Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Game Date: Thursday, June 9, 2011 | Game Time: 9:00 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 184.5

Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks Series Betting Trends

The Miami Heat travel to Dallas to play the Mavericks at 9:00 PM on Thursday, June 9, 2011. Dallas is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 184.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Heat/Mavericks Series

When looking at the last 39 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 21 games compared to 18 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Miami/Dallas series is 97.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 96.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 39 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.4 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Miami makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 39 games between the Heat and the Mavericks is 193.5 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 184.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Miami as the road team and with Dallas as the home team.

Recent Results when Miami visits Dallas

When looking at the last 19 games in this series while Dallas has been the home team, we can see the Mavericks have won 14 games compared to 5 wins for the Heat. Average points scored per game by Dallas in this situation is is 98.3 ppg while Miami has put up 93 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.3 favoring the Mavericks.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.8 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Mavericks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 19 games between the Heat and the Mavericks is 191.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 6.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 184.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Miami Heat Cover the Spread?

This season the Miami Heat have played 75 games, averaging 97.9 points per game, while allowing 91.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 52-23. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results.

Recent Miami Heat Results

This season the Miami Heat have played 37 games on the road, averaging 95.9 points per game, while allowing 94.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-17. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results on the road.

Recent Miami Heat Road Results

Can the Dallas Mavericks Cover the Spread?

This season the Dallas Mavericks have played 70 games, averaging 95.6 points per game, while allowing 95.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 36-23. Let's have a closer look at recent Dallas Mavericks results.

Recent Dallas Mavericks Results

This season the Dallas Mavericks have played 35 games here at home, averaging 96.8 points per game, while allowing 93.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-12. Let's have a closer look at recent Dallas Mavericks results when playing at home.

Recent Dallas Mavericks Home Results

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