Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat

Game Date: Wednesday, March 16, 2011 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -6.5 | Total: 202.5

Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat Series Betting Trends

The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Miami to play the Heat at 8:05 PM on Wednesday, March 16, 2011. Miami is the favorite in this matchup, laying -6.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 202.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Thunder/Heat Series

When looking at the last 15 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 9 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Oklahoma City/Miami series is 99.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 97.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 15 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -4.1 when meassured against the offered line of -6.5, suggesting a wager on Oklahoma City makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 15 games between the Thunder and the Heat is 196.6 per game. That creates a differential of 5.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 202.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Oklahoma City as the road team and with Miami as the home team.

Recent Results when Oklahoma City visits Miami

When looking at the last 8 games in this series while Miami has been the home team, we can see the Heat have won 6 games compared to 2 wins for the Thunder. Average points scored per game by Miami in this situation is is 99.3 ppg while Oklahoma City has put up 96.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.5 favoring the Thunder.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.5 ppg. That represents a value number of -4 when meassured against the offered line of -6.5, suggesting a wager on the Thunder makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Thunder and the Heat is 196.1 per game. That creates a differential of 6.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 202.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Oklahoma City Thunder Cover the Spread?

This season the Oklahoma City Thunder have played 93 games, averaging 104.9 points per game, while allowing 96.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 65-28. Let's have a closer look at recent Oklahoma City Thunder results.

Recent Oklahoma City Thunder Results

This season the Oklahoma City Thunder have played 46 games on the road, averaging 102.4 points per game, while allowing 97.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 28-18. Let's have a closer look at recent Oklahoma City Thunder results on the road.

Recent Oklahoma City Thunder Road Results

Can the Miami Heat Cover the Spread?

This season the Miami Heat have played 90 games, averaging 102.4 points per game, while allowing 94.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 73-28. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results.

Recent Miami Heat Results

This season the Miami Heat have played 45 games here at home, averaging 103.5 points per game, while allowing 93.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 40-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results when playing at home.

Recent Miami Heat Home Results

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