NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs

Game Date: Wednesday, April 20, 2011 | Game Time: 8:35 PM | Home Line: -8.5 | Total: 196.0

by Steve Miller

Memphis Grizzlies v San Antonio Spurs Series Betting Trends

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to San Antonio to play the Spurs at 8:35 PM on Wednesday, April 20, 2011. San Antonio is the favorite in this matchup, laying -8.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 196.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Grizzlies/Spurs Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 6, 2014 Memphis 92San Antonio112-7.0190.5
January 7, 2014 San Antonio 110Memphis1085.5196.5
November 22, 2013 San Antonio 102Memphis861.0185.5
October 30, 2013 Memphis 94San Antonio101-5.5187.0
May 27, 2013 San Antonio 93Memphis86
May 27, 2013 San Antonio 93Memphis86-2.5182.0
May 25, 2013 San Antonio 104Memphis93-5.5177.5
May 21, 2013 Memphis 89San Antonio93-5.5180.5
May 19, 2013 Memphis 83San Antonio105-5.0182.5
April 1, 2013 San Antonio 90Memphis92-6.5188.5

When looking at the last 74 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 46 games compared to 28 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Memphis/San Antonio series is 94.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 91.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 74 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3 ppg. That represents a value number of -5.5 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on Memphis makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 74 games between the Grizzlies and the Spurs is 186.8 per game. That creates a differential of 9.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 196.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Memphis as the road team and with San Antonio as the home team.

Recent Results when Memphis visits San Antonio

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 6, 2014 Memphis 92San Antonio112-7.0190.5
October 30, 2013 Memphis 94San Antonio101-5.5187.0
May 21, 2013 Memphis 89San Antonio93-5.5180.5
May 19, 2013 Memphis 83San Antonio105-5.0182.5
January 16, 2013 Memphis 82San Antonio103
December 1, 2012 Memphis 95San Antonio99-6.0194.5
April 12, 2012 Memphis 97San Antonio107-5.5196.5

When looking at the last 37 games in this series while San Antonio has been the home team, we can see the Spurs have won 32 games compared to 5 wins for the Grizzlies. Average points scored per game by San Antonio in this situation is is 98.5 ppg while Memphis has put up 88.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 9.6 favoring the Spurs.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 9.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.1 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on the Spurs makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 37 games between the Grizzlies and the Spurs is 187.4 per game. That creates a differential of 8.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 196.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Memphis Grizzlies Cover the Spread?

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 89 games, averaging 96.2 points per game, while allowing 95.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 53-36. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2014 Memphis 109Oklahoma City120-9.5185.0
May 1, 2014 Oklahoma City 104Memphis842.5184.0
April 29, 2014 Memphis 100Oklahoma City99-7.0186.0
April 26, 2014 Oklahoma City 92Memphis893.0188.0
April 24, 2014 Oklahoma City 95Memphis982.0188.5
April 21, 2014 Memphis 111Oklahoma City105-6.5190.0
April 19, 2014 Memphis 86Oklahoma City100-7.5190.5

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 45 games on the road, averaging 94.3 points per game, while allowing 94.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 25-20. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results on the road.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2014 Memphis 109Oklahoma City120-9.5185.0
April 29, 2014 Memphis 100Oklahoma City99-7.0186.0
April 21, 2014 Memphis 111Oklahoma City105-6.5190.0
April 19, 2014 Memphis 86Oklahoma City100-7.5190.5
April 14, 2014 Memphis 97Phoenix91-3.0194.5

Can the San Antonio Spurs Cover the Spread?

This season the San Antonio Spurs have played 106 games, averaging 105.6 points per game, while allowing 97.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 78-36. Let's have a closer look at recent San Antonio Spurs results.

Recent San Antonio Spurs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
June 15, 2014 Miami 87San Antonio104-6.0196.0
June 12, 2014 San Antonio 107Miami86-5.5197.0
June 10, 2014 San Antonio 111Miami92-4.0197.0
June 8, 2014 Miami 98San Antonio96-4.0198.5
June 5, 2014 Miami 95San Antonio110-5.0198.5
May 31, 2014 San Antonio 112Oklahoma City107-3.5206.0
May 29, 2014 Oklahoma City 89San Antonio117-4.5206.5
May 27, 2014 San Antonio 92Oklahoma City105-2.0207.5
May 25, 2014 San Antonio 97Oklahoma City106-2.5208.0
May 21, 2014 Oklahoma City 77San Antonio112-5.5210.0

This season the San Antonio Spurs have played 54 games here at home, averaging 106.8 points per game, while allowing 96.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 43-11. Let's have a closer look at recent San Antonio Spurs results when playing at home.

Recent San Antonio Spurs Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
June 15, 2014 Miami 87San Antonio104-6.0196.0
June 8, 2014 Miami 98San Antonio96-4.0198.5
June 5, 2014 Miami 95San Antonio110-5.0198.5
May 29, 2014 Oklahoma City 89San Antonio117-4.5206.5
May 21, 2014 Oklahoma City 77San Antonio112-5.5210.0
May 19, 2014 Oklahoma City 105San Antonio122-5.5209.0
May 14, 2014 Portland 82San Antonio104-8.5208.5
May 8, 2014 Portland 97San Antonio114-6.5207.5
May 6, 2014 Portland 92San Antonio116-6.5206.5
May 4, 2014 Dallas 96San Antonio119-6.5197.5

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