NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs

Game Date: Wednesday, April 20, 2011 | Game Time: 8:35 PM | Home Line: -8.5 | Total: 196.0

by Steve Miller

Memphis Grizzlies v San Antonio Spurs Series Betting Trends

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to San Antonio to play the Spurs at 8:35 PM on Wednesday, April 20, 2011. San Antonio is the favorite in this matchup, laying -8.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 196.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Grizzlies/Spurs Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 6, 2014 Memphis 92San Antonio112-7.0190.5
January 7, 2014 San Antonio 110Memphis1085.5196.5
November 22, 2013 San Antonio 102Memphis861.0185.5
October 30, 2013 Memphis 94San Antonio101-5.5187.0
May 27, 2013 San Antonio 93Memphis86
May 27, 2013 San Antonio 93Memphis86-2.5182.0
May 25, 2013 San Antonio 104Memphis93-5.5177.5
May 21, 2013 Memphis 89San Antonio93-5.5180.5
May 19, 2013 Memphis 83San Antonio105-5.0182.5
April 1, 2013 San Antonio 90Memphis92-6.5188.5

When looking at the last 74 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 46 games compared to 28 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Memphis/San Antonio series is 94.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 91.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 74 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3 ppg. That represents a value number of -5.5 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on Memphis makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 74 games between the Grizzlies and the Spurs is 186.8 per game. That creates a differential of 9.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 196.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Memphis as the road team and with San Antonio as the home team.

Recent Results when Memphis visits San Antonio

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 6, 2014 Memphis 92San Antonio112-7.0190.5
October 30, 2013 Memphis 94San Antonio101-5.5187.0
May 21, 2013 Memphis 89San Antonio93-5.5180.5
May 19, 2013 Memphis 83San Antonio105-5.0182.5
January 16, 2013 Memphis 82San Antonio103
December 1, 2012 Memphis 95San Antonio99-6.0194.5
April 12, 2012 Memphis 97San Antonio107-5.5196.5

When looking at the last 37 games in this series while San Antonio has been the home team, we can see the Spurs have won 32 games compared to 5 wins for the Grizzlies. Average points scored per game by San Antonio in this situation is is 98.5 ppg while Memphis has put up 88.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 9.6 favoring the Spurs.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 9.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.1 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on the Spurs makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 37 games between the Grizzlies and the Spurs is 187.4 per game. That creates a differential of 8.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 196.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Memphis Grizzlies Cover the Spread?

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 14 games, averaging 99.9 points per game, while allowing 92.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 23, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 91Memphis107-2.5198.0
November 21, 2014 Boston 100Memphis117
November 19, 2014 Memphis 92Toronto96-3.5193.5
November 17, 2014 Houston 93Memphis119-4.0188.5
November 15, 2014 Detroit 88Memphis95-9.5186.0
November 13, 2014 Sacramento 110Memphis111-6.0189.0
November 11, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 102Memphis107-9.5197.5

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 6 games on the road, averaging 90.8 points per game, while allowing 87.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results on the road.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 19, 2014 Memphis 92Toronto96-3.5193.5
November 8, 2014 Memphis 92Milwaukee934.5187.0
November 7, 2014 Memphis 91Oklahoma City897.5182.0
November 5, 2014 Memphis 102Phoenix91-1.5192.0
November 1, 2014 Memphis 71Charlotte69-3.5186.0

Can the San Antonio Spurs Cover the Spread?

This season the San Antonio Spurs have played 13 games, averaging 97.1 points per game, while allowing 91.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-2. Let's have a closer look at recent San Antonio Spurs results.

Recent San Antonio Spurs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Brooklyn 87San Antonio99-10.5194.0
November 21, 2014 San Antonio 121Minnesota928.0199.5
November 19, 2014 San Antonio 92Cleveland90-2.0201.0
November 17, 2014 Philadelphia 75San Antonio100-16.0196.0
November 15, 2014 San Antonio 91Sacramento941.5196.0
November 14, 2014 San Antonio 93(LAK) Los Angeles808.5204.0
November 11, 2014 San Antonio 113Golden St.100-7.0197.5
November 10, 2014 San Antonio 89(LAC) Los Angeles85-1.5202.5
November 8, 2014 New Orleans 100San Antonio99-7.5195.5
November 6, 2014 San Antonio 81Houston98-6.5196.5

This season the San Antonio Spurs have played 5 games here at home, averaging 98.6 points per game, while allowing 90.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-1. Let's have a closer look at recent San Antonio Spurs results when playing at home.

Recent San Antonio Spurs Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Brooklyn 87San Antonio99-10.5194.0
November 17, 2014 Philadelphia 75San Antonio100-16.0196.0
November 8, 2014 New Orleans 100San Antonio99-7.5195.5
November 5, 2014 Atlanta 92San Antonio94-8.0201.5
October 28, 2014 Dallas 100San Antonio101-3.5202.0
June 15, 2014 Miami 87San Antonio104-6.0196.0
June 8, 2014 Miami 98San Antonio96-4.0198.5
June 5, 2014 Miami 95San Antonio110-5.0198.5
May 29, 2014 Oklahoma City 89San Antonio117-4.5206.5
May 21, 2014 Oklahoma City 77San Antonio112-5.5210.0

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