NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

South Florida Bulls vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Game Date: Saturday, November 5, 2011 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 2.5 | Total: 48.5

by Eduardo Costa Verez

South Florida Bulls v Rutgers Scarlet Knights Series Betting Trends

The South Florida Bulls travel to Rutgers to play the Scarlet Knights at 7:00 PM on Saturday, November 5, 2011. Rutgers is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 48.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulls/Scarlet Knights Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
September 13, 2012 Rutgers 23South Florida13-7.544.5
November 5, 2011 South Florida 17Rutgers202.548.5
November 3, 2010 Rutgers 27South Florida28-10.043.5
November 12, 2009 South Florida 0Rutgers31-2.542.5
November 15, 2008 Rutgers 49South Florida16-8.050.5
October 18, 2007 South Florida 27Rutgers30
September 29, 2006 Rutgers 22South Florida20
November 5, 2005 South Florida 45Rutgers31

When looking at the last 9 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 5 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the South Florida/Rutgers series is 24.4 ppg while the vistor has put up 24 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 9 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.9 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Rutgers makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Bulls and the Scarlet Knights is 48.4 per game. That creates a differential of 0.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with South Florida as the road team and with Rutgers as the home team.

Recent Results when South Florida visits Rutgers

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
November 5, 2011 South Florida 17Rutgers202.548.5
November 12, 2009 South Florida 0Rutgers31-2.542.5
October 18, 2007 South Florida 27Rutgers30
November 5, 2005 South Florida 45Rutgers31

When looking at the last 5 games in this series while Rutgers has been the home team, we can see the Scarlet Knights have won 4 games compared to 1 wins for the Bulls. Average points scored per game by Rutgers in this situation is is 28.6 ppg while South Florida has put up 19 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 9.6 favoring the Scarlet Knights.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 9.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 12.1 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Scarlet Knights makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 5 games between the Bulls and the Scarlet Knights is 47.6 per game. That creates a differential of 0.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the South Florida Bulls Cover the Spread?

This season the South Florida Bulls have played 12 games, averaging 13.8 points per game, while allowing 28.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-10. Let's have a closer look at recent South Florida Bulls results.

Recent South Florida Bulls Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
November 29, 2013 South Florida 20Central Florida23-27.550.0
November 23, 2013 SMU 16South Florida65.055.5
November 16, 2013 Memphis 23South Florida101.540.5
October 31, 2013 South Florida 23Houston35-18.053.5
October 26, 2013 Louisville 34South Florida320.046.5
October 12, 2013 South Florida 13Connecticut10-3.541.0

This season the South Florida Bulls have played 5 games on the road, averaging 13.6 points per game, while allowing 24.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-4. Let's have a closer look at recent South Florida Bulls results on the road.

Recent South Florida Bulls Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
November 29, 2013 South Florida 20Central Florida23-27.550.0
October 31, 2013 South Florida 23Houston35-18.053.5
October 12, 2013 South Florida 13Connecticut10-3.541.0
September 7, 2013 South Florida 6Michigan St.21-22.543.5

Can the Rutgers Scarlet Knights Cover the Spread?

This season the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have played 13 games, averaging 26.5 points per game, while allowing 29.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-10. Let's have a closer look at recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights results.

Recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 28, 2013 Rutgers 16Notre Dame29-14.553.5
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
November 30, 2013 Rutgers 17Connecticut282.548.5
November 21, 2013 Rutgers 17Central Florida41-17.557.5
November 16, 2013 Cincinnati 52Rutgers1753.5
November 2, 2013 Temple 20Rutgers23-12.557.5
October 26, 2013 Houston 49Rutgers14-6.561.0
October 10, 2013 Rutgers 10Louisville24-19.056.0
October 5, 2013 Rutgers 55SMU523.553.5
September 21, 2013 Arkansas 24Rutgers28-2.544.0

This season the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have played 7 games here at home, averaging 25.6 points per game, while allowing 23.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights results when playing at home.

Recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 7, 2013 South Florida 6Rutgers31-4.044.0
November 16, 2013 Cincinnati 52Rutgers1753.5
November 2, 2013 Temple 20Rutgers23-12.557.5
October 26, 2013 Houston 49Rutgers14-6.561.0
September 21, 2013 Arkansas 24Rutgers28-2.544.0
September 14, 2013 Eastern Michigan 10Rutgers28-27.551.5
September 7, 2013 Norfolk State 0Rutgers38
November 29, 2012 Louisville 20Rutgers17-3.543.0
November 10, 2012 Army 7Rutgers28-17.553.0
October 27, 2012 Kent St. 35Rutgers23-13.545.5

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