The South Florida Bulls travel to Rutgers to play the Scarlet Knights at 7:00 PM on Saturday, November 5, 2011. Rutgers is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 48.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 13, 2012 | Rutgers | 23 | South Florida | 13 | -7.5 | 44.5 |
| November 5, 2011 | South Florida | 17 | Rutgers | 20 | 2.5 | 48.5 |
| November 3, 2010 | Rutgers | 27 | South Florida | 28 | -10.0 | 43.5 |
| November 12, 2009 | South Florida | 0 | Rutgers | 31 | -2.5 | 42.5 |
| November 15, 2008 | Rutgers | 49 | South Florida | 16 | -8.0 | 50.5 |
| October 18, 2007 | South Florida | 27 | Rutgers | 30 | ||
| September 29, 2006 | Rutgers | 22 | South Florida | 20 | ||
| November 5, 2005 | South Florida | 45 | Rutgers | 31 |
When looking at the last 8 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 4 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the South Florida/Rutgers series is 23.6 ppg while the vistor has put up 26.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.7 favoring the road team.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 2.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.2 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Rutgers makes the most sense - at least, when looking at the series trends from an historical perspective.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Bulls and the Scarlet Knights is 49.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 48.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with South Florida as the road team and with Rutgers as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 5, 2011 | South Florida | 17 | Rutgers | 20 | 2.5 | 48.5 |
| November 12, 2009 | South Florida | 0 | Rutgers | 31 | -2.5 | 42.5 |
| October 18, 2007 | South Florida | 27 | Rutgers | 30 | ||
| November 5, 2005 | South Florida | 45 | Rutgers | 31 |
When looking at the last 4 games in this series while Rutgers has been the home team, we can see the Scarlet Knights have won 3 games compared to 1 wins for the Bulls. Average points scored per game by Rutgers in this situation is is 28 ppg while South Florida has put up 22.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.7 favoring the Scarlet Knights.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.2 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Scarlet Knights makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Bulls and the Scarlet Knights is 50.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 48.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
This season the South Florida Bulls have played 12 games, averaging 20.6 points per game, while allowing 27.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-9. Let's have a closer look at recent South Florida Bulls results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 1, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 27 | South Florida | 3 | 7.5 | 46.5 |
| November 23, 2012 | South Florida | 10 | Cincinnati | 27 | -13.5 | 50.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | South Florida | 9 | Miami - FL | 40 | -6.5 | 57.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Connecticut | 6 | South Florida | 13 | -6.5 | 47.0 |
| October 27, 2012 | Syracuse | 37 | South Florida | 36 | -3.0 | 53.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | South Florida | 25 | Louisville | 27 | -6.0 | 56.0 |
| October 6, 2012 | South Florida | 28 | Temple | 37 | 4.5 | 47.5 |
This season the South Florida Bulls have played 6 games on the road, averaging 21.8 points per game, while allowing 32.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-5. Let's have a closer look at recent South Florida Bulls results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 23, 2012 | South Florida | 10 | Cincinnati | 27 | -13.5 | 50.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | South Florida | 9 | Miami - FL | 40 | -6.5 | 57.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | South Florida | 25 | Louisville | 27 | -6.0 | 56.0 |
| October 6, 2012 | South Florida | 28 | Temple | 37 | 4.5 | 47.5 |
| September 22, 2012 | South Florida | 27 | Ball St. | 31 | 8.5 | 57.5 |
This season the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have played 13 games, averaging 21.5 points per game, while allowing 14.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 28, 2012 | Rutgers | 10 | Virginia Tech | 13 | -2.5 | 41.0 |
| November 29, 2012 | Louisville | 20 | Rutgers | 17 | -3.5 | 43.0 |
| November 24, 2012 | Rutgers | 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | -1.5 | 43.5 |
| November 17, 2012 | Rutgers | 10 | Cincinnati | 3 | -6.5 | 48.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Army | 7 | Rutgers | 28 | -17.5 | 53.0 |
| October 27, 2012 | Kent St. | 35 | Rutgers | 23 | -13.5 | 45.5 |
| October 20, 2012 | Rutgers | 35 | Temple | 10 | 4.0 | 42.0 |
| October 13, 2012 | Syracuse | 15 | Rutgers | 23 | -7.0 | 48.5 |
| October 6, 2012 | Connecticut | 3 | Rutgers | 19 | -7.0 | 39.5 |
| September 22, 2012 | Rutgers | 35 | Arkansas | 26 | -9.5 | 50.5 |
This season the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have played 6 games here at home, averaging 22.7 points per game, while allowing 13.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Rutgers Scarlet Knights results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 29, 2012 | Louisville | 20 | Rutgers | 17 | -3.5 | 43.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Army | 7 | Rutgers | 28 | -17.5 | 53.0 |
| October 27, 2012 | Kent St. | 35 | Rutgers | 23 | -13.5 | 45.5 |
| October 13, 2012 | Syracuse | 15 | Rutgers | 23 | -7.0 | 48.5 |
| October 6, 2012 | Connecticut | 3 | Rutgers | 19 | -7.0 | 39.5 |
| September 8, 2012 | Howard | 0 | Rutgers | 26 | ||
| November 19, 2011 | Cincinnati | 3 | Rutgers | 20 | -1.0 | 46.5 |
| November 5, 2011 | South Florida | 17 | Rutgers | 20 | 2.5 | 48.5 |
| October 29, 2011 | West Virginia | 41 | Rutgers | 31 | 6.5 | 50.5 |
| October 15, 2011 | Navy | 20 | Rutgers | 21 | -3.5 | 54.0 |