4 | Anaheim | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| November 23, 2009 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| February 11, 2009 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 |
When looking at the last 21 games in this series while Anaheim has been the home team, we can see the Mighty Ducks have won 19 games compared to 2 wins for the Flames. Average points scored per game by Anaheim in this situation is is 3.2 ppg while Calgary has put up 2.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.8 favoring the Flames.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.8 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.7 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Flames makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 21 games between the Flames and the Mighty Ducks is 5.6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 5.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Calgary Flames Cover the Spread?
This season the Calgary Flames have played 82 games, averaging 2.5 points per game, while allowing 2.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 37-45. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Flames results.
Recent Calgary Flames Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 7, 2012 | Anaheim | 2 | Calgary | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| April 5, 2012 | Vancouver | 2 | Calgary | 3 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 31, 2012 | Calgary | 2 | Vancouver | 3 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 30, 2012 | Colorado | 4 | Calgary | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 28, 2012 | Los Angeles | 3 | Calgary | 0 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 26, 2012 | Dallas | 4 | Calgary | 5 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 24, 2012 | Calgary | 1 | Dallas | 4 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
This season the Calgary Flames have played 41 games on the road, averaging 2.3 points per game, while allowing 2.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-27. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Flames results on the road.
Recent Calgary Flames Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2012 | Calgary | 2 | Vancouver | 3 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 24, 2012 | Calgary | 1 | Dallas | 4 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 22, 2012 | Calgary | 2 | Minnesota | 3 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 20, 2012 | Calgary | 1 | Colorado | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 16, 2012 | Calgary | 1 | Edmonton | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
Can the Anaheim Mighty Ducks Cover the Spread?
This season the Anaheim Mighty Ducks have played 82 games, averaging 2.5 points per game, while allowing 2.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 34-45. Let's have a closer look at recent Anaheim Mighty Ducks results.
Recent Anaheim Mighty Ducks Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 7, 2012 | Anaheim | 2 | Calgary | 5 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| April 5, 2012 | Anaheim | 3 | Edmonton | 2 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| April 3, 2012 | Anaheim | 4 | Vancouver | 5 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| April 1, 2012 | Edmonton | 2 | Anaheim | 1 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 31, 2012 | Anaheim | 0 | Phoenix | 4 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 28, 2012 | San Jose | 1 | Anaheim | 3 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 25, 2012 | Boston | 3 | Anaheim | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 21, 2012 | St. Louis | 3 | Anaheim | 4 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 19, 2012 | Anaheim | 5 | San Jose | 3 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 18, 2012 | Nashville | 3 | Anaheim | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
This season the Anaheim Mighty Ducks have played 41 games here at home, averaging 2.9 points per game, while allowing 2.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 21-20. Let's have a closer look at recent Anaheim Mighty Ducks results when playing at home.
Recent Anaheim Mighty Ducks Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 1, 2012 | Edmonton | 2 | Anaheim | 1 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 28, 2012 | San Jose | 1 | Anaheim | 3 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 25, 2012 | Boston | 3 | Anaheim | 2 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 21, 2012 | St. Louis | 3 | Anaheim | 4 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 18, 2012 | Nashville | 3 | Anaheim | 1 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 16, 2012 | Los Angeles | 4 | Anaheim | 2 | 1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 14, 2012 | Detroit | 0 | Anaheim | 4 | -1.5 | 5.0 |
| March 5, 2012 | Edmonton | 2 | Anaheim | 4 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| March 2, 2012 | Calgary | 2 | Anaheim | 3 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
| February 29, 2012 | Buffalo | 2 | Anaheim | 0 | -1.5 | 5.5 |
