NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Georgia Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers

Game Date: Saturday, October 8, 2011 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 2.5 | Total: 55.0

by Power Plays

Georgia Bulldogs v Tennessee Volunteers Series Betting Trends

The Georgia Bulldogs travel to Tennessee to play the Volunteers at 7:00 PM on Saturday, October 8, 2011. Tennessee is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 55.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulldogs/Volunteers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 5, 2013 Georgia 34Tennessee3113.564.5
September 29, 2012 Tennessee 44Georgia51-13.557.5
October 8, 2011 Georgia 20Tennessee122.555.0
October 9, 2010 Tennessee 14Georgia41-11.048.0
October 10, 2009 Georgia 19Tennessee45-1.546.5
October 11, 2008 Tennessee 14Georgia26-13.041.5
October 6, 2007 Georgia 14Tennessee35
October 7, 2006 Tennessee 51Georgia33
October 8, 2005 Georgia 27Tennessee14
October 9, 2004 Tennessee 19Georgia14

When looking at the last 21 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 11 games compared to 10 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Georgia/Tennessee series is 26.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 24 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.9 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 21 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.4 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Tennessee makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 21 games between the Bulldogs and the Volunteers is 50.9 per game. That creates a differential of 4.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 55.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Georgia as the road team and with Tennessee as the home team.

Recent Results when Georgia visits Tennessee

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 5, 2013 Georgia 34Tennessee3113.564.5
October 8, 2011 Georgia 20Tennessee122.555.0
October 10, 2009 Georgia 19Tennessee45-1.546.5
October 6, 2007 Georgia 14Tennessee35
October 8, 2005 Georgia 27Tennessee14
October 11, 2003 Georgia 41Tennessee14
October 6, 2001 Georgia 26Tennessee24

When looking at the last 11 games in this series while Tennessee has been the home team, we can see the Volunteers have won 6 games compared to 5 wins for the Bulldogs. Average points scored per game by Tennessee in this situation is is 28.9 ppg while Georgia has put up 22.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.4 favoring the Volunteers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.9 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Volunteers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Bulldogs and the Volunteers is 51.4 per game. That creates a differential of 3.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 55.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Georgia Bulldogs Cover the Spread?

This season the Georgia Bulldogs have played 13 games, averaging 36.7 points per game, while allowing 29.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Georgia Bulldogs results.

Recent Georgia Bulldogs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 1, 2014 Nebraska 24Georgia19-9.560.0
November 30, 2013 Georgia 41Georgia Tech343.058.0
November 23, 2013 Kentucky 17Georgia59-26.061.0
November 16, 2013 Georgia 38Auburn43-3.564.5
November 9, 2013 Appalachian St. 6Georgia45
November 2, 2013 Georgia 23Florida203.547.5
October 19, 2013 Georgia 27Vanderbilt317.060.5

This season the Georgia Bulldogs have played 6 games on the road, averaging 33.0 points per game, while allowing 32.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Georgia Bulldogs results on the road.

Recent Georgia Bulldogs Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 30, 2013 Georgia 41Georgia Tech343.058.0
November 16, 2013 Georgia 38Auburn43-3.564.5
November 2, 2013 Georgia 23Florida203.547.5
October 19, 2013 Georgia 27Vanderbilt317.060.5
October 5, 2013 Georgia 34Tennessee3113.564.5

Can the Tennessee Volunteers Cover the Spread?

This season the Tennessee Volunteers have played 12 games, averaging 23.8 points per game, while allowing 29.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Tennessee Volunteers results.

Recent Tennessee Volunteers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 30, 2013 Tennessee 27Kentucky143.552.5
November 23, 2013 Vanderbilt 14Tennessee10-2.548.5
November 9, 2013 Auburn 55Tennessee237.055.0
November 2, 2013 Tennessee 3Missouri31-10.555.0
October 26, 2013 Tennessee 10Alabama45-28.050.0
October 19, 2013 South Carolina 21Tennessee237.555.0
October 5, 2013 Georgia 34Tennessee3113.564.5
September 28, 2013 South Alabama 24Tennessee31-17.056.0
September 21, 2013 Tennessee 17Florida31-16.045.5
September 14, 2013 Tennessee 14Oregon59-28.072.5

This season the Tennessee Volunteers have played 7 games here at home, averaging 30.7 points per game, while allowing 24.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Tennessee Volunteers results when playing at home.

Recent Tennessee Volunteers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 23, 2013 Vanderbilt 14Tennessee10-2.548.5
November 9, 2013 Auburn 55Tennessee237.055.0
October 19, 2013 South Carolina 21Tennessee237.555.0
October 5, 2013 Georgia 34Tennessee3113.564.5
September 28, 2013 South Alabama 24Tennessee31-17.056.0
September 7, 2013 Western Kentucky 20Tennessee52-12.058.5
August 31, 2013 Austin Peay 0Tennessee45
November 24, 2012 Kentucky 17Tennessee37-13.561.0
November 10, 2012 Missouri 51Tennessee48-3.060.0
November 3, 2012 Troy St. 48Tennessee55-18.568.5

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