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CFL Betting Preview & Picks
Edmonton Eskimos vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Game Date: Friday, August 5, 2011 | Game Time: 7:35 PM | Home Line: 1.0 | Total: 50.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffEdmonton Eskimos v Winnipeg Blue Bombers Series Betting Trends
The Edmonton Eskimos travel to Winnipeg to play the Blue Bombers at 7:35 PM on Friday, August 5, 2011. Winnipeg is the underdog in this matchup, getting 1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 50.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Eskimos/Blue Bombers Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 15, 2011 | Winnipeg | 10 | Edmonton | 24 | -2.0 | 49.0 |
| August 5, 2011 | Edmonton | 16 | Winnipeg | 28 | 1.0 | 50.0 |
| October 30, 2010 | Winnipeg | 13 | Edmonton | 16 | -8.0 | 50.0 |
| July 24, 2010 | Edmonton | 21 | Winnipeg | 47 | 1.0 | 54.0 |
| October 2, 2009 | Edmonton | 17 | Winnipeg | 27 | 4.0 | 51.0 |
| July 2, 2009 | Winnipeg | 16 | Edmonton | 19 | -8.0 | 51.5 |
| October 4, 2008 | Winnipeg | 22 | Edmonton | 36 | -5.0 | 54.0 |
| September 26, 2008 | Edmonton | 23 | Winnipeg | 30 | -2.0 | 54.0 |
| July 13, 2007 | Edmonton | 11 | Winnipeg | 8 | ||
| June 28, 2007 | Winnipeg | 39 | Edmonton | 39 |
When looking at the last 32 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 8 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Edmonton/Winnipeg series is 27 ppg while the vistor has put up 22.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.1 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 32 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.1 when meassured against the offered line of 1.0, suggesting a wager on Winnipeg makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 32 games between the Eskimos and the Blue Bombers is 49.9 per game. That creates a differential of 0.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 50.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Edmonton as the road team and with Winnipeg as the home team.
Recent Results when Edmonton visits Winnipeg
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 5, 2011 | Edmonton | 16 | Winnipeg | 28 | 1.0 | 50.0 |
| July 24, 2010 | Edmonton | 21 | Winnipeg | 47 | 1.0 | 54.0 |
| October 2, 2009 | Edmonton | 17 | Winnipeg | 27 | 4.0 | 51.0 |
| September 26, 2008 | Edmonton | 23 | Winnipeg | 30 | -2.0 | 54.0 |
| July 13, 2007 | Edmonton | 11 | Winnipeg | 8 | ||
| July 1, 2006 | Edmonton | 10 | Winnipeg | 46 | ||
| June 30, 2005 | Edmonton | 27 | Winnipeg | 8 |
When looking at the last 16 games in this series while Winnipeg has been the home team, we can see the Blue Bombers have won 10 games compared to 6 wins for the Eskimos. Average points scored per game by Winnipeg in this situation is is 23.4 ppg while Edmonton has put up 21.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.8 favoring the Blue Bombers.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.8 when meassured against the offered line of 1.0, suggesting a wager on the Blue Bombers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Eskimos and the Blue Bombers is 45 per game. That creates a differential of 5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 50.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Edmonton Eskimos Cover the Spread?
This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 21 games, averaging 24.2 points per game, while allowing 23.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results.
Recent Edmonton Eskimos Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 20, 2011 | Edmonton | 23 | B.C. | 40 | -6.0 | 50.0 |
| November 13, 2011 | Calgary | 19 | Edmonton | 33 | -1.5 | 51.5 |
| November 4, 2011 | Sask | 20 | Edmonton | 23 | -8.0 | 47.0 |
| October 29, 2011 | Edmonton | 20 | B.C. | 29 | -4.5 | 49.5 |
| October 21, 2011 | Edmonton | 31 | Toronto | 24 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| October 15, 2011 | Winnipeg | 10 | Edmonton | 24 | -2.0 | 49.0 |
| October 10, 2011 | Sask | 1 | Edmonton | 17 | -6.0 | 51.0 |
This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 10 games on the road, averaging 25.7 points per game, while allowing 25.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results on the road.
Recent Edmonton Eskimos Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 20, 2011 | Edmonton | 23 | B.C. | 40 | -6.0 | 50.0 |
| October 29, 2011 | Edmonton | 20 | B.C. | 29 | -4.5 | 49.5 |
| October 21, 2011 | Edmonton | 31 | Toronto | 24 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| September 30, 2011 | Edmonton | 24 | B.C. | 33 | -6.0 | 49.5 |
| September 16, 2011 | Edmonton | 38 | Hamilton | 23 | -5.0 | 50.5 |
Can the Winnipeg Blue Bombers Cover the Spread?
This season the Winnipeg Blue Bombers have played 20 games, averaging 23.7 points per game, while allowing 23.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Winnipeg Blue Bombers results.
Recent Winnipeg Blue Bombers Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 27, 2011 | Winnipeg | 23 | B.C. | 34 | -7.5 | 50.5 |
| November 20, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Winnipeg | 19 | -3.0 | 51.0 |
| November 5, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Calgary | 30 | -6.0 | 51.5 |
| October 28, 2011 | Toronto | 27 | Winnipeg | 22 | -8.0 | 48.5 |
| October 22, 2011 | Montreal | 25 | Winnipeg | 26 | 1.0 | 52.5 |
| October 15, 2011 | Winnipeg | 10 | Edmonton | 24 | -2.0 | 49.0 |
| October 7, 2011 | Winnipeg | 33 | Hamilton | 17 | -3.5 | 53.0 |
| September 30, 2011 | Montreal | 32 | Winnipeg | 26 | 6.0 | 49.5 |
| September 24, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Toronto | 25 | 3.0 | 48.5 |
| September 18, 2011 | Winnipeg | 25 | Montreal | 23 | -7.5 | 53.0 |
This season the Winnipeg Blue Bombers have played 10 games here at home, averaging 24.1 points per game, while allowing 23.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Winnipeg Blue Bombers results when playing at home.
Recent Winnipeg Blue Bombers Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 20, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Winnipeg | 19 | -3.0 | 51.0 |
| October 28, 2011 | Toronto | 27 | Winnipeg | 22 | -8.0 | 48.5 |
| October 22, 2011 | Montreal | 25 | Winnipeg | 26 | 1.0 | 52.5 |
| September 30, 2011 | Montreal | 32 | Winnipeg | 26 | 6.0 | 49.5 |
| September 11, 2011 | Sask | 45 | Winnipeg | 23 | -5.5 | 48.0 |
| August 26, 2011 | Hamilton | 27 | Winnipeg | 30 | -3.5 | 49.5 |
| August 5, 2011 | Edmonton | 16 | Winnipeg | 28 | 1.0 | 50.0 |
| July 28, 2011 | B.C. | 20 | Winnipeg | 25 | -3.0 | 52.0 |
| July 14, 2011 | Calgary | 21 | Winnipeg | 20 | 3.0 | 52.0 |
| July 8, 2011 | Toronto | 16 | Winnipeg | 22 | 1.0 | 48.0 |
