NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Virginia Cavaliers vs Oregon Ducks

Game Date: Sunday, December 18, 2011 | Game Time: 5:30 PM | Home Line: 2.5 | Total: 126.0

by Bill Fishman

Virginia Cavaliers v Oregon Ducks Series Betting Trends

The Virginia Cavaliers travel to Oregon to play the Ducks at 5:30 PM on Sunday, December 18, 2011. Oregon is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 126.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Cavaliers/Ducks Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 18, 2011 Virginia 67Oregon542.5126.0
December 17, 2010 Oregon 48Virginia63-8.5134.0

When looking at the last 2 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 1 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Virginia/Oregon series is 58.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 57.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 2 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.5 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Oregon makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 2 games between the Cavaliers and the Ducks is 116 per game. That creates a differential of 10 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 126.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Virginia as the road team and with Oregon as the home team.

Recent Results when Virginia visits Oregon

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 18, 2011 Virginia 67Oregon542.5126.0

When looking at the last 1 games in this series while Oregon has been the home team, we can see the Ducks have won 0 games compared to 1 wins for the Cavaliers. Average points scored per game by Oregon in this situation is is 54 ppg while Virginia has put up 67 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 13 favoring the Ducks.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 13 ppg. That represents a value number of 15.5 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Ducks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 1 games between the Cavaliers and the Ducks is 121 per game. That creates a differential of 5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 126.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Virginia Cavaliers Cover the Spread?

This season the Virginia Cavaliers have played 17 games, averaging 67.9 points per game, while allowing 49.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Virginia Cavaliers results.

Recent Virginia Cavaliers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 25, 2015 Virginia 50Virginia Tech47
January 22, 2015 Georgia Tech 28Virginia57-17.0
January 17, 2015 Virginia 66Boston College5112.5
January 13, 2015 Clemson 42Virginia65-16.5
January 10, 2015 Virginia 62Notre Dame562.0128.0
January 7, 2015 North Carolina St. 51Virginia61-16.5
January 3, 2015 Virginia 89Miami - FL806.5117.5

This season the Virginia Cavaliers have played 8 games on the road, averaging 67.6 points per game, while allowing 54.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Virginia Cavaliers results on the road.

Recent Virginia Cavaliers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 25, 2015 Virginia 50Virginia Tech47
January 17, 2015 Virginia 66Boston College5112.5
January 10, 2015 Virginia 62Notre Dame562.0128.0
January 3, 2015 Virginia 89Miami - FL806.5117.5
December 6, 2014 Virginia 74Va Commonwealth57

Can the Oregon Ducks Cover the Spread?

This season the Oregon Ducks have played 20 games, averaging 76.0 points per game, while allowing 71.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Oregon Ducks results.

Recent Oregon Ducks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Oregon 56Arizona90-15.0
January 24, 2015 UCLA 64Oregon82-3.0
January 22, 2015 USC 67Oregon75-9.5149.0
January 18, 2015 Oregon 77Washington85-5.0143.0
January 15, 2015 Oregon 99Washington St.1083.5147.0
January 10, 2015 Arizona St. 56Oregon59-5.0136.5
January 8, 2015 Arizona 80Oregon626.0135.5
January 3, 2015 Oregon St. 59Oregon71-8.5125.5
December 29, 2014 Cal Irvine 67Oregon69-9.5137.5
December 22, 2014 Santa Barbara 78Oregon82-7.5

This season the Oregon Ducks have played 14 games here at home, averaging 77.4 points per game, while allowing 66.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Oregon Ducks results when playing at home.

Recent Oregon Ducks Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 24, 2015 UCLA 64Oregon82-3.0
January 22, 2015 USC 67Oregon75-9.5149.0
January 10, 2015 Arizona St. 56Oregon59-5.0136.5
January 8, 2015 Arizona 80Oregon626.0135.5
January 3, 2015 Oregon St. 59Oregon71-8.5125.5
December 29, 2014 Cal Irvine 67Oregon69-9.5137.5
December 22, 2014 Santa Barbara 78Oregon82-7.5
December 20, 2014 Delaware St. 70Oregon83-23.0146.5
December 17, 2014 CS Northridge 56Oregon79-18.0
December 7, 2014 Mississippi 79Oregon73-7.5142.5

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