The Toronto Argonauts travel to Edmonton to play the Eskimos at 9:35 PM on Friday, July 29, 2011. Edmonton is the favorite in this matchup, laying -8.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 49.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 21, 2011 | Edmonton | 31 | Toronto | 24 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| July 29, 2011 | Toronto | 25 | Edmonton | 26 | ||
| July 29, 2011 | Toronto | 25 | Edmonton | 26 | -8.5 | 49.5 |
| September 26, 2010 | Edmonton | 24 | Toronto | 6 | -3.5 | 49.0 |
| August 6, 2010 | Toronto | 29 | Edmonton | 28 | -5.0 | 51.5 |
| October 30, 2009 | Toronto | 10 | Edmonton | 36 | -7.5 | 49.5 |
| October 16, 2009 | Edmonton | 22 | Toronto | 19 | 4.0 | 51.0 |
| July 20, 2008 | Edmonton | 31 | Toronto | 35 | ||
| July 10, 2008 | Toronto | 28 | Edmonton | 47 | ||
| October 6, 2007 | Edmonton | 8 | Toronto | 33 |
When looking at the last 30 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 13 games compared to 17 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Toronto/Edmonton series is 25.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 23.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.8 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 30 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.8 ppg. That represents a value number of -6.7 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on Toronto makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 30 games between the Argonauts and the Eskimos is 48.8 per game. That creates a differential of 0.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 49.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Toronto as the road team and with Edmonton as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 29, 2011 | Toronto | 25 | Edmonton | 26 | ||
| July 29, 2011 | Toronto | 25 | Edmonton | 26 | -8.5 | 49.5 |
| August 6, 2010 | Toronto | 29 | Edmonton | 28 | -5.0 | 51.5 |
| October 30, 2009 | Toronto | 10 | Edmonton | 36 | -7.5 | 49.5 |
| July 10, 2008 | Toronto | 28 | Edmonton | 47 | ||
| September 28, 2007 | Toronto | 18 | Edmonton | 11 | ||
| October 14, 2006 | Toronto | 28 | Edmonton | 25 |
When looking at the last 14 games in this series while Edmonton has been the home team, we can see the Eskimos have won 6 games compared to 8 wins for the Argonauts. Average points scored per game by Edmonton in this situation is is 27.1 ppg while Toronto has put up 23.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.4 favoring the Argonauts.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -5.1 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on the Argonauts makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 14 games between the Argonauts and the Eskimos is 50.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 49.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 19 games, averaging 22.2 points per game, while allowing 27.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 3, 2011 | Hamilton | 16 | Toronto | 33 | 1.5 | 50.5 |
| October 28, 2011 | Toronto | 27 | Winnipeg | 22 | -8.0 | 48.5 |
| October 21, 2011 | Edmonton | 31 | Toronto | 24 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| October 14, 2011 | Calgary | 29 | Toronto | 31 | 6.0 | 52.5 |
| October 10, 2011 | Toronto | 19 | Montreal | 29 | -13.5 | 54.0 |
| October 1, 2011 | Hamilton | 27 | Toronto | 12 | 4.0 | 54.0 |
| September 24, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Toronto | 25 | 3.0 | 48.5 |
This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 10 games on the road, averaging 21.0 points per game, while allowing 28.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 28, 2011 | Toronto | 27 | Winnipeg | 22 | -8.0 | 48.5 |
| October 10, 2011 | Toronto | 19 | Montreal | 29 | -13.5 | 54.0 |
| September 17, 2011 | Toronto | 20 | Sask | 30 | -7.5 | 50.5 |
| September 10, 2011 | Toronto | 6 | B.C. | 28 | -7.5 | 49.0 |
| August 13, 2011 | Toronto | 32 | Hamilton | 37 | -8.0 | 50.0 |
This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 21 games, averaging 24.2 points per game, while allowing 23.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 20, 2011 | Edmonton | 23 | B.C. | 40 | -6.0 | 50.0 |
| November 13, 2011 | Calgary | 19 | Edmonton | 33 | -1.5 | 51.5 |
| November 4, 2011 | Sask | 20 | Edmonton | 23 | -8.0 | 47.0 |
| October 29, 2011 | Edmonton | 20 | B.C. | 29 | -4.5 | 49.5 |
| October 21, 2011 | Edmonton | 31 | Toronto | 24 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| October 15, 2011 | Winnipeg | 10 | Edmonton | 24 | -2.0 | 49.0 |
| October 10, 2011 | Sask | 1 | Edmonton | 17 | -6.0 | 51.0 |
| September 30, 2011 | Edmonton | 24 | B.C. | 33 | -6.0 | 49.5 |
| September 23, 2011 | Montreal | 34 | Edmonton | 21 | 1.0 | 54.0 |
| September 16, 2011 | Edmonton | 38 | Hamilton | 23 | -5.0 | 50.5 |
This season the Edmonton Eskimos have played 11 games here at home, averaging 22.9 points per game, while allowing 20.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Edmonton Eskimos results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 13, 2011 | Calgary | 19 | Edmonton | 33 | -1.5 | 51.5 |
| November 4, 2011 | Sask | 20 | Edmonton | 23 | -8.0 | 47.0 |
| October 15, 2011 | Winnipeg | 10 | Edmonton | 24 | -2.0 | 49.0 |
| October 10, 2011 | Sask | 1 | Edmonton | 17 | -6.0 | 51.0 |
| September 23, 2011 | Montreal | 34 | Edmonton | 21 | 1.0 | 54.0 |
| September 9, 2011 | Calgary | 30 | Edmonton | 20 | 3.0 | 51.0 |
| August 19, 2011 | B.C. | 36 | Edmonton | 1 | -5.5 | 50.5 |
| July 29, 2011 | Toronto | 25 | Edmonton | 26 | ||
| July 29, 2011 | Toronto | 25 | Edmonton | 26 | -8.5 | 49.5 |
| July 16, 2011 | B.C. | 17 | Edmonton | 33 | -2.5 | 54.5 |