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CFL Betting Preview & Picks
Calgary Stampeders vs Sask Rough Riders
Game Date: Saturday, July 30, 2011 | Game Time: 9:40 PM | Home Line: 2.0 | Total: 54.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffCalgary Stampeders v Sask Rough Riders Series Betting Trends
The Calgary Stampeders travel to Sask to play the Rough Riders at 9:40 PM on Saturday, July 30, 2011. Sask is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 54.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Stampeders/Rough Riders Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 21, 2011 | Sask | 13 | Calgary | 25 | -10.0 | 52.0 |
| October 1, 2011 | Sask | 3 | Calgary | 40 | -5.5 | 55.5 |
| August 12, 2011 | Calgary | 45 | Sask | 35 | 3.5 | 49.5 |
| July 30, 2011 | Calgary | 22 | Sask | 18 | 2.0 | 54.5 |
| November 21, 2010 | Sask | 20 | Calgary | 16 | -7.5 | 54.5 |
| October 17, 2010 | Calgary | 34 | Sask | 26 | -1.5 | 57.5 |
| September 17, 2010 | Calgary | 37 | Sask | 43 | 3.5 | 55.5 |
| July 24, 2010 | Sask | 20 | Calgary | 40 | -2.0 | 56.0 |
| November 22, 2009 | Calgary | 17 | Sask | 27 | -3.0 | 54.5 |
| November 7, 2009 | Calgary | 14 | Sask | 30 | -1.5 | 55.0 |
When looking at the last 53 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 30 games compared to 23 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Calgary/Sask series is 28.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 25.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.8 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 53 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 4.8 when meassured against the offered line of 2.0, suggesting a wager on Sask makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 53 games between the Stampeders and the Rough Riders is 53.4 per game. That creates a differential of 1.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 54.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Calgary as the road team and with Sask as the home team.
Recent Results when Calgary visits Sask
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 12, 2011 | Calgary | 45 | Sask | 35 | 3.5 | 49.5 |
| July 30, 2011 | Calgary | 22 | Sask | 18 | 2.0 | 54.5 |
| October 17, 2010 | Calgary | 34 | Sask | 26 | -1.5 | 57.5 |
| September 17, 2010 | Calgary | 37 | Sask | 43 | 3.5 | 55.5 |
| November 22, 2009 | Calgary | 17 | Sask | 27 | -3.0 | 54.5 |
| November 7, 2009 | Calgary | 14 | Sask | 30 | -1.5 | 55.0 |
| October 3, 2008 | Calgary | 34 | Sask | 37 | 3.0 | 53.0 |
When looking at the last 27 games in this series while Sask has been the home team, we can see the Rough Riders have won 13 games compared to 14 wins for the Stampeders. Average points scored per game by Sask in this situation is is 27.8 ppg while Calgary has put up 29.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.4 favoring the Rough Riders.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.4 when meassured against the offered line of 2.0, suggesting a wager on the Rough Riders makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Stampeders and the Rough Riders is 57 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 54.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Calgary Stampeders Cover the Spread?
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 19 games, averaging 27.9 points per game, while allowing 26.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results.
Recent Calgary Stampeders Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 13, 2011 | Calgary | 19 | Edmonton | 33 | -1.5 | 51.5 |
| November 5, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Calgary | 30 | -6.0 | 51.5 |
| October 30, 2011 | Calgary | 32 | Montreal | 27 | -5.0 | 56.0 |
| October 21, 2011 | Sask | 13 | Calgary | 25 | -10.0 | 52.0 |
| October 14, 2011 | Calgary | 29 | Toronto | 31 | 6.0 | 52.5 |
| October 8, 2011 | Calgary | 31 | B.C. | 33 | -3.5 | 53.0 |
| October 1, 2011 | Sask | 3 | Calgary | 40 | -5.5 | 55.5 |
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 10 games on the road, averaging 29.9 points per game, while allowing 30.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results on the road.
Recent Calgary Stampeders Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 13, 2011 | Calgary | 19 | Edmonton | 33 | -1.5 | 51.5 |
| October 30, 2011 | Calgary | 32 | Montreal | 27 | -5.0 | 56.0 |
| October 14, 2011 | Calgary | 29 | Toronto | 31 | 6.0 | 52.5 |
| October 8, 2011 | Calgary | 31 | B.C. | 33 | -3.5 | 53.0 |
| September 25, 2011 | Calgary | 36 | Hamilton | 55 | 1.0 | 54.0 |
Can the Sask Rough Riders Cover the Spread?
This season the Sask Rough Riders have played 18 games, averaging 19.2 points per game, while allowing 26.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Sask Rough Riders results.
Recent Sask Rough Riders Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 4, 2011 | Sask | 20 | Edmonton | 23 | -8.0 | 47.0 |
| October 29, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Sask | 19 | 6.5 | 50.0 |
| October 21, 2011 | Sask | 13 | Calgary | 25 | -10.0 | 52.0 |
| October 16, 2011 | B.C. | 29 | Sask | 18 | 7.5 | 48.5 |
| October 10, 2011 | Sask | 1 | Edmonton | 17 | -6.0 | 51.0 |
| October 1, 2011 | Sask | 3 | Calgary | 40 | -5.5 | 55.5 |
| September 24, 2011 | B.C. | 42 | Sask | 5 | -1.5 | 50.5 |
| September 17, 2011 | Toronto | 20 | Sask | 30 | -7.5 | 50.5 |
| September 11, 2011 | Sask | 45 | Winnipeg | 23 | -5.5 | 48.0 |
| September 4, 2011 | Winnipeg | 7 | Sask | 27 | 2.5 | 49.5 |
This season the Sask Rough Riders have played 9 games here at home, averaging 22.8 points per game, while allowing 27.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Sask Rough Riders results when playing at home.
Recent Sask Rough Riders Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 29, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Sask | 19 | 6.5 | 50.0 |
| October 16, 2011 | B.C. | 29 | Sask | 18 | 7.5 | 48.5 |
| September 24, 2011 | B.C. | 42 | Sask | 5 | -1.5 | 50.5 |
| September 17, 2011 | Toronto | 20 | Sask | 30 | -7.5 | 50.5 |
| September 4, 2011 | Winnipeg | 7 | Sask | 27 | 2.5 | 49.5 |
| August 12, 2011 | Calgary | 45 | Sask | 35 | 3.5 | 49.5 |
| July 30, 2011 | Calgary | 22 | Sask | 18 | 2.0 | 54.5 |
| July 9, 2011 | Montreal | 39 | Sask | 25 | 3.5 | 55.0 |
| July 3, 2011 | Edmonton | 42 | Sask | 28 | -6.5 | 52.0 |
| November 14, 2010 | B.C. | 38 | Sask | 41 | -4.0 | 52.0 |
