NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

South Florida Bulls vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Game Date: Saturday, November 5, 2011 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 2.5 | Total: 48.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

South Florida Bulls v Rutgers Scarlet Knights Series Betting Trends

The South Florida Bulls travel to Rutgers to play the Scarlet Knights at 7:00 PM on Saturday, November 5, 2011. Rutgers is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 48.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulls/Scarlet Knights Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2012 Rutgers 23South Florida13-7.544.5
November 5, 2011 South Florida 17Rutgers202.548.5
November 3, 2010 Rutgers 27South Florida28-10.043.5
November 12, 2009 South Florida 0Rutgers31-2.542.5
November 15, 2008 Rutgers 49South Florida16-8.050.5
October 18, 2007 South Florida 27Rutgers30
September 29, 2006 Rutgers 22South Florida20
November 5, 2005 South Florida 45Rutgers31

When looking at the last 8 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 4 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the South Florida/Rutgers series is 23.6 ppg while the vistor has put up 26.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.7 favoring the road team.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 2.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.2 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Rutgers makes the most sense - at least, when looking at the series trends from an historical perspective.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Bulls and the Scarlet Knights is 49.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 48.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with South Florida as the road team and with Rutgers as the home team.

Recent Results when South Florida visits Rutgers

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 5, 2011 South Florida 17Rutgers202.548.5
November 12, 2009 South Florida 0Rutgers31-2.542.5
October 18, 2007 South Florida 27Rutgers30
November 5, 2005 South Florida 45Rutgers31

When looking at the last 4 games in this series while Rutgers has been the home team, we can see the Scarlet Knights have won 3 games compared to 1 wins for the Bulls. Average points scored per game by Rutgers in this situation is is 28 ppg while South Florida has put up 22.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.7 favoring the Scarlet Knights.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.2 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Scarlet Knights makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Bulls and the Scarlet Knights is 50.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 48.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the South Florida Bulls Cover the Spread?

This season the South Florida Bulls have played 12 games, averaging 20.6 points per game, while allowing 27.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-9. Let's have a closer look at recent South Florida Bulls results.

Recent South Florida Bulls Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 1, 2012 Pittsburgh 27South Florida37.546.5
November 23, 2012 South Florida 10Cincinnati27-13.550.0
November 17, 2012 South Florida 9Miami - FL40-6.557.0
November 3, 2012 Connecticut 6South Florida13-6.547.0
October 27, 2012 Syracuse 37South Florida36-3.053.0
October 20, 2012 South Florida 25Louisville27-6.056.0
October 6, 2012 South Florida 28Temple374.547.5

This season the South Florida Bulls have played 6 games on the road, averaging 21.8 points per game, while allowing 32.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-5. Let's have a closer look at recent South Florida Bulls results on the road.

Recent South Florida Bulls Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 23, 2012 South Florida 10Cincinnati27-13.550.0
November 17, 2012 South Florida 9Miami - FL40-6.557.0
October 20, 2012 South Florida 25Louisville27-6.056.0
October 6, 2012 South Florida 28Temple374.547.5
September 22, 2012 South Florida 27Ball St.318.557.5

Can the Rutgers Scarlet Knights Cover the Spread?

This season the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have played 13 games, averaging 21.5 points per game, while allowing 14.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights results.

Recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 28, 2012 Rutgers 10Virginia Tech13-2.541.0
November 29, 2012 Louisville 20Rutgers17-3.543.0
November 24, 2012 Rutgers 6Pittsburgh27-1.543.5
November 17, 2012 Rutgers 10Cincinnati3-6.548.0
November 10, 2012 Army 7Rutgers28-17.553.0
October 27, 2012 Kent St. 35Rutgers23-13.545.5
October 20, 2012 Rutgers 35Temple104.042.0
October 13, 2012 Syracuse 15Rutgers23-7.048.5
October 6, 2012 Connecticut 3Rutgers19-7.039.5
September 22, 2012 Rutgers 35Arkansas26-9.550.5

This season the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have played 6 games here at home, averaging 22.7 points per game, while allowing 13.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights results when playing at home.

Recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 29, 2012 Louisville 20Rutgers17-3.543.0
November 10, 2012 Army 7Rutgers28-17.553.0
October 27, 2012 Kent St. 35Rutgers23-13.545.5
October 13, 2012 Syracuse 15Rutgers23-7.048.5
October 6, 2012 Connecticut 3Rutgers19-7.039.5
September 8, 2012 Howard 0Rutgers26
November 19, 2011 Cincinnati 3Rutgers20-1.046.5
November 5, 2011 South Florida 17Rutgers202.548.5
October 29, 2011 West Virginia 41Rutgers316.550.5
October 15, 2011 Navy 20Rutgers21-3.554.0

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