NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Virginia Cavaliers vs Oregon Ducks

Game Date: Sunday, December 18, 2011 | Game Time: 5:30 PM | Home Line: 2.5 | Total: 126.0

by Bill Fishman

Virginia Cavaliers v Oregon Ducks Series Betting Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers travel to Oregon to play the Ducks at 5:30 PM on Sunday, December 18, 2011. Oregon is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 126.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Cavaliers/Ducks Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 18, 2011 Virginia 67Oregon542.5126.0
December 17, 2010 Oregon 48Virginia63-8.5134.0

When looking at the last 2 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 1 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Virginia/Oregon series is 58.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 57.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 2 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.5 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Oregon makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 2 games between the Cavaliers and the Ducks is 116 per game. That creates a differential of 10 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 126.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Virginia as the road team and with Oregon as the home team.

Recent Results when Virginia visits Oregon

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 18, 2011 Virginia 67Oregon542.5126.0

When looking at the last 1 games in this series while Oregon has been the home team, we can see the Ducks have won 0 games compared to 1 wins for the Cavaliers. Average points scored per game by Oregon in this situation is is 54 ppg while Virginia has put up 67 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 13 favoring the Ducks.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 13 ppg. That represents a value number of 15.5 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Ducks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 1 games between the Cavaliers and the Ducks is 121 per game. That creates a differential of 5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 126.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Virginia Cavaliers Cover the Spread?

This season the Virginia Cavaliers have played 33 games, averaging 65.8 points per game, while allowing 56.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 26-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Virginia Cavaliers results.

Recent Virginia Cavaliers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 28, 2014 Michigan St. 61Virginia592.0127.0
March 23, 2014 Memphis 60Virginia78-6.5128.0
March 21, 2014 Coastal Carolina 59Virginia70-20.0121.5
March 16, 2014 Duke 63Virginia721.0127.5
March 15, 2014 Pittsburgh 48Virginia51-3.0119.5
March 14, 2014 Florida St. 51Virginia64-7.5125.0
March 9, 2014 Virginia 69Maryland754.0

This season the Virginia Cavaliers have played 12 games on the road, averaging 64.3 points per game, while allowing 60.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Virginia Cavaliers results on the road.

Recent Virginia Cavaliers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 9, 2014 Virginia 69Maryland754.0
February 18, 2014 Virginia 57Virginia Tech5311.0
February 15, 2014 Virginia 63Clemson584.5
February 8, 2014 Virginia 64Georgia Tech457.0
February 2, 2014 Virginia 48Pittsburgh45-4.0

Can the Oregon Ducks Cover the Spread?

This season the Oregon Ducks have played 33 games, averaging 82.2 points per game, while allowing 74.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Oregon Ducks results.

Recent Oregon Ducks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 22, 2014 Oregon 77Wisconsin85-6.0145.5
March 20, 2014 BYU 68Oregon87-5.0158.0
March 13, 2014 Oregon 63UCLA82-2.0154.0
March 12, 2014 Oregon St. 74Oregon88-7.0148.5
March 8, 2014 Arizona 57Oregon643.0
March 4, 2014 Arizona St. 78Oregon85-6.0
March 1, 2014 Oregon 78USC639.0148.0
February 27, 2014 Oregon 87UCLA83-3.5152.5
February 23, 2014 Washington St. 53Oregon67-13.0139.5
February 19, 2014 Washington 71Oregon78-10.5152.5

This season the Oregon Ducks have played 20 games here at home, averaging 84.8 points per game, while allowing 73.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Oregon Ducks results when playing at home.

Recent Oregon Ducks Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 20, 2014 BYU 68Oregon87-5.0158.0
March 12, 2014 Oregon St. 74Oregon88-7.0148.5
March 8, 2014 Arizona 57Oregon643.0
March 4, 2014 Arizona St. 78Oregon85-6.0
February 23, 2014 Washington St. 53Oregon67-13.0139.5
February 19, 2014 Washington 71Oregon78-10.5152.5
February 16, 2014 Oregon St. 83Oregon93-9.0
February 1, 2014 USC 66Oregon78-13.0152.0
January 30, 2014 UCLA 70Oregon68-2.5161.0
January 12, 2014 Stanford 82Oregon80-6.5

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