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CFL Betting Preview & Picks
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Toronto Argonauts
Game Date: Saturday, July 23, 2011 | Game Time: 4:05 PM | Home Line: -3.5 | Total: 45.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffWinnipeg Blue Bombers v Toronto Argonauts Series Betting Trends
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers travel to Toronto to play the Argonauts at 4:05 PM on Saturday, July 23, 2011. Toronto is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 45.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Blue Bombers/Argonauts Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 28, 2011 | Toronto | 27 | Winnipeg | 22 | -8.0 | 48.5 |
| September 24, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Toronto | 25 | 3.0 | 48.5 |
| July 23, 2011 | Winnipeg | 33 | Toronto | 24 | -3.5 | 45.5 |
| July 8, 2011 | Toronto | 16 | Winnipeg | 22 | 1.0 | 48.0 |
| October 23, 2010 | Toronto | 27 | Winnipeg | 8 | -6.0 | 49.5 |
| September 19, 2010 | Winnipeg | 13 | Toronto | 17 | -1.0 | 51.5 |
| July 9, 2010 | Toronto | 36 | Winnipeg | 34 | -10.5 | 46.5 |
| July 9, 2010 | Toronto | 36 | Winnipeg | 34 | ||
| July 9, 2010 | Toronto | 36 | Winnipeg | 34 | ||
| September 26, 2009 | Toronto | 24 | Winnipeg | 29 | -1.0 | 44.0 |
When looking at the last 49 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 30 games compared to 19 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Winnipeg/Toronto series is 25.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 22.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.7 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 49 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.7 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.8 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on Winnipeg makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 49 games between the Blue Bombers and the Argonauts is 48.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 45.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Winnipeg as the road team and with Toronto as the home team.
Recent Results when Winnipeg visits Toronto
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 24, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Toronto | 25 | 3.0 | 48.5 |
| July 23, 2011 | Winnipeg | 33 | Toronto | 24 | -3.5 | 45.5 |
| September 19, 2010 | Winnipeg | 13 | Toronto | 17 | -1.0 | 51.5 |
| August 1, 2009 | Winnipeg | 13 | Toronto | 12 | -4.5 | 44.5 |
| August 1, 2008 | Winnipeg | 11 | Toronto | 19 | ||
| November 18, 2007 | Winnipeg | 19 | Toronto | 9 | ||
| October 27, 2007 | Winnipeg | 8 | Toronto | 16 |
When looking at the last 23 games in this series while Toronto has been the home team, we can see the Argonauts have won 17 games compared to 6 wins for the Blue Bombers. Average points scored per game by Toronto in this situation is is 25.5 ppg while Winnipeg has put up 20.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.8 favoring the Argonauts.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.3 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on the Argonauts makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 23 games between the Blue Bombers and the Argonauts is 46.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 45.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Can the Winnipeg Blue Bombers Cover the Spread?
This season the Winnipeg Blue Bombers have played 20 games, averaging 23.7 points per game, while allowing 23.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Winnipeg Blue Bombers results.
Recent Winnipeg Blue Bombers Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 27, 2011 | Winnipeg | 23 | B.C. | 34 | -7.5 | 50.5 |
| November 20, 2011 | Hamilton | 3 | Winnipeg | 19 | -3.0 | 51.0 |
| November 5, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Calgary | 30 | -6.0 | 51.5 |
| October 28, 2011 | Toronto | 27 | Winnipeg | 22 | -8.0 | 48.5 |
| October 22, 2011 | Montreal | 25 | Winnipeg | 26 | 1.0 | 52.5 |
| October 15, 2011 | Winnipeg | 10 | Edmonton | 24 | -2.0 | 49.0 |
| October 7, 2011 | Winnipeg | 33 | Hamilton | 17 | -3.5 | 53.0 |
This season the Winnipeg Blue Bombers have played 10 games on the road, averaging 23.3 points per game, while allowing 23.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Winnipeg Blue Bombers results on the road.
Recent Winnipeg Blue Bombers Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 27, 2011 | Winnipeg | 23 | B.C. | 34 | -7.5 | 50.5 |
| November 5, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Calgary | 30 | -6.0 | 51.5 |
| October 15, 2011 | Winnipeg | 10 | Edmonton | 24 | -2.0 | 49.0 |
| October 7, 2011 | Winnipeg | 33 | Hamilton | 17 | -3.5 | 53.0 |
| September 24, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Toronto | 25 | 3.0 | 48.5 |
Can the Toronto Argonauts Cover the Spread?
This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 19 games, averaging 22.2 points per game, while allowing 27.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results.
Recent Toronto Argonauts Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 3, 2011 | Hamilton | 16 | Toronto | 33 | 1.5 | 50.5 |
| October 28, 2011 | Toronto | 27 | Winnipeg | 22 | -8.0 | 48.5 |
| October 21, 2011 | Edmonton | 31 | Toronto | 24 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| October 14, 2011 | Calgary | 29 | Toronto | 31 | 6.0 | 52.5 |
| October 10, 2011 | Toronto | 19 | Montreal | 29 | -13.5 | 54.0 |
| October 1, 2011 | Hamilton | 27 | Toronto | 12 | 4.0 | 54.0 |
| September 24, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Toronto | 25 | 3.0 | 48.5 |
| September 17, 2011 | Toronto | 20 | Sask | 30 | -7.5 | 50.5 |
| September 10, 2011 | Toronto | 6 | B.C. | 28 | -7.5 | 49.0 |
| September 2, 2011 | B.C. | 29 | Toronto | 16 | 2.0 | 51.0 |
This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 9 games here at home, averaging 23.6 points per game, while allowing 27.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results when playing at home.
Recent Toronto Argonauts Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 3, 2011 | Hamilton | 16 | Toronto | 33 | 1.5 | 50.5 |
| October 21, 2011 | Edmonton | 31 | Toronto | 24 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| October 14, 2011 | Calgary | 29 | Toronto | 31 | 6.0 | 52.5 |
| October 1, 2011 | Hamilton | 27 | Toronto | 12 | 4.0 | 54.0 |
| September 24, 2011 | Winnipeg | 24 | Toronto | 25 | 3.0 | 48.5 |
| September 2, 2011 | B.C. | 29 | Toronto | 16 | 2.0 | 51.0 |
| August 18, 2011 | Sask | 18 | Toronto | 24 | -3.0 | 54.0 |
| August 4, 2011 | Montreal | 36 | Toronto | 23 | 4.0 | 52.5 |
| July 23, 2011 | Winnipeg | 33 | Toronto | 24 | -3.5 | 45.5 |
| October 29, 2010 | Montreal | 37 | Toronto | 30 | 4.5 | 48.5 |
