The Oregon Ducks travel to Arizona to play the Wildcats at 10:15 PM on Saturday, September 24, 2011. Arizona is the underdog in this matchup, getting 14.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 65.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 22, 2012 | Arizona | 0 | Oregon | 49 | -20.5 | 78.5 |
| September 24, 2011 | Oregon | 56 | Arizona | 31 | 14.5 | 65.0 |
| November 26, 2010 | Arizona | 29 | Oregon | 48 | -19.5 | 62.5 |
| November 21, 2009 | Oregon | 44 | Arizona | 41 | 5.0 | 59.0 |
| November 15, 2008 | Arizona | 45 | Oregon | 55 | -6.5 | 60.5 |
| November 15, 2007 | Oregon | 24 | Arizona | 34 | ||
| November 18, 2006 | Arizona | 37 | Oregon | 10 | ||
| October 22, 2005 | Oregon | 28 | Arizona | 21 | ||
| October 16, 2004 | Arizona | 14 | Oregon | 28 | ||
| September 13, 2003 | Oregon | 48 | Arizona | 10 |
When looking at the last 18 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 10 games compared to 8 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Oregon/Arizona series is 29.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 26.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.1 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 18 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 17.6 when meassured against the offered line of 14.5, suggesting a wager on Arizona makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 18 games between the Ducks and the Wildcats is 56.5 per game. That creates a differential of 8.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 65.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Oregon as the road team and with Arizona as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 24, 2011 | Oregon | 56 | Arizona | 31 | 14.5 | 65.0 |
| November 21, 2009 | Oregon | 44 | Arizona | 41 | 5.0 | 59.0 |
| November 15, 2007 | Oregon | 24 | Arizona | 34 | ||
| October 22, 2005 | Oregon | 28 | Arizona | 21 | ||
| September 13, 2003 | Oregon | 48 | Arizona | 10 | ||
| October 5, 2002 | Oregon | 31 | Arizona | 14 | ||
| Oregon | 3 | Arizona | 38 |
When looking at the last 10 games in this series while Arizona has been the home team, we can see the Wildcats have won 3 games compared to 7 wins for the Ducks. Average points scored per game by Arizona in this situation is is 27.4 ppg while Oregon has put up 30.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.1 favoring the Wildcats.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 3.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 17.6 when meassured against the offered line of 14.5, suggesting a wager on the Wildcats makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 10 games between the Ducks and the Wildcats is 57.9 per game. That creates a differential of 7.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 65.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
This season the Oregon Ducks have played 13 games, averaging 49.6 points per game, while allowing 21.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Oregon Ducks results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 3, 2013 | Kansas St. | 17 | Oregon | 35 | -8.0 | 73.5 |
| November 24, 2012 | Oregon | 48 | Oregon St. | 24 | 10.5 | 66.0 |
| November 24, 2012 | Oregon | 0 | Oregon St. | 0 | 9.5 | 66.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | Stanford | 17 | Oregon | 14 | -18.5 | 67.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Oregon | 59 | California | 17 | 30.5 | 67.5 |
| November 3, 2012 | Oregon | 62 | Southern Cal | 51 | 8.5 | 72.0 |
| October 27, 2012 | Colorado | 14 | Oregon | 70 | -47.0 | 67.5 |
This season the Oregon Ducks have played 5 games on the road, averaging 43.8 points per game, while allowing 23.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Oregon Ducks results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 24, 2012 | Oregon | 0 | Oregon St. | 0 | 9.5 | 66.0 |
| November 24, 2012 | Oregon | 48 | Oregon St. | 24 | 10.5 | 66.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Oregon | 59 | California | 17 | 30.5 | 67.5 |
| November 3, 2012 | Oregon | 62 | Southern Cal | 51 | 8.5 | 72.0 |
| October 18, 2012 | Oregon | 43 | Arizona St. | 21 | 8.5 | 68.5 |
This season the Arizona Wildcats have played 13 games, averaging 38.2 points per game, while allowing 35.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Arizona Wildcats results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 15, 2012 | Nevada | 48 | Arizona | 49 | -8.5 | 79.0 |
| November 23, 2012 | Arizona St. | 41 | Arizona | 34 | -2.5 | 71.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | Arizona | 34 | Utah | 24 | -3.0 | 63.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Colorado | 31 | Arizona | 56 | -29.0 | 66.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Arizona | 10 | UCLA | 66 | -2.5 | 71.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Southern Cal | 36 | Arizona | 39 | 5.0 | 68.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | Washington | 17 | Arizona | 52 | -8.5 | 65.5 |
| October 6, 2012 | Arizona | 48 | Stanford | 54 | -10.0 | 55.5 |
| September 29, 2012 | Oregon St. | 38 | Arizona | 35 | -2.5 | 58.0 |
| September 22, 2012 | Arizona | 0 | Oregon | 49 | -20.5 | 78.5 |
This season the Arizona Wildcats have played 9 games here at home, averaging 44.9 points per game, while allowing 29.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Arizona Wildcats results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 15, 2012 | Nevada | 48 | Arizona | 49 | -8.5 | 79.0 |
| November 23, 2012 | Arizona St. | 41 | Arizona | 34 | -2.5 | 71.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Colorado | 31 | Arizona | 56 | -29.0 | 66.0 |
| October 27, 2012 | Southern Cal | 36 | Arizona | 39 | 5.0 | 68.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | Washington | 17 | Arizona | 52 | -8.5 | 65.5 |
| September 29, 2012 | Oregon St. | 38 | Arizona | 35 | -2.5 | 58.0 |
| September 15, 2012 | South Carolina St. | 0 | Arizona | 56 | ||
| September 8, 2012 | Oklahoma St. | 38 | Arizona | 59 | 10.0 | 70.0 |
| September 1, 2012 | Toledo | 17 | Arizona | 24 | -10.0 | 63.5 |
| November 26, 2011 | UL - Lafayette | 37 | Arizona | 45 | -13.5 | 62.5 |