NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

South Florida Bulls vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Game Date: Saturday, November 5, 2011 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 2.5 | Total: 48.5

by Eduardo Costa Verez

South Florida Bulls v Rutgers Scarlet Knights Series Betting Trends

The South Florida Bulls travel to Rutgers to play the Scarlet Knights at 7:00 PM on Saturday, November 5, 2011. Rutgers is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 48.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulls/Scarlet Knights Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
September 13, 2012 Rutgers 23South Florida13-7.544.5
November 5, 2011 South Florida 17Rutgers202.548.5
November 3, 2010 Rutgers 27South Florida28-10.043.5
November 12, 2009 South Florida 0Rutgers31-2.542.5
November 15, 2008 Rutgers 49South Florida16-8.050.5
October 18, 2007 South Florida 27Rutgers30
September 29, 2006 Rutgers 22South Florida20
November 5, 2005 South Florida 45Rutgers31

When looking at the last 9 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 5 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the South Florida/Rutgers series is 24.4 ppg while the vistor has put up 24 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 9 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.9 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Rutgers makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Bulls and the Scarlet Knights is 48.4 per game. That creates a differential of 0.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with South Florida as the road team and with Rutgers as the home team.

Recent Results when South Florida visits Rutgers

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
November 5, 2011 South Florida 17Rutgers202.548.5
November 12, 2009 South Florida 0Rutgers31-2.542.5
October 18, 2007 South Florida 27Rutgers30
November 5, 2005 South Florida 45Rutgers31

When looking at the last 5 games in this series while Rutgers has been the home team, we can see the Scarlet Knights have won 4 games compared to 1 wins for the Bulls. Average points scored per game by Rutgers in this situation is is 28.6 ppg while South Florida has put up 19 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 9.6 favoring the Scarlet Knights.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 9.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 12.1 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Scarlet Knights makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 5 games between the Bulls and the Scarlet Knights is 47.6 per game. That creates a differential of 0.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the South Florida Bulls Cover the Spread?

This season the South Florida Bulls have played 8 games, averaging 21.1 points per game, while allowing 29.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-5. Let's have a closer look at recent South Florida Bulls results.

Recent South Florida Bulls Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 24, 2014 South Florida 17Cincinnati34-10.060.0
October 18, 2014 South Florida 38Tulsa301.552.0
October 11, 2014 East Carolina 28South Florida1716.057.5
September 27, 2014 South Florida 10Wisconsin27-34.051.0
September 19, 2014 Connecticut 14South Florida17-2.043.5
September 13, 2014 NC State 49South Florida171.552.5
September 6, 2014 Maryland 24South Florida1710.554.5

This season the South Florida Bulls have played 3 games on the road, averaging 21.7 points per game, while allowing 30.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-2. Let's have a closer look at recent South Florida Bulls results on the road.

Recent South Florida Bulls Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 24, 2014 South Florida 17Cincinnati34-10.060.0
October 18, 2014 South Florida 38Tulsa301.552.0
September 27, 2014 South Florida 10Wisconsin27-34.051.0
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
November 29, 2013 South Florida 20Central Florida23-27.550.0

Can the Rutgers Scarlet Knights Cover the Spread?

This season the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have played 8 games, averaging 27.3 points per game, while allowing 28.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights results.

Recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 25, 2014 Rutgers 24Nebraska42-20.560.5
October 18, 2014 Rutgers 17Ohio St.56-20.062.5
October 4, 2014 Michigan 24Rutgers26-2.546.0
September 27, 2014 Tulane 6Rutgers31-13.053.5
September 20, 2014 Rutgers 31Navy24-6.555.5
September 13, 2014 Penn St. 13Rutgers103.553.0
September 6, 2014 Howard 25Rutgers38
August 28, 2014 Rutgers 41Washington St.38-7.561.0
December 28, 2013 Rutgers 16Notre Dame29-14.553.5
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0

This season the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have played 4 games here at home, averaging 26.3 points per game, while allowing 17.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights results when playing at home.

Recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 4, 2014 Michigan 24Rutgers26-2.546.0
September 27, 2014 Tulane 6Rutgers31-13.053.5
September 13, 2014 Penn St. 13Rutgers103.553.0
September 6, 2014 Howard 25Rutgers38
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
November 16, 2013 Cincinnati 52Rutgers1753.5
November 2, 2013 Temple 20Rutgers23-12.557.5
October 26, 2013 Houston 49Rutgers14-6.561.0
September 21, 2013 Arkansas 24Rutgers28-2.544.0
September 14, 2013 Eastern Michigan 10Rutgers28-27.551.5

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