NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Georgia Bulldogs vs Tennessee Volunteers

Game Date: Saturday, October 8, 2011 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 2.5 | Total: 55.0

by Power Plays

Georgia Bulldogs v Tennessee Volunteers Series Betting Trends

The Georgia Bulldogs travel to Tennessee to play the Volunteers at 7:00 PM on Saturday, October 8, 2011. Tennessee is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 55.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulldogs/Volunteers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 27, 2014 Tennessee 32Georgia35-17.557.0
October 5, 2013 Georgia 34Tennessee3113.564.5
September 29, 2012 Tennessee 44Georgia51-13.557.5
October 8, 2011 Georgia 20Tennessee122.555.0
October 9, 2010 Tennessee 14Georgia41-11.048.0
October 10, 2009 Georgia 19Tennessee45-1.546.5
October 11, 2008 Tennessee 14Georgia26-13.041.5
October 6, 2007 Georgia 14Tennessee35
October 7, 2006 Tennessee 51Georgia33
October 8, 2005 Georgia 27Tennessee14

When looking at the last 22 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 12 games compared to 10 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Georgia/Tennessee series is 27.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 24.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.9 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 22 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.4 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Tennessee makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 22 games between the Bulldogs and the Volunteers is 51.7 per game. That creates a differential of 3.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 55.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Georgia as the road team and with Tennessee as the home team.

Recent Results when Georgia visits Tennessee

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 5, 2013 Georgia 34Tennessee3113.564.5
October 8, 2011 Georgia 20Tennessee122.555.0
October 10, 2009 Georgia 19Tennessee45-1.546.5
October 6, 2007 Georgia 14Tennessee35
October 8, 2005 Georgia 27Tennessee14
October 11, 2003 Georgia 41Tennessee14
October 6, 2001 Georgia 26Tennessee24

When looking at the last 11 games in this series while Tennessee has been the home team, we can see the Volunteers have won 6 games compared to 5 wins for the Bulldogs. Average points scored per game by Tennessee in this situation is is 28.9 ppg while Georgia has put up 22.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.4 favoring the Volunteers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.9 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Volunteers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Bulldogs and the Volunteers is 51.4 per game. That creates a differential of 3.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 55.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Georgia Bulldogs Cover the Spread?

This season the Georgia Bulldogs have played 11 games, averaging 43.3 points per game, while allowing 20.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Georgia Bulldogs results.

Recent Georgia Bulldogs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Charleston Southern 9Georgia55
November 15, 2014 Auburn 7Georgia34-2.071.0
November 8, 2014 Georgia 63Kentucky3110.056.0
November 1, 2014 Florida 38Georgia20-11.047.5
October 18, 2014 Georgia 45Arkansas323.053.0
October 11, 2014 Georgia 34Missouri03.059.0
October 4, 2014 Vanderbilt 17Georgia44-33.556.5

This season the Georgia Bulldogs have played 4 games on the road, averaging 44.3 points per game, while allowing 25.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Georgia Bulldogs results on the road.

Recent Georgia Bulldogs Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 8, 2014 Georgia 63Kentucky3110.056.0
October 18, 2014 Georgia 45Arkansas323.053.0
October 11, 2014 Georgia 34Missouri03.059.0
September 13, 2014 Georgia 35South Carolina386.559.0
November 30, 2013 Georgia 41Georgia Tech343.058.0

Can the Tennessee Volunteers Cover the Spread?

This season the Tennessee Volunteers have played 11 games, averaging 27.9 points per game, while allowing 24.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Tennessee Volunteers results.

Recent Tennessee Volunteers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Missouri 29Tennessee21-4.550.0
November 15, 2014 Kentucky 16Tennessee50-11.054.0
November 1, 2014 Tennessee 45South Carolina42-6.555.0
October 25, 2014 Alabama 34Tennessee2020.045.5
October 18, 2014 Tennessee 3Mississippi34-16.045.5
October 11, 2014 Tennessee Chatanooga 10Tennessee45
October 4, 2014 Florida 10Tennessee9-3.054.0
September 27, 2014 Tennessee 32Georgia35-17.557.0
September 13, 2014 Tennessee 10Oklahoma34-21.058.0
September 6, 2014 Arkansas St. 19Tennessee34-16.059.5

This season the Tennessee Volunteers have played 7 games here at home, averaging 31.0 points per game, while allowing 17.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Tennessee Volunteers results when playing at home.

Recent Tennessee Volunteers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Missouri 29Tennessee21-4.550.0
November 15, 2014 Kentucky 16Tennessee50-11.054.0
October 25, 2014 Alabama 34Tennessee2020.045.5
October 11, 2014 Tennessee Chatanooga 10Tennessee45
October 4, 2014 Florida 10Tennessee9-3.054.0
September 6, 2014 Arkansas St. 19Tennessee34-16.059.5
August 31, 2014 Utah St. 7Tennessee38-5.551.5
November 23, 2013 Vanderbilt 14Tennessee10-2.548.5
November 9, 2013 Auburn 55Tennessee237.055.0
October 19, 2013 South Carolina 21Tennessee237.555.0

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