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WNBA Betting Preview & Picks
Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun
Game Date: Saturday, June 4, 2011 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.5 | Total: 150.5
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffWashington Mystics v Connecticut Sun Series Betting Trends
The Washington Mystics travel to Connecticut to play the Sun at 7:05 PM on Saturday, June 4, 2011. Connecticut is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 150.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any WNBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Mystics/Sun Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 4, 2011 | Connecticut | 79 | Washington | 48 | 6.0 | 150.0 |
| August 13, 2011 | Washington | 75 | Connecticut | 82 | -10.0 | 150.5 |
| June 16, 2011 | Connecticut | 79 | Washington | 71 | -3.5 | 152.0 |
| June 4, 2011 | Washington | 73 | Connecticut | 89 | -4.5 | 150.5 |
| August 10, 2010 | Connecticut | 74 | Washington | 84 | -4.0 | 152.0 |
| August 8, 2010 | Washington | 67 | Connecticut | 76 | -4.5 | 155.0 |
| July 27, 2010 | Washington | 78 | Connecticut | 88 | -4.0 | 151.5 |
| May 30, 2010 | Connecticut | 65 | Washington | 69 | -2.5 | 153.5 |
| May 23, 2010 | Washington | 65 | Connecticut | 80 | -2.5 | 150.0 |
| August 14, 2009 | Connecticut | 89 | Washington | 91 | -3.5 | 154.5 |
When looking at the last 53 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 36 games compared to 17 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Washington/Connecticut series is 73.6 ppg while the vistor has put up 70.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.4 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 53 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -1.1 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on Washington makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 53 games between the Mystics and the Sun is 143.8 per game. That creates a differential of 6.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 150.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Washington as the road team and with Connecticut as the home team.
Recent Results when Washington visits Connecticut
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2011 | Washington | 75 | Connecticut | 82 | -10.0 | 150.5 |
| June 4, 2011 | Washington | 73 | Connecticut | 89 | -4.5 | 150.5 |
| August 8, 2010 | Washington | 67 | Connecticut | 76 | -4.5 | 155.0 |
| July 27, 2010 | Washington | 78 | Connecticut | 88 | -4.0 | 151.5 |
| May 23, 2010 | Washington | 65 | Connecticut | 80 | -2.5 | 150.0 |
| August 9, 2009 | Washington | 67 | Connecticut | 96 | -5.0 | 153.0 |
| June 6, 2009 | Washington | 82 | Connecticut | 70 | -7.5 | 154.5 |
When looking at the last 28 games in this series while Connecticut has been the home team, we can see the Sun have won 23 games compared to 5 wins for the Mystics. Average points scored per game by Connecticut in this situation is is 76.8 ppg while Washington has put up 68.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.6 favoring the Sun.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 4.1 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on the Sun makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 28 games between the Mystics and the Sun is 145 per game. That creates a differential of 5.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 150.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Washington Mystics Cover the Spread?
This season the Washington Mystics have played 0 games, averaging 0.0 points per game, while allowing 0.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Mystics results.
Recent Washington Mystics Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 10, 2011 | Washington | 74 | San Antonio | 82 | ||
| September 7, 2011 | Washington | 69 | Indiana | 87 | ||
| September 4, 2011 | Connecticut | 79 | Washington | 48 | 6.0 | 150.0 |
| August 30, 2011 | Washington | 56 | Minnesota | 73 | -12.5 | 148.5 |
| August 28, 2011 | Phoenix | 86 | Washington | 79 | 6.0 | 173.0 |
| August 26, 2011 | Washington | 67 | Chicago | 80 | -7.5 | 144.5 |
| August 23, 2011 | Los Angeles | 86 | Washington | 82 | 3.0 | 149.0 |
This season the Washington Mystics have played 0 games on the road, averaging 0.0 points per game, while allowing 0.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Mystics results on the road.
Recent Washington Mystics Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 10, 2011 | Washington | 74 | San Antonio | 82 | ||
| September 7, 2011 | Washington | 69 | Indiana | 87 | ||
| August 30, 2011 | Washington | 56 | Minnesota | 73 | -12.5 | 148.5 |
| August 26, 2011 | Washington | 67 | Chicago | 80 | -7.5 | 144.5 |
| August 21, 2011 | Washington | 51 | Indiana | 83 | -11.5 | 144.5 |
Can the Connecticut Sun Cover the Spread?
This season the Connecticut Sun have played 0 games, averaging 0.0 points per game, while allowing 0.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Connecticut Sun results.
Recent Connecticut Sun Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 11, 2011 | New York | 63 | Connecticut | 69 | ||
| September 4, 2011 | Connecticut | 79 | Washington | 48 | 6.0 | 150.0 |
| September 2, 2011 | Indiana | 55 | Connecticut | 83 | -3.0 | 151.0 |
| August 30, 2011 | Connecticut | 66 | San Antonio | 78 | -3.0 | 151.0 |
| August 28, 2011 | Connecticut | 72 | Tulsa | 83 | 9.5 | 152.5 |
| August 26, 2011 | Phoenix | 92 | Connecticut | 95 | -5.0 | 178.5 |
| August 18, 2011 | Connecticut | 81 | New York | 84 | -2.5 | 151.5 |
| August 16, 2011 | Minnesota | 79 | Connecticut | 108 | 1.5 | 158.0 |
| August 13, 2011 | Washington | 75 | Connecticut | 82 | -10.0 | 150.5 |
| August 11, 2011 | San Antonio | 72 | Connecticut | 59 | -6.0 | 151.0 |
This season the Connecticut Sun have played 0 games here at home, averaging 0.0 points per game, while allowing 0.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Connecticut Sun results when playing at home.
Recent Connecticut Sun Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 11, 2011 | New York | 63 | Connecticut | 69 | ||
| September 2, 2011 | Indiana | 55 | Connecticut | 83 | -3.0 | 151.0 |
| August 26, 2011 | Phoenix | 92 | Connecticut | 95 | -5.0 | 178.5 |
| August 16, 2011 | Minnesota | 79 | Connecticut | 108 | 1.5 | 158.0 |
| August 13, 2011 | Washington | 75 | Connecticut | 82 | -10.0 | 150.5 |
| August 11, 2011 | San Antonio | 72 | Connecticut | 59 | -6.0 | 151.0 |
| August 9, 2011 | Chicago | 58 | Connecticut | 69 | -6.0 | 149.0 |
| July 28, 2011 | Indiana | 69 | Connecticut | 58 | -6.0 | 148.5 |
| July 19, 2011 | New York | 79 | Connecticut | 85 | -5.0 | 154.0 |
| July 17, 2011 | Indiana | 71 | Connecticut | 76 | -2.5 | 151.5 |
