NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Drexel Dragons vs Hofstra Pride

Game Date: Wednesday, January 18, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 4.0 | Total: 124.0

by Matt Moorhead

Drexel Dragons v Hofstra Pride Series Betting Trends

The Drexel Dragons travel to Hofstra to play the Pride at 7:00 PM on Wednesday, January 18, 2012. Hofstra is the underdog in this matchup, getting 4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 124.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Dragons/Pride Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 16, 2014 Hofstra 63Drexel74-10.0
January 29, 2014 Drexel 77Hofstra743.5
February 18, 2013 Hofstra 54Drexel63-12.5
January 23, 2013 Drexel 55Hofstra526.5
February 11, 2012 Hofstra 67Drexel78-12.5119.5
January 18, 2012 Drexel 56Hofstra504.0124.0
January 29, 2011 Drexel 65Hofstra60-2.0152.0
January 3, 2011 Hofstra 75Drexel69-12.0142.0
February 10, 2010 Drexel 64Hofstra751.0128.0
January 23, 2010 Hofstra 62Drexel75-5.5123.0

When looking at the last 27 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 12 games compared to 15 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Drexel/Hofstra series is 70.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 67.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 27 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 6.4 when meassured against the offered line of 4.0, suggesting a wager on Hofstra makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Dragons and the Pride is 137.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 13.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 124.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Drexel as the road team and with Hofstra as the home team.

Recent Results when Drexel visits Hofstra

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 29, 2014 Drexel 77Hofstra743.5
January 23, 2013 Drexel 55Hofstra526.5
January 18, 2012 Drexel 56Hofstra504.0124.0
January 29, 2011 Drexel 65Hofstra60-2.0152.0
February 10, 2010 Drexel 64Hofstra751.0128.0
January 3, 2009 Drexel 63Hofstra56
March 1, 2008 Drexel 48Hofstra56

When looking at the last 13 games in this series while Hofstra has been the home team, we can see the Pride have won 3 games compared to 10 wins for the Dragons. Average points scored per game by Hofstra in this situation is is 68.6 ppg while Drexel has put up 71 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.4 favoring the Pride.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 2.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 6.4 when meassured against the offered line of 4.0, suggesting a wager on the Pride makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 13 games between the Dragons and the Pride is 139.6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 15.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 124.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Drexel Dragons Cover the Spread?

This season the Drexel Dragons have played 28 games, averaging 69.0 points per game, while allowing 67.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 15-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Drexel Dragons results.

Recent Drexel Dragons Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 8, 2014 Northeastern 90Drexel81-4.0
March 1, 2014 Drexel 52Northeastern541.0
February 26, 2014 College Charleston 45Drexel56-4.5
February 23, 2014 Drexel 69Delaware65-4.0
February 19, 2014 Drexel 61James Madison632.0
February 16, 2014 Hofstra 63Drexel74-10.0
February 13, 2014 Drexel 46College Charleston47-3.5

This season the Drexel Dragons have played 16 games on the road, averaging 66.6 points per game, while allowing 66.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Drexel Dragons results on the road.

Recent Drexel Dragons Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 1, 2014 Drexel 52Northeastern541.0
February 23, 2014 Drexel 69Delaware65-4.0
February 19, 2014 Drexel 61James Madison632.0
February 13, 2014 Drexel 46College Charleston47-3.5
January 29, 2014 Drexel 77Hofstra743.5

Can the Hofstra Pride Cover the Spread?

This season the Hofstra Pride have played 27 games, averaging 68.8 points per game, while allowing 74.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Hofstra Pride results.

Recent Hofstra Pride Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 8, 2014 Hofstra 76Delaware87
March 7, 2014 NC Wilmington 70Hofstra78-1.0
March 1, 2014 James Madison 71Hofstra82-3.5
February 26, 2014 Hofstra 74William & Mary79-10.5
February 22, 2014 Towson 83Hofstra774.5
February 19, 2014 Delaware 81Hofstra774.0
February 16, 2014 Hofstra 63Drexel74-10.0
February 10, 2014 Hofstra 53James Madison59-6.5
February 8, 2014 NC Wilmington 52Hofstra61-3.5
February 5, 2014 Hofstra 73Northeastern81-8.5

This season the Hofstra Pride have played 13 games here at home, averaging 72.3 points per game, while allowing 72.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Hofstra Pride results when playing at home.

Recent Hofstra Pride Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 7, 2014 NC Wilmington 70Hofstra78-1.0
March 1, 2014 James Madison 71Hofstra82-3.5
February 22, 2014 Towson 83Hofstra774.5
February 19, 2014 Delaware 81Hofstra774.0
February 8, 2014 NC Wilmington 52Hofstra61-3.5
January 29, 2014 Drexel 77Hofstra743.5
January 25, 2014 Northeastern 70Hofstra57-1.0
January 22, 2014 William & Mary 60Hofstra774.0
January 11, 2014 College Charleston 71Hofstra754.5
December 28, 2013 G. Washington 69Hofstra589.5

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