CFL Betting Preview & Picks

Toronto Argonauts vs Edmonton Eskimos

Game Date: Friday, July 29, 2011 | Game Time: 9:35 PM | Home Line: -8.5 | Total: 49.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Toronto Argonauts v Edmonton Eskimos Series Betting Trends

The Toronto Argonauts travel to Edmonton to play the Eskimos at 9:35 PM on Friday, July 29, 2011. Edmonton is the favorite in this matchup, laying -8.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 49.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Argonauts/Eskimos Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 21, 2011 Edmonton 31Toronto243.048.0
July 29, 2011 Toronto 25Edmonton26
July 29, 2011 Toronto 25Edmonton26-8.549.5
September 26, 2010 Edmonton 24Toronto6-3.549.0
August 6, 2010 Toronto 29Edmonton28-5.051.5
October 30, 2009 Toronto 10Edmonton36-7.549.5
October 16, 2009 Edmonton 22Toronto194.051.0
July 20, 2008 Edmonton 31Toronto35
July 10, 2008 Toronto 28Edmonton47
October 6, 2007 Edmonton 8Toronto33

When looking at the last 30 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 13 games compared to 17 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Toronto/Edmonton series is 25.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 23.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.8 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 30 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.8 ppg. That represents a value number of -6.7 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on Toronto makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 30 games between the Argonauts and the Eskimos is 48.8 per game. That creates a differential of 0.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 49.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Toronto as the road team and with Edmonton as the home team.

Recent Results when Toronto visits Edmonton

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
July 29, 2011 Toronto 25Edmonton26
July 29, 2011 Toronto 25Edmonton26-8.549.5
August 6, 2010 Toronto 29Edmonton28-5.051.5
October 30, 2009 Toronto 10Edmonton36-7.549.5
July 10, 2008 Toronto 28Edmonton47
September 28, 2007 Toronto 18Edmonton11
October 14, 2006 Toronto 28Edmonton25

When looking at the last 14 games in this series while Edmonton has been the home team, we can see the Eskimos have won 6 games compared to 8 wins for the Argonauts. Average points scored per game by Edmonton in this situation is is 27.1 ppg while Toronto has put up 23.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.4 favoring the Argonauts.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -5.1 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on the Argonauts makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 14 games between the Argonauts and the Eskimos is 50.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 49.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Toronto Argonauts Cover the Spread?

This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 19 games, averaging 22.2 points per game, while allowing 27.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results.

Recent Toronto Argonauts Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 3, 2011 Hamilton 16Toronto331.550.5
October 28, 2011 Toronto 27Winnipeg22-8.048.5
October 21, 2011 Edmonton 31Toronto243.048.0
October 14, 2011 Calgary 29Toronto316.052.5
October 10, 2011 Toronto 19Montreal29-13.554.0
October 1, 2011 Hamilton 27Toronto124.054.0
September 24, 2011 Winnipeg 24Toronto253.048.5

This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 10 games on the road, averaging 21.0 points per game, while allowing 28.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results on the road.

Recent Toronto Argonauts Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 28, 2011 Toronto 27Winnipeg22-8.048.5
October 10, 2011 Toronto 19Montreal29-13.554.0
September 17, 2011 Toronto 20Sask30-7.550.5
September 10, 2011 Toronto 6B.C.28-7.549.0
August 13, 2011 Toronto 32Hamilton37-8.050.0

Can the Edmonton Eskimos Cover the Spread?

This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 21 games, averaging 24.2 points per game, while allowing 23.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results.

Recent Edmonton Eskimos Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 20, 2011 Edmonton 23B.C.40-6.050.0
November 13, 2011 Calgary 19Edmonton33-1.551.5
November 4, 2011 Sask 20Edmonton23-8.047.0
October 29, 2011 Edmonton 20B.C.29-4.549.5
October 21, 2011 Edmonton 31Toronto243.048.0
October 15, 2011 Winnipeg 10Edmonton24-2.049.0
October 10, 2011 Sask 1Edmonton17-6.051.0
September 30, 2011 Edmonton 24B.C.33-6.049.5
September 23, 2011 Montreal 34Edmonton211.054.0
September 16, 2011 Edmonton 38Hamilton23-5.050.5

This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 11 games here at home, averaging 22.9 points per game, while allowing 20.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results when playing at home.

Recent Edmonton Eskimos Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 13, 2011 Calgary 19Edmonton33-1.551.5
November 4, 2011 Sask 20Edmonton23-8.047.0
October 15, 2011 Winnipeg 10Edmonton24-2.049.0
October 10, 2011 Sask 1Edmonton17-6.051.0
September 23, 2011 Montreal 34Edmonton211.054.0
September 9, 2011 Calgary 30Edmonton203.051.0
August 19, 2011 B.C. 36Edmonton1-5.550.5
July 29, 2011 Toronto 25Edmonton26
July 29, 2011 Toronto 25Edmonton26-8.549.5
July 16, 2011 B.C. 17Edmonton33-2.554.5

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