NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Oregon Ducks vs Arizona Wildcats

Game Date: Saturday, September 24, 2011 | Game Time: 10:15 PM | Home Line: 14.5 | Total: 65.0

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Oregon Ducks v Arizona Wildcats Series Betting Trends

The Oregon Ducks travel to Arizona to play the Wildcats at 10:15 PM on Saturday, September 24, 2011. Arizona is the underdog in this matchup, getting 14.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 65.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Ducks/Wildcats Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 22, 2012 Arizona 0Oregon49-20.578.5
September 24, 2011 Oregon 56Arizona3114.565.0
November 26, 2010 Arizona 29Oregon48-19.562.5
November 21, 2009 Oregon 44Arizona415.059.0
November 15, 2008 Arizona 45Oregon55-6.560.5
November 15, 2007 Oregon 24Arizona34
November 18, 2006 Arizona 37Oregon10
October 22, 2005 Oregon 28Arizona21
October 16, 2004 Arizona 14Oregon28
September 13, 2003 Oregon 48Arizona10

When looking at the last 18 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 10 games compared to 8 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Oregon/Arizona series is 29.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 26.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 18 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 17.6 when meassured against the offered line of 14.5, suggesting a wager on Arizona makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 18 games between the Ducks and the Wildcats is 56.5 per game. That creates a differential of 8.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 65.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Oregon as the road team and with Arizona as the home team.

Recent Results when Oregon visits Arizona

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 24, 2011 Oregon 56Arizona3114.565.0
November 21, 2009 Oregon 44Arizona415.059.0
November 15, 2007 Oregon 24Arizona34
October 22, 2005 Oregon 28Arizona21
September 13, 2003 Oregon 48Arizona10
October 5, 2002 Oregon 31Arizona14
Oregon 3Arizona38

When looking at the last 10 games in this series while Arizona has been the home team, we can see the Wildcats have won 3 games compared to 7 wins for the Ducks. Average points scored per game by Arizona in this situation is is 27.4 ppg while Oregon has put up 30.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.1 favoring the Wildcats.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 3.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 17.6 when meassured against the offered line of 14.5, suggesting a wager on the Wildcats makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 10 games between the Ducks and the Wildcats is 57.9 per game. That creates a differential of 7.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 65.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Oregon Ducks Cover the Spread?

This season the Oregon Ducks have played 13 games, averaging 49.6 points per game, while allowing 21.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Oregon Ducks results.

Recent Oregon Ducks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 3, 2013 Kansas St. 17Oregon35-8.073.5
November 24, 2012 Oregon 48Oregon St.2410.566.0
November 24, 2012 Oregon 0Oregon St.09.566.0
November 17, 2012 Stanford 17Oregon14-18.567.0
November 10, 2012 Oregon 59California1730.567.5
November 3, 2012 Oregon 62Southern Cal518.572.0
October 27, 2012 Colorado 14Oregon70-47.067.5

This season the Oregon Ducks have played 5 games on the road, averaging 43.8 points per game, while allowing 23.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Oregon Ducks results on the road.

Recent Oregon Ducks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 24, 2012 Oregon 0Oregon St.09.566.0
November 24, 2012 Oregon 48Oregon St.2410.566.0
November 10, 2012 Oregon 59California1730.567.5
November 3, 2012 Oregon 62Southern Cal518.572.0
October 18, 2012 Oregon 43Arizona St.218.568.5

Can the Arizona Wildcats Cover the Spread?

This season the Arizona Wildcats have played 13 games, averaging 38.2 points per game, while allowing 35.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Arizona Wildcats results.

Recent Arizona Wildcats Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 15, 2012 Nevada 48Arizona49-8.579.0
November 23, 2012 Arizona St. 41Arizona34-2.571.0
November 17, 2012 Arizona 34Utah24-3.063.0
November 10, 2012 Colorado 31Arizona56-29.066.0
November 3, 2012 Arizona 10UCLA66-2.571.5
October 27, 2012 Southern Cal 36Arizona395.068.0
October 20, 2012 Washington 17Arizona52-8.565.5
October 6, 2012 Arizona 48Stanford54-10.055.5
September 29, 2012 Oregon St. 38Arizona35-2.558.0
September 22, 2012 Arizona 0Oregon49-20.578.5

This season the Arizona Wildcats have played 9 games here at home, averaging 44.9 points per game, while allowing 29.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Arizona Wildcats results when playing at home.

Recent Arizona Wildcats Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 15, 2012 Nevada 48Arizona49-8.579.0
November 23, 2012 Arizona St. 41Arizona34-2.571.0
November 10, 2012 Colorado 31Arizona56-29.066.0
October 27, 2012 Southern Cal 36Arizona395.068.0
October 20, 2012 Washington 17Arizona52-8.565.5
September 29, 2012 Oregon St. 38Arizona35-2.558.0
September 15, 2012 South Carolina St. 0Arizona56
September 8, 2012 Oklahoma St. 38Arizona5910.070.0
September 1, 2012 Toledo 17Arizona24-10.063.5
November 26, 2011 UL - Lafayette 37Arizona45-13.562.5

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