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CFL Betting Preview & Picks
Hamilton Tiger Cats vs Calgary Stampeders
Game Date: Saturday, August 6, 2011 | Game Time: 9:40 PM | Home Line: -3.5 | Total: 51.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffHamilton Tiger Cats v Calgary Stampeders Series Betting Trends
The Hamilton Tiger Cats travel to Calgary to play the Stampeders at 9:40 PM on Saturday, August 6, 2011. Calgary is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 51.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Tiger Cats/Stampeders Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 25, 2011 | Calgary | 36 | Hamilton | 55 | 1.0 | 54.0 |
| August 6, 2011 | Hamilton | 20 | Calgary | 32 | -3.5 | 51.0 |
| October 29, 2010 | Hamilton | 24 | Calgary | 55 | -4.0 | 53.5 |
| July 10, 2010 | Calgary | 23 | Hamilton | 22 | -2.0 | 51.5 |
| October 3, 2009 | Hamilton | 14 | Calgary | 15 | -7.0 | 51.0 |
| September 18, 2009 | Calgary | 17 | Hamilton | 24 | 3.5 | 53.0 |
| October 24, 2008 | Calgary | 28 | Hamilton | 17 | -3.0 | 43.0 |
| July 17, 2008 | Hamilton | 16 | Calgary | 43 | ||
| September 21, 2007 | Calgary | 20 | Hamilton | 24 | ||
| June 30, 2007 | Hamilton | 9 | Calgary | 37 |
When looking at the last 31 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 22 games compared to 9 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Hamilton/Calgary series is 28.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 22.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.1 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 31 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.6 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on Calgary makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 31 games between the Tiger Cats and the Stampeders is 51.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 51.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Hamilton as the road team and with Calgary as the home team.
Recent Results when Hamilton visits Calgary
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 6, 2011 | Hamilton | 20 | Calgary | 32 | -3.5 | 51.0 |
| October 29, 2010 | Hamilton | 24 | Calgary | 55 | -4.0 | 53.5 |
| October 3, 2009 | Hamilton | 14 | Calgary | 15 | -7.0 | 51.0 |
| July 17, 2008 | Hamilton | 16 | Calgary | 43 | ||
| June 30, 2007 | Hamilton | 9 | Calgary | 37 | ||
| June 29, 2006 | Hamilton | 22 | Calgary | 23 | ||
| October 14, 2005 | Hamilton | 17 | Calgary | 34 |
When looking at the last 16 games in this series while Calgary has been the home team, we can see the Stampeders have won 13 games compared to 3 wins for the Tiger Cats. Average points scored per game by Calgary in this situation is is 32.3 ppg while Hamilton has put up 20.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 11.4 favoring the Stampeders.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 11.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.9 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on the Stampeders makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Tiger Cats and the Stampeders is 53.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 51.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Hamilton Tiger Cats Cover the Spread?
This season the Hamilton Tiger Cats have played 20 games, averaging 26.8 points per game, while allowing 27.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Hamilton Tiger Cats results.
Recent Hamilton Tiger Cats Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 20, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Winnipeg | 19 | -3.0 | 51.0 |
| November 13, 2011 | Hamilton | 52 | Montreal | 44 | -6.0 | 55.0 |
| November 3, 2011 | Hamilton | 16 | Toronto | 33 | 1.5 | 50.5 |
| October 29, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Sask | 19 | 6.5 | 50.0 |
| October 22, 2011 | B.C. | 10 | Hamilton | 42 | 1.5 | 53.5 |
| October 16, 2011 | Hamilton | 25 | Montreal | 27 | -6.0 | 56.0 |
| October 7, 2011 | Winnipeg | 33 | Hamilton | 17 | -3.5 | 53.0 |
This season the Hamilton Tiger Cats have played 11 games on the road, averaging 21.4 points per game, while allowing 28.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Hamilton Tiger Cats results on the road.
Recent Hamilton Tiger Cats Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 20, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Winnipeg | 19 | -3.0 | 51.0 |
| November 13, 2011 | Hamilton | 52 | Montreal | 44 | -6.0 | 55.0 |
| November 3, 2011 | Hamilton | 16 | Toronto | 33 | 1.5 | 50.5 |
| October 29, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Sask | 19 | 6.5 | 50.0 |
| October 16, 2011 | Hamilton | 25 | Montreal | 27 | -6.0 | 56.0 |
Can the Calgary Stampeders Cover the Spread?
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 19 games, averaging 27.9 points per game, while allowing 26.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results.
Recent Calgary Stampeders Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 13, 2011 | Calgary | 19 | Edmonton | 33 | -1.5 | 51.5 |
| November 5, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Calgary | 30 | -6.0 | 51.5 |
| October 30, 2011 | Calgary | 32 | Montreal | 27 | -5.0 | 56.0 |
| October 21, 2011 | Sask | 13 | Calgary | 25 | -10.0 | 52.0 |
| October 14, 2011 | Calgary | 29 | Toronto | 31 | 6.0 | 52.5 |
| October 8, 2011 | Calgary | 31 | B.C. | 33 | -3.5 | 53.0 |
| October 1, 2011 | Sask | 3 | Calgary | 40 | -5.5 | 55.5 |
| September 25, 2011 | Calgary | 36 | Hamilton | 55 | 1.0 | 54.0 |
| September 17, 2011 | B.C. | 32 | Calgary | 19 | -4.0 | 51.0 |
| September 9, 2011 | Calgary | 30 | Edmonton | 20 | 3.0 | 51.0 |
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 9 games here at home, averaging 25.7 points per game, while allowing 22.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results when playing at home.
Recent Calgary Stampeders Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 5, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Calgary | 30 | -6.0 | 51.5 |
| October 21, 2011 | Sask | 13 | Calgary | 25 | -10.0 | 52.0 |
| October 1, 2011 | Sask | 3 | Calgary | 40 | -5.5 | 55.5 |
| September 17, 2011 | B.C. | 32 | Calgary | 19 | -4.0 | 51.0 |
| September 5, 2011 | Edmonton | 35 | Calgary | 7 | -9.0 | 49.0 |
| August 27, 2011 | Montreal | 31 | Calgary | 38 | -1.0 | 54.5 |
| August 6, 2011 | Hamilton | 20 | Calgary | 32 | -3.5 | 51.0 |
| July 23, 2011 | Edmonton | 24 | Calgary | 19 | -3.0 | 55.0 |
| July 1, 2011 | Toronto | 23 | Calgary | 21 | -7.5 | 51.0 |
| November 21, 2010 | Sask | 20 | Calgary | 16 | -7.5 | 54.5 |
